240 Pine Hills Rd · Prosperity, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 44.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
OPEN HOUSE SUNDAY APRIL 18TH FROM 1-3PM. Welcome to this one owner home that sits in a beautiful country setting on 1 acre. This 4 bedroom 2 bath charming home is ready for its new owners to come in and make their own. Walking in you will find a lot of natural light with a big bay window in the living room. Next you will find a spacious kitchen with a breakfast nook that leads to the back porch. The owners suite is private as it is on opposite sides of the home from the other three bedrooms. The roof was installed in 2015 and the hvac in 2019. Schedule your showing today! Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who may appear in listings.
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Private owners suite
- Roof installed 2015
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info:
- HOA & community:
Exterior
- Parking:
- Security:
- Utilities: Public water; Septic sewer service
- Home design: Single-story home; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Crawlspace foundation; Brick exterior above foundation
- Exterior features: Brick exterior above foundation on all sides; Chain link fencing; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Smooth surface range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms located on the main level
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank flooring in the kitchen
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Private bathroom in the primary bedroom; Family room on main level; Eat-in kitchen; Laundry located in a heated space/bath; Refrigerator included; Smooth surface range
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level in heated space (bath)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $572 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
- Recommended offer: $186k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#48 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Newberry 01 (rural): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #40 of 80 in SC (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Little Mountain Elementary (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #145 of 597 statewide, top 26%, 396 students, 100% FRL); Mid-Carolina High (math 67% / reading 89%, grade A-, #27 of 196 statewide, top 13%, 723 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 60% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+29 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Newberry 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Newberry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Newberry County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.98%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $5,834
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $52,025
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29127
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,304 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$178 /mo · $2,134/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$484
- Net cashflow
- $572
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending
-
2026-04-22historical Active - Contingent
-
2026-04-16$189,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,134 · $178/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,134 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 44% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,649
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$2,134
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,212
- − Management
- −$2,212
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable income
- $4,061
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$975
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,895/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newberry 01
- NCES district ID
- 4503030
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,892
- Composite
- 30.28/100
- National rank
- #6282
- State rank
- #40 of 80 in SC
Livability — Prosperity
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #48
- US rank
- #6895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,215
Population outlook (Newberry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,350 people
- By 2030
- 38,259 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 37,487 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 36,219 · -5.6%
- By 2075
- 32,400 · -15.5%
- By 2100
- 27,201 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 24% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Newberry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.3) · D 32.2% · R 66.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.6pp · 2024: -34.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.3 2020: R+24.1 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+17.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.95%
- Current HPI
- 205.2888
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-22 Contingent — Consolidated MLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $189,000 Consolidated MLS
Property tax history
+19.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,134 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…