Duplex
3018 Hobart St · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,198,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Charming Two Family Home in the Heart of Woodside Welcome to this beautifully maintained two-family residence nestled right in the heart of Woodside. This property is in excellent condition and offers a versatile layout perfect for both homeowners and investors alike. On the first floor, you'll find high ceilings that create a sense of openness, along with a spacious living room and an open kitchen that makes entertaining a breeze. This level also has convenient access to the backyard and a full bathroom. The second floor features three comfortable bedrooms and another full bath, providing plenty of space for family or guests. Additionally, the ground floor boasts a legal one-bedroom apartm
Key facts
- 1,602 sq ft lot
- Built 1945
- Listed 148 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 3‑bedroom unit included
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Steam heating; Ductless cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $1.20M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-160 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-80/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.17M (2.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $920k (23.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $920k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,195/mo this rent would consume 151% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 5474% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.05M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $545k; list at $1.20M implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.57%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,024,944
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3018 Hobart St | 0.00mi | 4/3.0 | 1,572 (0%) | 1mo | $1,125,000 | $716 | 100 |
| 3005 48th St | 0.12mi | 5/— (+1) | 1,650 (+5%) | 3mo | $1,300,000 | $788 | 78 |
| 32-16 54 St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 1,640 (+4%) | 11mo | $1,185,000 | $723 | 66 |
| 32-32 60th St | 0.38mi | 4/— | 1,720 (+9%) | 3mo | $1,137,000 | $661 | 64 |
| 32-13 46th St | 0.45mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,628 (+4%) | 11mo | $1,250,000 | $768 | 59 |
| 3218 42nd St | 0.59mi | 4/— | 1,460 (-7%) | 6mo | $937,500 | $642 | 56 |
| 2541 72nd St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,632 (+4%) | 11mo | $900,000 | $551 | 52 |
| 3034 69th St | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,692 (+8%) | 8mo | $1,035,000 | $612 | 51 |
| 24-21 42nd St #1 | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,686 (+7%) | 23mo | $765,000 | $454 | 37 |
| 24-41 43 St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,758 (+12%) | 10mo | $1,100,000 | $626 | 37 |
| 30-29 74th St | 0.71mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,764 (+12%) | 14mo | $1,150,000 | $652 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-175,230
- Equity at exit
- $178,626
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-38,410
- Equity at exit
- $103,581
Cash invested: $335,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11377
- Home prices YoY
- -28.8%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 349
- Price-to-rent
- 21.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,195 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$6,282
- Tax from tax record
- −$642 /mo · $7,709/yr
- Insurance
- −$499
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,931
- Net cashflow
- $-160
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $9,196 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $4,598 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $4,598 |
| Total (2 units) | $9,195 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $299,500
- Closing costs
- $35,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30-37 38th St Unit 4 Astoria, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $5,200 | $4.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2812 37th St Astoria, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2200 | $4,700 | $2.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3439 75th St Jackson Heights, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1876 | $6,900 | $3.68 | 18d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 30-13 85th St Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,800 | $3.45 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-11status Pending
-
2025-11-14$1,198,000 Active
-
2025-11-10historical $1,198,000
-
2012-01-30soldstatus $545,000
-
2004-09-02soldstatus $540,000
-
1998-10-15soldstatus $191,000
-
1986-06-06soldstatus $183,000
-
1985-08-13soldstatus $120,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,709 · $642/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $13,977 · $1,165/mo
- Expected delta
- +$6,269/yr (+$522/mo · 81.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $110,340
- − Mortgage interest
- −$67,107
- − Property taxes
- −$7,709
- − Insurance
- −$5,990
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,827
- − Management
- −$8,827
- − Depreciation
- −$34,851
- Taxable loss
- −$22,971
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,513
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,594/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 81,690
- Household income
- $73,073
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5474.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 40% Asian 36% Two or more races 20% White 20% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 56% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 27% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 16% Chinese 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.83%
- Current HPI
- 273.9408
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.09%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+898.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-14 Listed $1,198,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-10 Coming Soon $1,198,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $545,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $540,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $191,000 Public Records
- 1986-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $183,000 Public Records
- 1985-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $7,709 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…