🏷️ Likely Rental
1622 Wayne St NE · Roanoke, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$148,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Monthly rent: 835.00, lease end date: 09-01-2026
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1947
- Listed 370 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (4.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.2% in Roanoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
- Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 370 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 370 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.81%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $185,979
- List price
- $148,500
- Delta
- -20.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 Colgate St NE | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+14%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $203 | 59 |
| 1006 Pocahontas Ave NE | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (+3%) | 10mo | $238,000 | $213 | 58 |
| 920 Mohawk Ave NE | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 964 (-11%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $233 | 56 |
| 144 Courtney Ave NE | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,125 (+4%) | 6mo | $162,000 | $144 | 55 |
| 115 Liberty Rd NE | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,153 (+6%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $160 | 53 |
| 2340 Ridgefield St NE | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,070 (-1%) | 14mo | $209,200 | $196 | 49 |
| 706 Queen Ave NW | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,067 (-2%) | 16mo | $163,000 | $153 | 49 |
| 2107 Hollins Rd NE | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,242 (+15%) | 9mo | $170,000 | $137 | 46 |
| 2219 Ridgefield St NE | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,134 (+5%) | 23mo | $130,000 | $115 | 46 |
| 915 Indiana Ave NE | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 971 (-10%) | 15mo | $165,000 | $170 | 44 |
| 1021 11th St NE | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,156 (+7%) | 18mo | $135,000 | $117 | 43 |
| 2724 Courtland Rd NW | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+14%) | 16mo | $230,000 | $187 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-10,360
- Equity at exit
- $22,142
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $33,115
- Equity at exit
- $12,840
Cash invested: $41,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24012
- Rents YoY
- 10.5%
- Active inventory
- 194
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,417 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$779
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,177/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $97
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,125
- Closing costs
- $4,455
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1712 Wayne St NE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,250 | $1.51 | 20d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2109 Colgate St NE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1515 Dunbar St NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $1,623 | $1.53 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 44 Forest Hill Ave NE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,150 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2716 Edison St NE Unit & 2718 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 864 | $1,225 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2916 Courtland Rd NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 722 | $1,123 | $1.56 | 20d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1423 Varnell Ave NE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,650 | $2.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 401 Rutherford Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 216 Patton Ave NW Unit 2 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,025 | $0.83 | 20d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 333 Harrison Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1186 | $1,123 | $0.95 | 20d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 717 Orange Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $900 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3111 Ellsworth St NE Roanoke, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,199 | $1.81 | 13d | 2 | 1.06mi |
| 1605 Church Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,200 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1905 Wise Ave SE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,123 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 106 Lee Ave NE Apt 10 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 902 | $1,125 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 106 Lee Ave NE Apt 10 Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 820 | $1,160 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1708 Baldwin Ave NE Unit A Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $1,550 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1824 Eastern Ave NE Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 863 | $1,200 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3228 Oliver Rd NE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $1,150 | $1.13 | 20d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1115 Grayson Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1094 | $2,300 | $2.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3323 Collingwood St NE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,150 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1117 Rugby Blvd NW Unit B Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $778 | $0.74 | 20d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 813 Gilmer Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,322 | $1.26 | 20d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 922 12th St SE Unit A Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $899 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1015 12th St SE Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $923 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 220 8th St Vinton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,199 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1007 Gilmer Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1187 | $1,175 | $0.99 | 20d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1016 15th St SE #2 Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1084 | $995 | $0.92 | 13d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1116 Fairfax Ave NW Roanoke, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 20d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $148,500 Active 370 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $148,500 Active 369 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $148,500 Active 368 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $148,500 Active 367 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $148,500 Active 365 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $148,500 Active 364 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $148,500 Active 362 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $148,500 Active 361 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $148,500 Active 360 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $148,500 Active 356 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $148,500 Active 355 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $148,500 Active 354 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $148,500 Active 353 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $148,500 Active 352 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $148,500 Active 351 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $148,500 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Monthly rent: 835.00, lease end date: 09-01-2026
-
2026-02-06price $152,365 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Monthly rent: 835.00, lease end date: 09-01-2026
-
2026-01-05price $155,474 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Monthly rent: 835.00, lease end date: 09-01-2026
-
2025-11-13price $158,647 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Monthly rent: 835.00, lease end date: 09-01-2026
-
2025-10-08price $161,885 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Monthly rent: 835.00, lease end date: 09-01-2026
-
2025-09-03price $165,189 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Monthly rent: 835.00, lease end date: 09-01-2026
-
2025-08-08price $168,560 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Monthly rent: 835.00, lease end date: 09-01-2026
-
2025-06-13$172,000 Active 48-char remark
Show marketing remark (48 chars)
Monthly rent: 835.00, lease end date: 09-01-2026
-
2023-02-28soldstatus $1,297,000
-
1996-08-01soldstatus $225,000
-
1987-05-14soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,177 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,177 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,002
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,318
- − Property taxes
- −$2,177
- − Insurance
- −$742
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,360
- − Management
- −$1,360
- − Depreciation
- −$4,320
- Taxable loss
- −$1,276
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$306
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,474/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roanoke City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103300
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,592
- Composite
- 40.8/100
- National rank
- #3639
- State rank
- #102 of 131 in VA
Livability — Roanoke
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #5055
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roanoke, VA
- County
- Roanoke City · 101,625 people
- City population
- 168,930
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,235
- Household income
- $52,973
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1360.0
Population outlook (Roanoke County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,094 people
- By 2030
- 108,927 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 114,104 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 118,032 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 123,363 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 116,827 · +10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Roanoke
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.6) · D 61.1% · R 37.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 23.4pp · 2024: 23.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.6 2020: D+25.8 2016: D+17.6 2012: D+21.5 2008: D+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -137.94%
- Current HPI
- 186.9007
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 10.46%
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+364.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $148,500 MLSRV
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $152,365 MLSRV
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $155,474 MLSRV
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $158,647 MLSRV
- 2025-10-08 Price Changed $161,885 MLSRV
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $165,189 MLSRV
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $168,560 MLSRV
- 2025-06-13 Listed $172,000 MLSRV
- 2023-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $1,297,000 Public Records
- 1996-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 1987-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,177 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…