1818 Community Chest Ave · Elkhart, IN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.6/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -4.0
$146,611
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into effortless luxury with this barely-lived-in 2024 Fairmont, where modern design meets total convenience. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom masterpiece is truly move-in ready, coming fully loaded with all the high-end furniture and decor currently in the home. Skip the lead times and the furniture shopping—just bring your toothbrush and start enjoying a space that feels brand new from the moment you turn the key. The upgrades don't stop at the front door; enjoy an expanded patio space perfect for morning coffee or weekend hosting, along with premium finishes throughout the interior. Featuring a spacious, open-concept layout and the peace of mind that comes with a late-model build, this home offers a turnkey lifestyle at an unbeatable value. Why wait to build when your dream home is ready and waiting?
Key facts
- Back deck
- Built 2025
- Listed 205 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $147k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($343/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (10.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $129k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.1% in Elkhart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#224 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Elkhart Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #271 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Osolo Elementary School (math 20% / reading 18%, grade F, #829 of 994 statewide, top 84%, 490 students, 76% FRL); North Side Middle School (math 15% / reading 31%, grade F, #263 of 330 statewide, top 80%, 627 students, 72% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 403 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 71d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.83%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $153,654
- List price
- $146,611
- Delta
- -4.58%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Woodland Estates Dr | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,546 (-1%) | 2mo | $326,000 | $211 | 69 |
| 53084 County Road 9 | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,545 (-2%) | 3mo | $206,100 | $133 | 63 |
| 1605 Erwin St | 1.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,470 (-6%) | 2mo | $239,000 | $163 | 53 |
| 1626 N Bay Dr | 1.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,668 (+6%) | 3mo | $267,000 | $160 | 52 |
| 502 Sunset Ave | 1.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,821 (+16%) | 1mo | $227,000 | $125 | 39 |
| 1511 Brookwood Dr | 1.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,960 (+25%) | 2mo | $284,000 | $145 | 38 |
| 26060 County Road 4 | 1.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,924 (+23%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $109 | 37 |
| 1623 Victoria Dr | 1.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,872 (+19%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $80 | 36 |
| 25092 Grover St | 0.93mi | 3/1.0 | 1,917 (+22%) | 2mo | $168,000 | $88 | 34 |
| 2000 Greenleaf Blvd | 1.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (-19%) | 3mo | $345,000 | $273 | 34 |
| 26080 County Road 4 | 1.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,836 (+17%) | 2mo | $207,000 | $113 | 33 |
| 1815 E Beardsley Ave | 1.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,944 (+24%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $67 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-16,356
- Equity at exit
- $21,860
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $12,989
- Equity at exit
- $12,676
Cash invested: $41,051 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 53 active
- Median asking
- $134,121 ($93/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 15 d
- This list price
- 79% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +5.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 46514
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 403
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,319 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$769
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$183 /mo · $2,199/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $29
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $130 | -5% $79 | +0% $29 | +5% $-22 | +10% $-73 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-76 | -5% $-24 | +0% $29 | +5% $81 | +10% $133 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $102 | -0.5pp $66 | base $29 | +0.5pp $-9 | +1.0pp $-48 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,653
- Closing costs
- $4,398
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1875 Osolo Rd Elkhart, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 948 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 70d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1626 Osolo Rd Elkhart, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2190 | $2,595 | $1.18 | 70d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2304 Grant St Elkhart, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 93d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $146,611 Active 206 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $146,611 Active 205 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $146,611 Active 204 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $146,611 Active 203 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $146,611 Active 202 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $146,611 Active 201 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $146,611 Active 198 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $146,611 Active 197 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $146,611 Active 196 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $146,611 Active 194 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $146,611 Active 192 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $146,611 Active 190 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $146,611 Active 189 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $146,611 Active 188 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $146,611 Active 185 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $146,611 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $146,611 Active 182 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $146,611 Active 181 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $146,611 Active 180 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $146,611 Active 179 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $146,611 Active 178 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $146,611 Active 177 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $146,611 Active 176 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $146,611 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $146,611 Active 174 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $146,611 Active 173 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $146,611 Active 172 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $146,611 Active 171 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $146,611 Active 170 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $146,611 Active 169 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $146,611 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $146,611 Active 167 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $146,611 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $146,611 Active 165 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $146,611 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $146,611 Active 163 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $146,611 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $146,611 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $146,611 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $146,611 Active 156 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $146,611 Active 155 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $146,611 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $146,611 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $146,611 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $146,611 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $146,611 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $146,611 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $146,611 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $146,611 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $146,611 Active 144 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,824
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,212
- − Property taxes
- −$2,199
- − Insurance
- −$733
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,266
- − Management
- −$1,266
- − Depreciation
- −$4,265
- Taxable loss
- −$2,118
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$508
- After-tax cash flow
- $851/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a great value with its well-maintained exterior, interior, and flooring. Consider landscaping and painting to further enhance its appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more buyers or renters ↑
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint can make the home look newer and more appealing ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elkhart Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1803270
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 18.45/100
- National rank
- #8928
- State rank
- #271 of 301 in IN
Livability — Elkhart
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #9852
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elkhart, IN
- County
- Elkhart County · 213,761 people
- City population
- 74,260
- Metro
- Elkhart-Goshen, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,389
- Household income
- $65,833
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8% of renters
Population outlook (Elkhart County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 213,761 people
- By 2030
- 218,103 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 225,381 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 229,447 · +7.3%
- By 2075
- 232,856 · +8.9%
- By 2100
- 214,088 · +0.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Elkhart
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.1% · R 65.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.4 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.5 2008: R+11.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -246.78%
- Current HPI
- 225.6
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.03%
- Metro
- Elkhart-Goshen, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-5.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $146,611 Zillow
- 2025-03-29 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-01-10 Listed $155,582 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…