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1509 Louise Dr SE
B Composite 74.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

1509 Louise Dr SE · Jacksonville, AL 36265
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,570 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1987 0.34 ac lot Est $198k · 44% under ↓ 35% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic 4 bedroom, 2 full bath home in a great neighborhood that has so much to offer. There is fresh paint through most of the home. Large living room has wood-burning fireplace and cathedral ceilings that leads to the large deck overlooking the private yard. The adorable kitchen has new flooring, lots of cabinets, and a large eat-in area/ dining room. The bedrooms are good size on the main floor and the master bedroom has a large bathroom with tub/ shower and a large counter. In the basement, there is a large laundry room, the 4th bedroom, and another room that could be an office, den, or home gym that goes outside. A new Trane heat pump was added in the last 5 years and metal roof making this home very low maintenance.

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1987

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Front garage entry; Two garage spaces (2-car garage); Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet service availability unknown
  • Home design: Existing structure; Vinyl siding construction; Basement foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Basement foundation (concrete block); Partial basement, all unfinished
  • Exterior features: Open deck; No pool, patio, garden/patio, or waterfront; Lot size approximately 0.34 acres; Located in the Brownwood subdivision; Not in a flood plain

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate countertops
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level (total bedrooms listed across main level rooms)
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Subflooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Baths include tub/shower combo
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: One wood-burning fireplace with brick surround in the family room; Ceilings described as 'Other (see remarks)'; Vinyl flooring and subflooring; Partial basement (all unfinished, concrete block foundation); Tri-level/split configurations not present; Living area reported per tax records (1,570)
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup provided; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $375 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.6% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#41 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jacksonville City (urban): math 23% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #24 of 129 in AL (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kitty Stone Elementary School (math 29% / reading 64%, grade D-, #159 of 627 statewide, top 26%, 970 students, 65% FRL); Jacksonville High School (math 16% / reading 54%, grade F, #46 of 305 statewide, top 15%, 782 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 44% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 135 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calhoun County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
10.39%
Cash-on-cash
14.63%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$197,820
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1408 Louise Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,375 (-12%) 1mo $244,900 $178 69
1310 Louise Dr SE 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,692 (+8%) 6mo $203,600 $120 66
1504 Davis St SE 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,764 (+12%) 2mo $230,000 $130 65
1410 Louise Dr SE 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-11%) 10mo $227,000 $162 64
1400 Louise Dr SE 0.21mi 3/2.5 1,799 (+15%) 9mo $259,000 $144 53
302 Macon Dr SE 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,702 (+8%) 16mo $158,000 $93 49
1202 Louise Dr 0.40mi 3/2.5 1,702 (+8%) 20mo $199,000 $117 45
706 George St SE 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,767 (+12%) 10mo $192,000 $109 44
1109 NE Mountain St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-8%) 10mo $230,000 $160 41
807 Francis St E 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,631 (+4%) 22mo $149,500 $92 38
512 Vann St SE 0.58mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,680 (+7%) 14mo $178,000 $106 37
800 E Francis St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,428 (-9%) 14mo $179,900 $126 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$9,633
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$54,548
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36265

Home prices YoY
-26.1%
Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
88
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,334 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $669/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$280
Net cashflow
$375

Break-even live

Break-even rent $859
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $110,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $110,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    remarks 168-char remark
  4. 2026-06-09
    listed $110,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$669 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$669 · $56/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,007
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$669
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,281
− Management
−$1,281
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,865
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$688
After-tax cash flow
$3,817/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jacksonville City
NCES district ID
0101860
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -37.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$37,233
Composite
34.37/100
National rank
#5215
State rank
#24 of 129 in AL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
70/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#7385

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, AL
County
Calhoun County · 71,763 people
City population
22,452
Metro
Anniston-Oxford, AL
Population (ZIP)
22,452
Household income
$55,294
Rent vs Own
35.5% rent · 64.5% own
Severe rent burden
476.0

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
109,765 people
By 2030
105,708 · -3.7%
By 2040
96,192 · -12.4%
By 2050
86,413 · -21.3%
By 2075
63,467 · -42.2%
By 2100
44,704 · -59.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 15% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.2% · R 71.9%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: -32.5pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.0 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+31.9 2008: R+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.38%
Current HPI
167.7493
Rent YoY
▲ 5.60%
Metro
Anniston-Oxford, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-35.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $110,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $169,900 Public Records
  • 2021-11-19 Sold (MLS) $169,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-10-25 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-10-15 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-09-27 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-09-13 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-08-23 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2021-08-18 Listed $169,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $669 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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