11317 Margie Dr · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very nice 3 bedroom 1.5 bath home in Calallen ISD. Conveniently located close to shopping, restaurants, schools and parks. Large back yard with plenty of room for outdoor activities, gatherings and Bar-B-Que's, in a quiet neighborhood. A MUST SEE!
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Close to restaurants
- Close to schools
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Calallen ISD (urban): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #249 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 316 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.02%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $188,739
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -33.77%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10829 Mayfield Dr | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,060 (+3%) | 14mo | $150,000 | $142 | 56 |
| 11309 Dew Creek Cir | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,019 (-1%) | 4mo | $166,000 | $163 | 54 |
| 11807 Up River Rd | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+7%) | 4mo | $115,730 | $105 | 48 |
| 11302 Willowood Crk | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,061 (+3%) | 15mo | $155,000 | $146 | 47 |
| 10825 Mayfield Dr | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 962 (-7%) | 16mo | $95,000 | $99 | 46 |
| 4233 Nolford Pl | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,157 (+12%) | 10mo | $216,500 | $187 | 41 |
| 11305 Red Creek Cir | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,130 (+10%) | 21mo | $199,900 | $177 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,164
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $15,083
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78410
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 316
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,585 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $292
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11325 Interstate Highway 37 Corpus Christi, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 787 | $1,199 | $1.52 | 13d | 3 | 0.28mi |
| 11613 Cripple Creek Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1432 | $1,995 | $1.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 4425 Fleetwood Ln Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,000 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 11214 Willowood Creek Dr Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1253 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 11202 Willowood Creek Dr Unit A Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1253 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 11934 Hearn Rd Unit 1351574P Corpus Christi, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $2,613 | $2.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3150 Peachtree St Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 724 | $1,135 | $1.57 | 13d | 5 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-02-20$125,000 Active 247-char remark
Show marketing remark (247 chars)
Very nice 3 bedroom 1.5 bath home in Calallen ISD. Conveniently located close to shopping, restaurants, schools and parks. Large back yard with plenty of room for outdoor activities, gatherings and Bar-B-Que's, in a quiet neighborhood. A MUST SEE!
-
2019-04-30historical 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
READY FOR MOVE IN! Very Nice home in Calallen School District, conveniently located close to shopping. Home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, split bedrooms, freshly painted, with a large backyard, in a quiet neighborhood. A MUST SEE! Won’t last long!
-
2019-04-26soldstatus
-
2019-04-25soldstatus Closed 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
READY FOR MOVE IN! Very Nice home in Calallen School District, conveniently located close to shopping. Home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, split bedrooms, freshly painted, with a large backyard, in a quiet neighborhood. A MUST SEE! Won’t last long!
-
2019-03-17status Pending 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
READY FOR MOVE IN! Very Nice home in Calallen School District, conveniently located close to shopping. Home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, split bedrooms, freshly painted, with a large backyard, in a quiet neighborhood. A MUST SEE! Won’t last long!
-
2019-02-16status Active 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
READY FOR MOVE IN! Very Nice home in Calallen School District, conveniently located close to shopping. Home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, split bedrooms, freshly painted, with a large backyard, in a quiet neighborhood. A MUST SEE! Won’t last long!
-
2019-02-09historical Option Period 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
READY FOR MOVE IN! Very Nice home in Calallen School District, conveniently located close to shopping. Home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, split bedrooms, freshly painted, with a large backyard, in a quiet neighborhood. A MUST SEE! Won’t last long!
-
2019-01-08$83,900 Active 255-char remark
Show marketing remark (255 chars)
READY FOR MOVE IN! Very Nice home in Calallen School District, conveniently located close to shopping. Home features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, split bedrooms, freshly painted, with a large backyard, in a quiet neighborhood. A MUST SEE! Won’t last long!
-
2011-01-15soldstatus
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2011-01-13soldstatus
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2010-09-12$65,000
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2007-10-26soldstatus
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2007-10-15soldstatus
-
2006-03-28$35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,025 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,025 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,018
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$3,025
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,521
- − Management
- −$1,521
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,687
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$405
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,103/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calallen ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4812420
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,780
- Composite
- 39.25/100
- National rank
- #4004
- State rank
- #249 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- County
- Nueces County · 296,836 people
- City population
- 296,836
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,040
- Household income
- $79,308
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 324.0
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 59% White 38% Two or more races 35% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 54% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 28%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.45%
- Current HPI
- 174.0462
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+257.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-20 Listed $125,000 CBMLS
- 2019-04-30 Delisted — CBMLS
- 2019-04-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-04-25 Sold (MLS) — CBMLS
- 2019-03-17 Pending — CBMLS
- 2019-02-16 Relisted — CBMLS
- 2019-02-09 Contingent — CBMLS
- 2019-01-08 Listed $83,900 CBMLS
- 2011-01-15 Sold (MLS) — CBMLS
- 2011-01-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-09-12 Listed $65,000 CBMLS
- 2007-10-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-10-15 Sold (MLS) — CBMLS
- 2006-03-28 Listed $35,000 CBMLS
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,025 · +25.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…