7067 Moseley Rd · Fort Valley, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment property, or starter home, large back yard, its hard to find a house in this price range today. Verify with Peach Co schools as to which school applies. 3BR , 2BA with freshly interior paint, new fans and light fixtures and new bathroom vanities a lot of work has been done and it could still use a little TLC
Key facts
- New fans
- Large back yard
- New light fixtures
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.7% in Fort Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#220 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Peach County (rural): math 17% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #141 of 174 in GA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 149 units permitted in Peach County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peach County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.21%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $152,352
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -1.54%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7067 Moseley Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,710 (0%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $70 | 99 |
| 3166 Peach Pkwy | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-12%) | 7mo | $105,000 | $70 | 64 |
| 101 Sylvan Dell Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,623 (-5%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $123 | 62 |
| 101 Sylvan Dell Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,623 (-5%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $123 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-8,275
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $13,350
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31030
- Home prices YoY
- -14.7%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,519 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $252
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-05status Under Contract 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Great Investment property, or starter home, large back yard, its hard to find a house in this price range today. Verify with Peach Co schools as to which school applies. 3BR , 2BA with freshly interior paint, new fans and light fixtures and some new bathroom vanities a lot of work has been done and it could still use a little TLC
-
2026-05-05status Pending 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Great Investment property, or starter home, large back yard, its hard to find a house in this price range today. Verify with Peach Co schools as to which school applies. 3BR , 2BA with freshly interior paint, new fans and light fixtures and some new bathroom vanities a lot of work has been done and it could still use a little TLC
-
2026-05-03historical Active Under Contract 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
Great Investment property, or starter home, large back yard, its hard to find a house in this price range today. Verify with Peach Co schools as to which school applies. 3BR , 2BA with freshly interior paint, new fans and light fixtures and new bathroom vanities a lot of work has been done and it could still use a little TLC
-
2026-02-18$150,000 New 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Great Investment property, or starter home, large back yard, its hard to find a house in this price range today. Verify with Peach Co schools as to which school applies. 3BR , 2BA with freshly interior paint, new fans and light fixtures and some new bathroom vanities a lot of work has been done and it could still use a little TLC
-
2026-02-18price $150,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Great Investment property, or starter home, large back yard, its hard to find a house in this price range today. Verify with Peach Co schools as to which school applies. 3BR , 2BA with freshly interior paint, new fans and light fixtures and some new bathroom vanities a lot of work has been done and it could still use a little TLC
-
2025-02-08price $175,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Great Investment property, or starter home, large back yard, its hard to find a house in this price range today. Verify with Peach Co schools as to which school applies. 3BR , 2BA with freshly interior paint, new fans and light fixtures and some new bathroom vanities a lot of work has been done and it could still use a little TLC
-
2024-11-15$185,000 Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Great Investment property, or starter home, large back yard, its hard to find a house in this price range today. Verify with Peach Co schools as to which school applies. 3BR , 2BA with freshly interior paint, new fans and light fixtures and some new bathroom vanities a lot of work has been done and it could still use a little TLC
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,185 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,380 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- +$195/yr (+$16/mo · 16.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,229
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,458
- − Management
- −$1,458
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $611
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$147
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,880/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peach County
- NCES district ID
- 1304050
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,348
- Composite
- 17.89/100
- National rank
- #9000
- State rank
- #141 of 174 in GA
Livability — Fort Valley
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #12957
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 17,987
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,987
Population outlook (Peach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,481 people
- By 2030
- 25,723 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 23,812 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 21,724 · -18.0%
- By 2075
- 17,513 · -33.9%
- By 2100
- 14,235 · -46.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Peach
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.0) · D 46.8% · R 52.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.8pp · 2024: -6.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.0 2020: R+4.7 2016: R+3.0 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+6.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.82%
- Current HPI
- 202.0025
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-18.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-05-05 Pending — CGMLS
- 2026-05-03 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $150,000 CGMLS
- 2025-02-08 Price Changed $175,000 CGMLS
- 2024-11-15 Listed $185,000 CGMLS
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,185 · -5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…