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126 Berry Hill Rd
B- Composite 68.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

126 Berry Hill Rd · South Pittsburg, TN 37380
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,194 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 142 Days on market
Built 1958 0.48 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all investors! With beautiful mountain views from its rocking chair front porch, a large lot surrounded by mature trees, & only minutes to the historic downtown of South Pittsburg shopping, businesses, & schools, this investment home provides a canvas for a fresh take on southern living. There is a separate-standing home built in 1920 on the property. Contractor or Investor special! Two properties for the price of one on a large city lot. Would make a great rental property.

Key facts

  • Historic downtown
  • Large lot
  • Mountain views

Tags

MOUNTAIN VIEWSROCKING CHAIR FRONT PORCHLARGE LOTMATURE TREESHISTORIC DOWNTOWNSEPARATE-STANDING HOME

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: $1,034 annual tax (tax amount provided)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Existing (year built not specified)
  • Construction: Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Approximately 0.48-acre lot; Water available

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No central cooling
  • Interior features: Three or more levels; Block foundation

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#218 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Richard City (rural): math 30% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #107 of 145 in TN (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 225 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $56k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
12.83%
Cash-on-cash
23.35%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$13,890
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
3.17×
Total profit
$45,666
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37380

Home prices YoY
-5.1%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,164 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,034/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$409

Break-even live

Break-even rent $646
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
585 Irondale Rd South Pittsburg, TN 1.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 13d 1 0.28mi
2340 Hamilton Ave Unit 14 South Pittsburg, TN 2.0 1.0 775 $1,047 $1.35 13d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 142 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 141 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $75,000 Active 140 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 139 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 137 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $75,000 Active 136 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 133 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 132 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 131 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 130 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 127 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 126 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 125 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 124 DOM
  15. 2026-01-27
    listed $75,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Calling all investors! With beautiful mountain views from its rocking chair front porch, a large lot surrounded by mature trees, & only minutes to the historic downtown of South Pittsburg shopping, businesses, & schools, this investment home provides a canvas for a fresh take on southern living. There is a separate-standing home built in 1920 on the property. Contractor or Investor special! Two properties for the price of one on a large city lot. Would make a great rental property.

  16. 2026-01-27
    listed $75,000 Active 496-char remark
    Show marketing remark (496 chars)

    Calling all investors! With beautiful mountain views from its rocking chair front porch, a large lot surrounded by mature trees, & only minutes to the historic downtown of South Pittsburg shopping, businesses, & schools, this investment home provides a canvas for a fresh take on southern living. There is a separate-standing home built in 1920 on the property. Contractor or Investor special! Two properties for the price of one on a large city lot. Would make a great rental property.

  17. 2025-04-16
    status Pending 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    Contractor or Investor special! Two properties for the price of one on a large city lot. Would make a great rental property.

  18. 2025-04-16
    historical 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    Contractor or Investor special! Two properties for the price of one on a large city lot. Would make a great rental property.

  19. 2025-02-11
    listed $45,000 Active 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    Contractor or Investor special! Two properties for the price of one on a large city lot. Would make a great rental property.

  20. 2023-08-14
    soldstatus $56,000
  21. 2023-08-11
    soldstatus $56,000 Closed
  22. 2023-08-07
    historical Contingent
  23. 2023-07-18
    price $75,000
  24. 2023-07-06
    price $92,500
  25. 2023-06-24
    price $100,000
  26. 2023-06-15
    price $105,000
  27. 2023-06-08
    listed $110,000 Active
  28. 2007-02-28
    soldstatus $28,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,034 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,034 · $86/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,966
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,034
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,117
− Management
−$1,117
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$3,939
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$945
After-tax cash flow
$3,959/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richard City
NCES district ID
4703540
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$32,017
Composite
27.32/100
National rank
#12418
State rank
#107 of 145 in TN

Livability — South Pittsburg

Score
62/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#16522

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Pittsburg, TN
Population (ZIP)
6,604

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,889 people
By 2030
28,915 · +0.1%
By 2040
28,662 · -0.8%
By 2050
28,053 · -2.9%
By 2075
26,855 · -7.0%
By 2100
24,404 · -15.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Black 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.4%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -55.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.7 2020: R+50.8 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.95%
Current HPI
260.87
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+167.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $75,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $75,000 GCAR
  • 2025-04-16 Pending REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-16 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-11 Listed $45,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
  • 2023-08-11 Sold (MLS) $56,000 GCAR
  • 2023-08-07 Contingent GCAR
  • 2023-07-18 Price Changed $75,000 GCAR
  • 2023-07-06 Price Changed $92,500 GCAR
  • 2023-06-24 Price Changed $100,000 GCAR
  • 2023-06-15 Price Changed $105,000 GCAR
  • 2023-06-08 Listed $110,000 GCAR
  • 2007-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+12.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,034 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…