223 Selye Ter · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.2/10.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great two story home that offers a large enclosed front porch and rear deck. Located close to all amenities. Large 2 car detached garage provides ample room for storage or extra parking. Dining room sports a beamed ceiling. Large open floor plan. Situated on a nice lot that offers lots of room for play/activities!
Key facts
- 4,791 sq ft lot
- Built 1880
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Cable available; High-speed internet available; Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electrical
- Home design: 3 stories; Existing (established) building
- Construction: Cedar construction elements; PEX plumbing; Asphalt shingle roof; Stone foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck; Enclosed porch; Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen layout
- Bedrooms: Convertible bedroom (may serve as additional sleeping area)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Varies; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Attic; Den; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Natural woodwork; Convertible bedroom; Leaded glass windows; Thermal windows
- Laundry & utility: Upper-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (3.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $144k (3.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $150k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.33%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $170,837
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -12.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Selye Ter | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 2,020 (-2%) | 7mo | $133,000 | $66 | 75 |
| 49 Albemarle St | 0.53mi | 4/1.5 | 2,121 (+3%) | 0mo | $240,000 | $113 | 70 |
| 224 Kislingbury St | 0.31mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,040 (-1%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $86 | 70 |
| 320 Ravine Ave | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 | 1,923 (-7%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $73 | 62 |
| 436 Birr St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 2,287 (+11%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $116 | 62 |
| 209 Alameda St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,942 (-6%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $100 | 61 |
| 371 Glenwood Ave | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 1,830 (-11%) | 5mo | $168,000 | $92 | 59 |
| 416 Augustine St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 1,764 (-14%) | 1mo | $202,000 | $115 | 54 |
| 79 Avenue B | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 1,922 (-7%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $86 | 51 |
| 205 Albemarle St | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 | 1,780 (-14%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $98 | 50 |
| 412 Raines Park | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 2,172 (+5%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $110 | 49 |
| 377 Electric Ave | 0.71mi | 4/1.5 | 1,805 (-12%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $108 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-10,244
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $9,028
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14613
- Home prices YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,443 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $844/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $221
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $306 | -5% $264 | +0% $221 | +5% $179 | +10% $136 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $107 | -5% $164 | +0% $221 | +5% $278 | +10% $335 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $297 | -0.5pp $259 | base $221 | +0.5pp $182 | +1.0pp $143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 Pierpont St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1973 | $1,295 | $0.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 327 Glenwood Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2012 | $1,690 | $0.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 28-30 Carthage Dr Unit 28 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1415 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 235 Flower City Park Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $1,360 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 768 Flower City Park Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1995 | $1,995 | $1.00 | 11d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 482-char remark
-
2026-04-29$149,900 Active 482-char remark
-
2025-06-03soldstatus $65,000
-
2015-12-31soldstatus $3,000 Closed Sale or Rented 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Great two story home that offers a large enclosed front porch and rear deck. Located close to all amenities. Large 2 car detached garage provides ample room for storage or extra parking. Dining room sports a beamed ceiling. Large open floor plan. Situated on a nice lot that offers lots of room for play/activities!
-
2015-11-20status Pending Sale 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Great two story home that offers a large enclosed front porch and rear deck. Located close to all amenities. Large 2 car detached garage provides ample room for storage or extra parking. Dining room sports a beamed ceiling. Large open floor plan. Situated on a nice lot that offers lots of room for play/activities!
-
2015-11-20price $19,900 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Great two story home that offers a large enclosed front porch and rear deck. Located close to all amenities. Large 2 car detached garage provides ample room for storage or extra parking. Dining room sports a beamed ceiling. Large open floor plan. Situated on a nice lot that offers lots of room for play/activities!
-
2015-10-01price $24,900 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Great two story home that offers a large enclosed front porch and rear deck. Located close to all amenities. Large 2 car detached garage provides ample room for storage or extra parking. Dining room sports a beamed ceiling. Large open floor plan. Situated on a nice lot that offers lots of room for play/activities!
-
2015-08-29price $36,000 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Great two story home that offers a large enclosed front porch and rear deck. Located close to all amenities. Large 2 car detached garage provides ample room for storage or extra parking. Dining room sports a beamed ceiling. Large open floor plan. Situated on a nice lot that offers lots of room for play/activities!
-
2015-07-29$39,900 Active 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Great two story home that offers a large enclosed front porch and rear deck. Located close to all amenities. Large 2 car detached garage provides ample room for storage or extra parking. Dining room sports a beamed ceiling. Large open floor plan. Situated on a nice lot that offers lots of room for play/activities!
-
2005-10-04soldstatus $44,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $844 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,689 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$844/yr (+$70/mo · 100.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,320
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$844
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,386
- − Management
- −$1,386
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $198
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$47
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,609/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- City population
- 432,803
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,740
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 8% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- British 2% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, India, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.56%
- Current HPI
- 274.2485
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+233.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $149,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2015-12-31 Sold (MLS) $3,000 UNYREIS
- 2015-11-20 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2015-11-20 Price Changed $19,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-10-01 Price Changed $24,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-08-29 Price Changed $36,000 UNYREIS
- 2015-07-29 Listed $39,900 UNYREIS
- 2005-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $44,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $844 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…