1703 Swings Corner Pt Isab Rd · Bethel, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch situated on a 1-acre lot in the Felicity-Franklin Local School District. This property offers comfortable one-level living with a spacious yard and convenient access to OH 133 for an easy commute. A great opportunity to enjoy country living while remaining close to local amenities.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Country living
- One-level living
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.1% in Bethel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#685 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Felicity-Franklin Local (rural): math 53% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #388 of 656 in OH (top 59%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 996 units permitted in Clermont County in 2024 (210 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.86%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $219,750
- List price
- $99,500
- Delta
- -54.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $14,708
- Equity at exit
- $14,836
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $52,487
- Equity at exit
- $8,603
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45106
- Home prices YoY
- -16.2%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,424 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $932/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $484
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,500 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,500 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-12status Active 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch situated on a 1-acre lot in the Felicity-Franklin Local School District. This property offers comfortable one-level living with a spacious yard and convenient access to OH 133 for an easy commute. A great opportunity to enjoy country living while remaining close to local amenities.
-
2026-04-02historical Contingency Pending 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch situated on a 1-acre lot in the Felicity-Franklin Local School District. This property offers comfortable one-level living with a spacious yard and convenient access to OH 133 for an easy commute. A great opportunity to enjoy country living while remaining close to local amenities.
-
2026-03-24$99,500 Active 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
3-bedroom, 2-bath ranch situated on a 1-acre lot in the Felicity-Franklin Local School District. This property offers comfortable one-level living with a spacious yard and convenient access to OH 133 for an easy commute. A great opportunity to enjoy country living while remaining close to local amenities.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $932 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,242 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$310/yr (+$26/mo · 33.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,090
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$932
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,367
- − Management
- −$1,367
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $4,458
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,070
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,740/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Felicity-Franklin Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904633
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,159
- Composite
- 45.83/100
- National rank
- #2556
- State rank
- #388 of 656 in OH
Livability — Bethel
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #685
- US rank
- #12038
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clermont · 218,829 people
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,096
- Household income
- $68,458
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 29.0
Population outlook (Clermont County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 210,162 people
- By 2030
- 212,463 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 212,504 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 205,957 · -2.0%
- By 2075
- 182,728 · -13.1%
- By 2100
- 143,986 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clermont
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.8) · D 31.7% · R 67.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.4pp · 2024: -35.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.8 2020: R+36.6 2016: R+41.3 2012: R+35.5 2008: R+32.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.74%
- Current HPI
- 324.3695
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Relisted — Cincy MLS
- 2026-04-02 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2026-03-24 Listed $99,500 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $932 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…