129 Red Pine Cir · Gilmer, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
Key facts
- Half acre
- Storage building
- Carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($948 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.9% in Gilmer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,257 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Gladewater ISD (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #594 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Upshur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Upshur County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 340 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 340 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.39%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-1,770
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $12,928
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75755
- Home prices YoY
- -18.6%
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $948 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,454/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$199
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
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2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 340 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 339 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 338 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 337 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 336 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 334 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 333 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 331 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 330 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 329 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 328 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 324 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 323 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 322 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 321 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 320 DOM
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2026-04-14price $79,900 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2026-04-14price $79,900 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
-
2026-02-23price $80,000 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2026-02-23price $80,000 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2026-01-06price $80,500 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2026-01-06price $80,500 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2025-11-12price $81,000 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2025-11-12price $81,000 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2025-09-10price $82,000 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2025-09-10price $82,000 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2025-08-20price $84,000 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2025-08-20price $84,000 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2025-07-30price $84,500 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2025-07-30price $84,500 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2025-07-16$84,900 Active 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
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2025-07-14$84,900 Active 286-char remark
Show marketing remark (286 chars)
CUTE LITTLE 1 BED 1 BATH ON OVER A HALF ACRE. BUILT IN 2024, NICE CARPORT AND STORAGE BUILDING, MINI SPLIT HEAT AND AC. KITCHEN EATING COMBO, SPACE FOR STACK WASHER AND DRYER, AEROBIC SYSTEM IS 2024 AS WELL. ALL SET UP AND READY TO MOVE IN. PRICED TO SELL. DON'T LET THIS ONE SLIP AWAY.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,454 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,462 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$8/yr (+$1/mo · 0.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,371
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,454
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$910
- − Management
- −$910
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $897
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$215
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,885/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-family home is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minor repairs to the kitchen countertops and cabinets. The home is move-in ready and has a good resale and rental value with updates like painting and organizing the kitchen.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen countertops — Cluttered with items
- Minor kitchen cabinets — Cluttered with items
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both organize kitchen countertops — A clutter-free space is more appealing and functional
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen countertops · Cluttered with items | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| kitchen cabinets · Cluttered with items | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both organize kitchen countertops — A clutter-free space is more appealing and functional ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gladewater ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820760
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,485
- Composite
- 26.62/100
- National rank
- #7177
- State rank
- #594 of 826 in TX
Livability — Gilmer
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #1257
- US rank
- #21903
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,863
Population outlook (Upshur County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,771 people
- By 2030
- 43,788 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 45,574 · +6.6%
- By 2050
- 46,683 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 49,137 · +14.9%
- By 2100
- 47,457 · +11.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Slovak 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Upshur
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.0) · D 14.2% · R 85.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.0pp toward R · 2008: -49.0pp · 2024: -71.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.0 2020: R+68.5 2016: R+68.0 2012: R+59.8 2008: R+49.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.30%
- Current HPI
- 189.9675
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-5.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $79,900 LAAR
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $79,900 GTAR
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $80,000 LAAR
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $80,000 GTAR
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $80,500 GTAR
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $80,500 LAAR
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $81,000 LAAR
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $81,000 GTAR
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $82,000 LAAR
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $82,000 GTAR
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $84,000 LAAR
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $84,000 GTAR
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $84,500 LAAR
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $84,500 GTAR
- 2025-07-16 Listed $84,900 GTAR
- 2025-07-14 Listed $84,900 LAAR
Property tax history
+105.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,454 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…