1597 Alamo Dr #146 · Vacaville, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 21 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Amazing forever home. Large front room with faux fireplace, dinning area with built in cabinetry, spacious kitchen with island, family room that will lead you out to your spacious covered deck and into a wonderful grassy area perfect for your park friendly pet. This lovely 2 bd 2 ba home will bring you much happiness. You cant help but to fall in love with this home!
Key facts
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1977
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $998 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.0% in Vacaville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#88 in CA, #3,156 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living F.
- Vacaville Unified (suburban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #522 of 1,400 in CA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,472 units permitted in Solano County in 2024 (131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Solano County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.44%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $202,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1597 Alamo Dr #175 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,552 (-0%) | 4mo | $165,500 | $107 | 91 |
| 1597 Alamo Dr #195 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,498 (-4%) | 18mo | $160,000 | $107 | 79 |
| 1597 Alamo Dr #154 | 0.00mi | 2/— | 1,440 (-8%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $87 | 78 |
| 1597 Alamo Dr #194 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-4%) | 12mo | $166,000 | $111 | 73 |
| 1597 Alamo Dr #141 Dr | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-14%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $130 | 72 |
| 1597 Alamo Dr #141 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-14%) | 9mo | $73,000 | $54 | 69 |
| 1597 Alamo Dr #182 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-8%) | 11mo | $100,000 | $69 | 68 |
| 1597 Alamo Dr #186 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,674 (+7%) | 22mo | $299,900 | $179 | 64 |
| 150 Calle Tepic | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-7%) | 5mo | $222,000 | $152 | 61 |
| 56 Calle Chapala | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 4mo | $207,500 | $154 | 46 |
| 4 Calle Francisca | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,330 (-15%) | 13mo | $217,000 | $163 | 43 |
| 71 Avenida Hidalgo | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 11mo | $194,000 | $144 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $27,060
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $73,937
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95687
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,794 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$587
- Net cashflow
- $998
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1797 Brookwood Dr Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $2,800 | $2.23 | 13d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 343 Moon River Pl Vacaville, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 893 | $2,720 | $3.05 | 13d | 22 | 0.64mi |
| 945 Davis St Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 600 Rialto Dr Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,750 | $1.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 361 Gabiano Ct Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1229 | $3,000 | $2.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 212 Stonyford Dr Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $3,000 | $2.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 148 Peabody Rd Vacaville, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1046 | $2,998 | $2.86 | 2d | 15 | 1.02mi |
| 398 Aaron Cir Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1700 | $3,295 | $1.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 520 McKnight Ln Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1129 | $2,895 | $2.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 642 Silvertop Way Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $2,995 | $1.77 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 432 Zachary Dr Vacaville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,850 | $2.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1000 Allison Dr Vacaville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $3,100 | $3.13 | 13d | 15 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-21historical
-
2026-05-20$175,000
-
2022-06-23soldstatus $185,000 Closed 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Amazing forever home. Large front room with faux fireplace, dinning area with built in cabinetry, spacious kitchen with island, family room that will lead you out to your spacious covered deck and into a wonderful grassy area perfect for your park friendly pet. This lovely 2 bd 2 ba home will bring you much happiness. You cant help but to fall in love with this home!
-
2022-06-03historical Contingent (No Show) 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Amazing forever home. Large front room with faux fireplace, dinning area with built in cabinetry, spacious kitchen with island, family room that will lead you out to your spacious covered deck and into a wonderful grassy area perfect for your park friendly pet. This lovely 2 bd 2 ba home will bring you much happiness. You cant help but to fall in love with this home!
-
2022-05-31$155,000 Active 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Amazing forever home. Large front room with faux fireplace, dinning area with built in cabinetry, spacious kitchen with island, family room that will lead you out to your spacious covered deck and into a wonderful grassy area perfect for your park friendly pet. This lovely 2 bd 2 ba home will bring you much happiness. You cant help but to fall in love with this home!
-
2013-03-11soldstatus $30,500 Sold 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Wonderful floor plan with dining & living room combined, eat in kitchen, family room, laundry room, 2 full bathrooms, porch, covered parking & yard space. Come make this your home.
-
2013-03-05status Contingent (Show) 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Wonderful floor plan with dining & living room combined, eat in kitchen, family room, laundry room, 2 full bathrooms, porch, covered parking & yard space. Come make this your home.
-
2013-02-20price $30,500 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Wonderful floor plan with dining & living room combined, eat in kitchen, family room, laundry room, 2 full bathrooms, porch, covered parking & yard space. Come make this your home.
-
2013-02-15price $34,500 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Wonderful floor plan with dining & living room combined, eat in kitchen, family room, laundry room, 2 full bathrooms, porch, covered parking & yard space. Come make this your home.
-
2013-01-27$41,500 Active 190-char remark
Show marketing remark (190 chars)
Wonderful floor plan with dining & living room combined, eat in kitchen, family room, laundry room, 2 full bathrooms, porch, covered parking & yard space. Come make this your home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 21 unhealthy d/yr today · 22 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,530
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,682
- − Management
- −$2,682
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $9,772
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,345
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,631/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This manufactured home requires moderate repairs to the exterior siding and landscaping, but is otherwise in good condition with a good roof and interior. Painting the exterior and trimming the landscaping would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
- Minor landscaping — Overgrown vegetation
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Significant wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown vegetation | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $15,500–53,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vacaville Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0640590
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,383
- Composite
- 42.48/100
- National rank
- #6877
- State rank
- #522 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Vacaville
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #88
- US rank
- #3156
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vacaville, CA
- County
- Solano County · 433,239 people
- City population
- 109,591
- Metro
- Vallejo, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,390
- Household income
- $109,566
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1761.0
Population outlook (Solano County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 478,685 people
- By 2030
- 497,974 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 528,515 · +10.4%
- By 2050
- 549,115 · +14.7%
- By 2075
- 587,229 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 571,378 · +19.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 10% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 13% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Solano
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.0) · D 60.0% · R 37.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.0 2020: D+30.3 2016: D+30.5 2012: D+28.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -299.59%
- Current HPI
- 268.0777
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.55%
- Metro
- Vallejo, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+321.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Delisted — BAREIS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $175,000 BAREIS
- 2022-06-23 Sold (MLS) $185,000 BAREIS
- 2022-06-03 Contingent — BAREIS
- 2022-05-31 Listed $155,000 BAREIS
- 2013-03-11 Sold (MLS) $30,500 BAREIS
- 2013-03-05 Pending — BAREIS
- 2013-02-20 Price Changed $30,500 BAREIS
- 2013-02-15 Price Changed $34,500 BAREIS
- 2013-01-27 Listed $41,500 BAREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…