509 Fir St · Elko, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
With pride of ownership welcome to 509 Fir street. This 2 bedroom, 1 bath tree street charmer sits on a corner lot that is fully fenced with established yard, trees, and automatic sprinklers that were installed in 2022. New Roof installed during 2020. Upon entering, you'll find a delightful living room followed by a kitchen with a cute farmhouse feel. The kitchen has brand-new stainless steel appliances and a generously sized window that allows natural light. The main level also features two bedrooms and an adorable bathroom that still retains its old-school charm from its original construction in the 1930s. There is a new Mini Split system that offers heating and cooling for entire home. Additional features of the home include the laundry downstairs, an additional room for storage and a utility room. Schedule an appointment today to preview this adorable home.
Key facts
- Mini-split system
- Laundry area
- Unfinished basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 covered/garage space
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence (residential property)
- Construction: Metal siding
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Asphalt roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Water softener
- Bedrooms: 7 total rooms (includes bedroom count within total rooms)
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric); Ductless cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (19.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.0% in Elko — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#11 in NV, #3,528 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, commute D-.
- Elko County School District (town): math 22% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #9 of 17 in NV (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 280 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 120 units permitted in Elko County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Elko County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $260k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.30%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-44,365
- Equity at exit
- $46,222
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-31,416
- Equity at exit
- $26,803
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89801
- Active inventory
- 280
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,513/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $94
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1729 Village Pkwy Elko, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1522 | $2,500 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-19status $310,000 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18statusdays on market $310,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $310,000 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09$310,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,513 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,829 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$316/yr (+$26/mo · 20.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$1,513
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable loss
- −$4,246
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,019
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,148/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elko County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200120
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,371
- Composite
- 28.09/100
- National rank
- #6831
- State rank
- #9 of 17 in NV
Livability — Elko
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #11
- US rank
- #3528
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elko, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,070
Population outlook (Elko County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 56,797 people
- By 2030
- 59,107 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 63,513 · +11.8%
- By 2050
- 66,996 · +18.0%
- By 2075
- 73,785 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 72,352 · +27.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 15% Native American 5% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Dutch 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 15% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Elko
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.6) · D 20.6% · R 77.2% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -56.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.6 2020: R+55.5 2016: R+54.7 2012: R+53.2 2008: R+40.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.07%
- Current HPI
- 146.8186
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+306.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $310,000 ECRMLS
- 2023-08-30 Sold (MLS) $260,000 ECRMLS
- 2023-08-14 Delisted — ECRMLS
- 2023-08-02 Pending — ECRMLS
- 2023-07-31 Listed $260,000 ECRMLS
- 2020-07-24 Sold (MLS) $209,000 ECRMLS
- 2020-06-16 Listed $209,000 ECRMLS
- 2006-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 1994-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $76,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,513 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…