1509 Louise Dr SE · Jacksonville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic 4 bedroom, 2 full bath home in a great neighborhood that has so much to offer. There is fresh paint through most of the home. Large living room has wood-burning fireplace and cathedral ceilings that leads to the large deck overlooking the private yard. The adorable kitchen has new flooring, lots of cabinets, and a large eat-in area/ dining room. The bedrooms are good size on the main floor and the master bedroom has a large bathroom with tub/ shower and a large counter. In the basement, there is a large laundry room, the 4th bedroom, and another room that could be an office, den, or home gym that goes outside. A new Trane heat pump was added in the last 5 years and metal roof making this home very low maintenance.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1987
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Front garage entry; Two garage spaces (2-car garage); Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet service availability unknown
- Home design: Existing structure; Vinyl siding construction; Basement foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Basement foundation (concrete block); Partial basement, all unfinished
- Exterior features: Open deck; No pool, patio, garden/patio, or waterfront; Lot size approximately 0.34 acres; Located in the Brownwood subdivision; Not in a flood plain
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level (total bedrooms listed across main level rooms)
- Flooring: Vinyl; Subflooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Baths include tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One wood-burning fireplace with brick surround in the family room; Ceilings described as 'Other (see remarks)'; Vinyl flooring and subflooring; Partial basement (all unfinished, concrete block foundation); Tri-level/split configurations not present; Living area reported per tax records (1,570)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup provided; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.6% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#41 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Jacksonville City (urban): math 23% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #24 of 129 in AL (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kitty Stone Elementary School (math 29% / reading 64%, grade D-, #159 of 627 statewide, top 26%, 970 students, 65% FRL); Jacksonville High School (math 16% / reading 54%, grade F, #46 of 305 statewide, top 15%, 782 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 44% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.63%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,820
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1408 Louise Dr | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (-12%) | 1mo | $244,900 | $178 | 69 |
| 1310 Louise Dr SE | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,692 (+8%) | 6mo | $203,600 | $120 | 66 |
| 1504 Davis St SE | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,764 (+12%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $130 | 65 |
| 1410 Louise Dr SE | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-11%) | 10mo | $227,000 | $162 | 64 |
| 1400 Louise Dr SE | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 1,799 (+15%) | 9mo | $259,000 | $144 | 53 |
| 302 Macon Dr SE | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,702 (+8%) | 16mo | $158,000 | $93 | 49 |
| 1202 Louise Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 | 1,702 (+8%) | 20mo | $199,000 | $117 | 45 |
| 706 George St SE | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,767 (+12%) | 10mo | $192,000 | $109 | 44 |
| 1109 NE Mountain St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-8%) | 10mo | $230,000 | $160 | 41 |
| 807 Francis St E | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+4%) | 22mo | $149,500 | $92 | 38 |
| 512 Vann St SE | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+7%) | 14mo | $178,000 | $106 | 37 |
| 800 E Francis St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,428 (-9%) | 14mo | $179,900 | $126 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $9,633
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $54,548
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36265
- Home prices YoY
- -26.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,334 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $669/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $375
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $110,000 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 168-char remark
-
2026-06-09$110,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $669 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $669 · $56/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,007
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$669
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,281
- − Management
- −$1,281
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $2,865
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$688
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,817/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jacksonville City
- NCES district ID
- 0101860
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -37.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,233
- Composite
- 34.37/100
- National rank
- #5215
- State rank
- #24 of 129 in AL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #7385
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, AL
- County
- Calhoun County · 71,763 people
- City population
- 22,452
- Metro
- Anniston-Oxford, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,452
- Household income
- $55,294
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 476.0
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 109,765 people
- By 2030
- 105,708 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 96,192 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 86,413 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 63,467 · -42.2%
- By 2100
- 44,704 · -59.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 15% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.38%
- Current HPI
- 167.7493
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.60%
- Metro
- Anniston-Oxford, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-35.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Listed $110,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $169,900 Public Records
- 2021-11-19 Sold (MLS) $169,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-10-25 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-10-15 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-09-27 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-09-13 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-08-23 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-08-18 Listed $169,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2024): $669 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…