4604 State Route 339 West · Wingo, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 3 bedroom, 1 1/2 bath home has been completely remodeled! New paint, new light fixtures, new kitchen appliances, new kitchen countertops and cabinets, and new luxury vinyl tile floors. The 2-car detached garage with workshop needs some work. The home sits on a 0.86 acre lot. Adjacent 1.92 acres available for sale for $30,000 with 220 feet of road frontage. This home is move-in ready!
Key facts
- Completely remodeled
- 0.86 acre lot
- 0.86 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; 2-car carport; Paved parking
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence; 1 story
- Construction: Frame construction; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Level lot; State road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Cooktop
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Storm windows; Insulated windows; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $215k (2.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $215k (2.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#212 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Graves County (rural): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #10 of 165 in KY (top 6%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Wingo Elementary School (math 53% / reading 50%, grade C-, #91 of 676 statewide, top 14%, 428 students, 76% FRL); Graves County Middle School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade D, #36 of 217 statewide, top 18%, 621 students, 53% FRL); Graves County High School (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #57 of 254 statewide, top 22%, 1,096 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Graves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
- Graves County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $220k implies a 450% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.07%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $81,710
- Equity at exit
- $129,688
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.60×
- Total profit
- $221,905
- Equity at exit
- $228,136
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42088
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,147 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $447/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $414
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $219,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 392-char remark
-
2026-06-12$219,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $447 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,891 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,444/yr (+$120/mo · 323.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,763
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$447
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,061
- − Management
- −$2,061
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable income
- $1,380
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$331
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,637/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Graves County
- NCES district ID
- 2102280
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,560
- Composite
- 41.74/100
- National rank
- #3400
- State rank
- #10 of 165 in KY
Livability — Wingo
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #212
- US rank
- #10336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,507
Population outlook (Graves County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,916 people
- By 2030
- 36,587 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 35,580 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 33,906 · -8.2%
- By 2075
- 28,957 · -21.6%
- By 2100
- 21,552 · -41.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Graves
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.6% · R 80.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -61.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+39.7 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.38%
- Current HPI
- 255.5392
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+449.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $219,900 WKRMLS
- 2025-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2025): $447 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…