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1275 Crenshaw Rd
C Composite 55.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

1275 Crenshaw Rd · Holtville, AL 36092
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,630 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 253 Days on market
Built 2004 0.73 ac lot $107/sqft · 30% below area Est $250k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

It's a little bit country and a little bit food for your soul. .. .. It's almost three quarters of an acre at 1275 Crenshaw Road in Wetumpka, it's fresh breezes, mature trees and away from the hustle of city life. In other words, if you wanted a huge tomato garden, an above ground pool, a trampoline and a putting green in your back yard. .. .you still would have more room! Add three bedrooms and two full baths and you may never want to leave home. Wetumpka may be known in Alabama and nationally for being featured on the popular HGTV television show, one of the locations for the movie "Big Fish" and Creek Casino, but locally it is known for it's small town charm and newly revitalized downtown area. Wetumpka is a Creek Indian name meaning "rumbling waters". Are you ready to "rumble" ?

Key facts

  • Above ground pool
  • Putting green
  • Mature trees

Tags

ALMOST AN ACRE OF LANDMATURE TREESHUGE TOMATO GARDENABOVE GROUND POOLPUTTING GREEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $185 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (10.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.1% in Holtville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#155 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Elmore County (town): math 27% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #21 of 129 in AL (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 92 units permitted in Elmore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Elmore County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $115k; list at $175k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $153,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.57%
Cash-on-cash
4.54%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$249,857
List price
$174,900
Delta
-30.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-16,599
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$469
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36092

Home prices YoY
-25.9%
Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,570 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $774/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$330
Net cashflow
$185

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,335
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $174,900 Active 253 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $174,900 Active 252 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $174,900 Active 251 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $174,900 Active 250 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $174,900 Active 249 DOM
  6. 2026-04-30
    status Active 830-char remark
    Show marketing remark (830 chars)

    It's a little bit country and a little bit food for your soul. .. .. It's almost three quarters of an acre at 1275 Crenshaw Road in Wetumpka, it's fresh breezes, mature trees and away from the hustle of city life. In other words, if you wanted a huge tomato garden, an above ground pool, a trampoline and a putting green in your back yard. .. .you still would have more room! Add three bedrooms and two full baths and you may never want to leave home. Wetumpka may be known in Alabama and nationally for being featured on the popular HGTV television show, one of the locations for the movie "Big Fish" and Creek Casino, but locally it is known for it's small town charm and newly revitalized downtown area. Wetumpka is a Creek Indian name meaning "rumbling waters". Are you ready to "rumble" ?

  7. 2026-04-01
    status Pending 830-char remark
    Show marketing remark (830 chars)

    It's a little bit country and a little bit food for your soul. .. .. It's almost three quarters of an acre at 1275 Crenshaw Road in Wetumpka, it's fresh breezes, mature trees and away from the hustle of city life. In other words, if you wanted a huge tomato garden, an above ground pool, a trampoline and a putting green in your back yard. .. .you still would have more room! Add three bedrooms and two full baths and you may never want to leave home. Wetumpka may be known in Alabama and nationally for being featured on the popular HGTV television show, one of the locations for the movie "Big Fish" and Creek Casino, but locally it is known for it's small town charm and newly revitalized downtown area. Wetumpka is a Creek Indian name meaning "rumbling waters". Are you ready to "rumble" ?

  8. 2025-12-06
    price $174,900 830-char remark
    Show marketing remark (830 chars)

    It's a little bit country and a little bit food for your soul. .. .. It's almost three quarters of an acre at 1275 Crenshaw Road in Wetumpka, it's fresh breezes, mature trees and away from the hustle of city life. In other words, if you wanted a huge tomato garden, an above ground pool, a trampoline and a putting green in your back yard. .. .you still would have more room! Add three bedrooms and two full baths and you may never want to leave home. Wetumpka may be known in Alabama and nationally for being featured on the popular HGTV television show, one of the locations for the movie "Big Fish" and Creek Casino, but locally it is known for it's small town charm and newly revitalized downtown area. Wetumpka is a Creek Indian name meaning "rumbling waters". Are you ready to "rumble" ?

  9. 2025-08-25
    listed $198,900 Active 830-char remark
    Show marketing remark (830 chars)

    It's a little bit country and a little bit food for your soul. .. .. It's almost three quarters of an acre at 1275 Crenshaw Road in Wetumpka, it's fresh breezes, mature trees and away from the hustle of city life. In other words, if you wanted a huge tomato garden, an above ground pool, a trampoline and a putting green in your back yard. .. .you still would have more room! Add three bedrooms and two full baths and you may never want to leave home. Wetumpka may be known in Alabama and nationally for being featured on the popular HGTV television show, one of the locations for the movie "Big Fish" and Creek Casino, but locally it is known for it's small town charm and newly revitalized downtown area. Wetumpka is a Creek Indian name meaning "rumbling waters". Are you ready to "rumble" ?

  10. 2021-09-16
    soldstatus $114,990

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$774 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$774 · $64/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,836
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$774
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,507
− Management
−$1,507
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable loss
−$711
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$171
After-tax cash flow
$2,396/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elmore County
NCES district ID
0101290
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$54,898
Composite
35.27/100
National rank
#4974
State rank
#21 of 129 in AL

Livability — Holtville

Score
64/100
State rank
#155
US rank
#14095

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Elmore County · 36,842 people
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
22,242
Household income
$78,094
Rent vs Own
24.3% rent · 75.7% own
Severe rent burden
378.0

Population outlook (Elmore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
85,154 people
By 2030
86,667 · +1.8%
By 2040
89,014 · +4.5%
By 2050
90,331 · +6.1%
By 2075
96,096 · +12.8%
By 2100
95,290 · +11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 23% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Elmore

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.1) · D 23.6% · R 75.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.1pp toward R · 2008: -50.9pp · 2024: -52.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.1 2020: R+48.2 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+48.8 2008: R+50.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.80%
Current HPI
157.2258
Rent YoY
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+52.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted MAAR
  • 2026-04-01 Pending MAAR
  • 2025-12-06 Price Changed $174,900 MAAR
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $198,900 MAAR
  • 2021-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $114,990 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $774 · +6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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