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20 Locust St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 77.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$85,000

20 Locust St · Rochester, NY 14613
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,152 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1870 4,691 sqft lot Est $157k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity for shrewd investors or possible owner-occupant opportunity! This duplex features two spacious units including a 2 bedroom upstairs and 3 bedroom downstairs apartment. Both units are currently rented on month to month leases, offering flexibility for future rent or owner occupancy. Group showings Friday 6/5 12p-1p, Saturday 6/6 11a-12p, Sunday 6/7 1p-2p. Delayed negotiations- all offers will be reviewed Monday 6/8 @ 1PM. Don't miss out on this excellent cash-flow opportunity!

Key facts

  • 4,691 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1870

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two total units with separate gas and electric meters for each unit
  • Financial info: Owner pays trash collection and water; Operating expenses include trash and water/sewer

Exterior

  • Parking: Two or more off-street parking spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story residential 2-unit property; Resale condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Existing (previously built)
  • Exterior features: Partial fenced yard; Rectangular lot; Main thoroughfare frontage

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Full basement; Hardwood, laminate, tile, and varying flooring throughout
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $85,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$157,096) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $756/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 27.7% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $41k; list at $85k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.09%
Cap rate
27.65%
Cash-on-cash
76.28%
DSCR
4.39
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$157,096
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
106 Emerson St 0.06mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,268 (+5%) 4mo $166,000 $73 80
60 Locust St 0.15mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,250 (+5%) 3mo $65,000 $29 78
205-207 Ravine Ave 0.11mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,240 (+4%) 11mo $190,000 $85 74
220 Glenwood Ave 0.23mi 5/2.0 2,016 (-6%) 11mo $170,000 $84 70
475 Sherman St 0.39mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,016 (-6%) 5mo $150,000 $74 62
227 Saratoga Ave 0.37mi 6/3.0 (+1) 2,000 (-7%) 2mo $85,000 $43 60
408 Glenwood Ave 0.45mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,027 (-6%) 7mo $110,000 $54 58
254 Lexington Ave 0.39mi 5/2.0 1,845 (-14%) 0mo $135,000 $73 58
104 Parkway 0.54mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,070 (-4%) 10mo $170,000 $82 55
929 Plymouth Ave N 0.41mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,380 (+11%) 4mo $125,000 $53 55
96 Otis St 0.57mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,092 (-3%) 11mo $125,000 $60 55
58 Avenue C 0.59mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,230 (+4%) 10mo $130,000 $58 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
76.2%
Equity multiple
4.47×
Total profit
$82,601
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
79.9%
Equity multiple
9.24×
Total profit
$196,089
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14613

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,624 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $948/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$551
Net cashflow
$1,513

Break-even live

Break-even rent $709
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 37%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,624

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
649 Jay St Rochester, NY 5.0 2.0 2144 $2,000 $0.93 3d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $85,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    remarks 509-char remark
  7. 2026-06-05
    listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$948 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,192 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$244/yr (+$20/mo · 25.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,488
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$948
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,519
− Management
−$2,519
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$17,843
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,282
After-tax cash flow
$13,871/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
City population
432,803
Population (ZIP)
14,740

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 8% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
British 2% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, India, Philippines
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.56%
Current HPI
274.2485
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+108.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $85,000 UNYREIS
  • 2011-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $40,700 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $948 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…