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3018 Hobart St Duplex
F Composite 34.26
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.6/30.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,198,000

3018 Hobart St · New York, NY 11377
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,572 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 148 Days on market
Built 1945 1,602 sqft lot Est $1025k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Charming Two Family Home in the Heart of Woodside Welcome to this beautifully maintained two-family residence nestled right in the heart of Woodside. This property is in excellent condition and offers a versatile layout perfect for both homeowners and investors alike. On the first floor, you'll find high ceilings that create a sense of openness, along with a spacious living room and an open kitchen that makes entertaining a breeze. This level also has convenient access to the backyard and a full bathroom. The second floor features three comfortable bedrooms and another full bath, providing plenty of space for family or guests. Additionally, the ground floor boasts a legal one-bedroom apartm

Key facts

  • 1,602 sq ft lot
  • Built 1945
  • Listed 148 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Duplex
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One 3‑bedroom unit included
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Steam heating; Ductless cooling
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $1.20M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-160 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-80/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.17M (2.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $920k (23.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $920k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $9,195/mo this rent would consume 151% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 5474% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.05M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $545k; list at $1.20M implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $919,500 (23.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.13%
Cash-on-cash
-0.57%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,024,944
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3018 Hobart St 0.00mi 4/3.0 1,572 (0%) 1mo $1,125,000 $716 100
3005 48th St 0.12mi 5/— (+1) 1,650 (+5%) 3mo $1,300,000 $788 78
32-16 54 St 0.31mi 4/2.0 1,640 (+4%) 11mo $1,185,000 $723 66
32-32 60th St 0.38mi 4/— 1,720 (+9%) 3mo $1,137,000 $661 64
32-13 46th St 0.45mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,628 (+4%) 11mo $1,250,000 $768 59
3218 42nd St 0.59mi 4/— 1,460 (-7%) 6mo $937,500 $642 56
2541 72nd St 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,632 (+4%) 11mo $900,000 $551 52
3034 69th St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,692 (+8%) 8mo $1,035,000 $612 51
24-21 42nd St #1 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,686 (+7%) 23mo $765,000 $454 37
24-41 43 St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,758 (+12%) 10mo $1,100,000 $626 37
30-29 74th St 0.71mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,764 (+12%) 14mo $1,150,000 $652 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-175,230
Equity at exit
$178,626
10-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-38,410
Equity at exit
$103,581

Cash invested: $335,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11377

Home prices YoY
-28.8%
Rents YoY
6.1%
Active inventory
349
Price-to-rent
21.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,195 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$6,282
Tax from tax record
$642 /mo · $7,709/yr
Insurance
$499
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,931
Net cashflow
$-160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $9,397
Max offer price $1,169,745
Occupancy floor 97%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $9,195

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$299,500
Closing costs
$35,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
30-37 38th St Unit 4 Astoria, NY 3.0 2.0 1200 $5,200 $4.33 13d 1 0.57mi
2812 37th St Astoria, NY 3.0 1.5 2200 $4,700 $2.14 18d 1 0.67mi
3439 75th St Jackson Heights, NY 4.0 2.5 1876 $6,900 $3.68 18d 1 0.97mi
30-13 85th St Unit 2 Flushing, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $3,800 $3.45 22d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-11
    status Pending
  2. 2025-11-14
    listed $1,198,000 Active
  3. 2025-11-10
    historical $1,198,000
  4. 2012-01-30
    soldstatus $545,000
  5. 2004-09-02
    soldstatus $540,000
  6. 1998-10-15
    soldstatus $191,000
  7. 1986-06-06
    soldstatus $183,000
  8. 1985-08-13
    soldstatus $120,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,709 · $642/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$13,977 · $1,165/mo
Expected delta
+$6,269/yr (+$522/mo · 81.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$110,340
− Mortgage interest
−$67,107
− Property taxes
−$7,709
− Insurance
−$5,990
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,827
− Management
−$8,827
− Depreciation
−$34,851
Taxable loss
−$22,971
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,513
After-tax cash flow
$3,594/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
81,690
Household income
$73,073
Rent vs Own
70.5% rent · 29.5% own
Severe rent burden
5474.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 40% Asian 36% Two or more races 20% White 20% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
56% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
27% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 16% Chinese 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.83%
Current HPI
273.9408
Rent YoY
▲ 6.09%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+898.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-14 Listed $1,198,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-10 Coming Soon $1,198,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $545,000 Public Records
  • 2004-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $540,000 Public Records
  • 1998-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $191,000 Public Records
  • 1986-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $183,000 Public Records
  • 1985-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,709 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…