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9860 5th Ave
D Composite 43.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,000

9860 5th Ave · Taft, FL 32824
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 918 sqft · Manufactured public records · 136 Days on market
Built 1972 7,190 sqft lot ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This TOTALLY UPGRADED property in a nice quiet neighborhood is NOW SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED IN PRICE! All New Appliances including Washer and Dryer (Washer and Dryer is in Storage Garage) All New Electrical including the Elec Panel, New Plumbing, Septic has been emptied and verified via receipts, has New Insulation thru out trailer, New Paint thru out, changed out some windows to new, New Hurricane door from outside to 3rd Bdrm(3rd Bdrm has a separate entrance), also: has 90sq ft Shed and New Driveway, fits about 4 vehicles, totally fenced in yard with sliding gate; (Note: total sq footage after remodeling is about 908 sq ft. )

Key facts

  • New plumbing
  • All new appliances
  • New paint

Tags

ALL NEW APPLIANCESNEW ELECTRICALNEW PLUMBINGNEW INSULATIONNEW PAINTNEW HURRICANE DOOR

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential mobile home; Zoning: R-T-2; Total rooms: 8
  • Financial info: No lease restrictions; Unfurnished
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (double wide); Single story; Home faces south; Entry on one level
  • Construction: Metal siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Estimated living area about 908 square feet
  • Exterior features: Concrete road access; Lot approximately 0.17 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry located outside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $209k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($892/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (14.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#275 in FL, #4,431 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment D-.
  • Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sally Ride Elementary (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 406 students, 71% FRL); Judson B Walker Middle (math 31% / reading 31%, grade F, #462 of 571 statewide, top 81%, 933 students, 73% FRL); Cypress Creek High (math 20% / reading 44%, grade F, #415 of 667 statewide, top 63%, 3,467 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 344 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $178,632 (14.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.52%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,652
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
214 3rd St 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 792 (-14%) 19mo $90,000 $114 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.1%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-34,409
Equity at exit
$31,163
10-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-44,260
Equity at exit
$18,071

Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32824

Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
344
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,786 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,096
Tax from tax record
$154 /mo · $1,846/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$375
Net cashflow
$74

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,692
Max offer price $209,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $193 -5% $133 +0% $74 +5% $15 +10% $-44
Rent -10% $-67 -5% $4 +0% $74 +5% $145 +10% $215
Rate -1.0pp $180 -0.5pp $127 base $74 +0.5pp $20 +1.0pp $-35

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,250
Closing costs
$6,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9626 3rd Ave Unit 2 Orlando, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,395 $1.99 19d 1 0.25mi
9663 Cypress Park Dr Unit m9663c Orlando, FL 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,750 $1.66 19d 1 0.34mi
123 4th St Orlando, FL 2.0 2.0 728 $1,800 $2.47 25d 1 0.70mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $209,000 Pending 136 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $209,000 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $209,000 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $209,000 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $209,000 Active 131 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $209,000 Active 130 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $209,000 Active 129 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $209,000 Active 128 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $209,000 Active 127 DOM
  10. 2026-04-27
    price $209,000
  11. 2026-03-30
    price $229,000
  12. 2026-02-19
    price $239,000
  13. 2026-01-27
    price $249,000
  14. 2026-01-24
    listed $219,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,846 · $154/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,846 · $154/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,436
− Mortgage interest
−$11,707
− Property taxes
−$1,846
− Insurance
−$1,045
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,715
− Management
−$1,715
− Depreciation
−$6,080
Taxable loss
−$2,672
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$641
After-tax cash flow
$1,533/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orange
NCES district ID
1201440
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,350
Composite
41.47/100
National rank
#3461
State rank
#43 of 73 in FL

Livability — Taft

Score
74/100
State rank
#275
US rank
#4431

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Taft, FL
County
Orange County · 1,471,359 people
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
58,368
Household income
$84,841
Rent vs Own
24.1% rent · 75.9% own
Severe rent burden
1015.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,618,226 people
By 2030
1,787,404 · +10.5%
By 2040
2,125,621 · +31.4%
By 2050
2,454,016 · +51.6%
By 2075
3,173,711 · +96.1%
By 2100
3,607,781 · +122.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 62% Two or more races 34% White 15% Black 13% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 26% Cuban 2% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
36% English-only · Spanish 54% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -165.20%
Current HPI
280.977
Rent YoY
▼ -0.21%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $209,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $229,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $239,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $249,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-24 Listed $219,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,846 · +19.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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