109 Short Dr · Cambria, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 109 Short Drive in the desirable 55+ Wises Trailer Court, an exceptionally well-kept community with a low $250 monthly lot rent that includes water, sewer, and trash. This beautifully updated single-wide home offers a spacious mudroom, an inviting living room, a generous eat-in kitchen, a fully renovated bathroom w/ a tile shower, a convenient laundry room, and a cozy bedroom. Recent improvements include new flooring throughout, fresh paint, and a fully updated bathroom. Outside, enjoy off-street parking and a large porch perfect for relaxing. Call today for more information!
Key facts
- Spacious mudroom
- Inviting living room
- Cozy bedroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Central Cambria SD (rural): math 40% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #225 of 539 in PA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $55k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.20%
- DSCR
- 2.03
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $115,577
- List price
- $54,900
- Delta
- -52.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130 Circle Dr | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 952 (+8%) | 20mo | $75,000 | $79 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $10,169
- Equity at exit
- $8,186
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.20×
- Total profit
- $33,778
- Equity at exit
- $4,747
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15931
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$11 /mo · $132/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $297
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 McConahy Way Ebensburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 962 | $1,100 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $54,900 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $54,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-04-02price $54,900 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Welcome to 109 Short Drive in the desirable 55+ Wises Trailer Court, an exceptionally well-kept community with a low $250 monthly lot rent that includes water, sewer, and trash. This beautifully updated single-wide home offers a spacious mudroom, an inviting living room, a generous eat-in kitchen, a fully renovated bathroom w/ a tile shower, a convenient laundry room, and a cozy bedroom. Recent improvements include new flooring throughout, fresh paint, and a fully updated bathroom. Outside, enjoy off-street parking and a large porch perfect for relaxing. Call today for more information!
-
2026-04-02price $54,900 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Welcome to 109 Short Drive in the desirable 55+ Wises Trailer Court, an exceptionally well-kept community with a low $250 monthly lot rent that includes water, sewer, and trash. This beautifully updated single-wide home offers a spacious mudroom, an inviting living room, a generous eat-in kitchen, a fully renovated bathroom w/ a tile shower, a convenient laundry room, and a cozy bedroom. Recent improvements include new flooring throughout, fresh paint, and a fully updated bathroom. Outside, enjoy off-street parking and a large porch perfect for relaxing. Call today for more information!
-
2026-02-05status Active 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Welcome to 109 Short Drive in the desirable 55+ Wises Trailer Court, an exceptionally well-kept community with a low $250 monthly lot rent that includes water, sewer, and trash. This beautifully updated single-wide home offers a spacious mudroom, an inviting living room, a generous eat-in kitchen, a fully renovated bathroom w/ a tile shower, a convenient laundry room, and a cozy bedroom. Recent improvements include new flooring throughout, fresh paint, and a fully updated bathroom. Outside, enjoy off-street parking and a large porch perfect for relaxing. Call today for more information!
-
2026-02-05status Active 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Welcome to 109 Short Drive in the desirable 55+ Wises Trailer Court, an exceptionally well-kept community with a low $250 monthly lot rent that includes water, sewer, and trash. This beautifully updated single-wide home offers a spacious mudroom, an inviting living room, a generous eat-in kitchen, a fully renovated bathroom w/ a tile shower, a convenient laundry room, and a cozy bedroom. Recent improvements include new flooring throughout, fresh paint, and a fully updated bathroom. Outside, enjoy off-street parking and a large porch perfect for relaxing. Call today for more information!
-
2026-01-30status Pending 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Welcome to 109 Short Drive in the desirable 55+ Wises Trailer Court, an exceptionally well-kept community with a low $250 monthly lot rent that includes water, sewer, and trash. This beautifully updated single-wide home offers a spacious mudroom, an inviting living room, a generous eat-in kitchen, a fully renovated bathroom w/ a tile shower, a convenient laundry room, and a cozy bedroom. Recent improvements include new flooring throughout, fresh paint, and a fully updated bathroom. Outside, enjoy off-street parking and a large porch perfect for relaxing. Call today for more information!
-
2026-01-30status Pending 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Welcome to 109 Short Drive in the desirable 55+ Wises Trailer Court, an exceptionally well-kept community with a low $250 monthly lot rent that includes water, sewer, and trash. This beautifully updated single-wide home offers a spacious mudroom, an inviting living room, a generous eat-in kitchen, a fully renovated bathroom w/ a tile shower, a convenient laundry room, and a cozy bedroom. Recent improvements include new flooring throughout, fresh paint, and a fully updated bathroom. Outside, enjoy off-street parking and a large porch perfect for relaxing. Call today for more information!
-
2025-11-25$59,900 Active 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Welcome to 109 Short Drive in the desirable 55+ Wises Trailer Court, an exceptionally well-kept community with a low $250 monthly lot rent that includes water, sewer, and trash. This beautifully updated single-wide home offers a spacious mudroom, an inviting living room, a generous eat-in kitchen, a fully renovated bathroom w/ a tile shower, a convenient laundry room, and a cozy bedroom. Recent improvements include new flooring throughout, fresh paint, and a fully updated bathroom. Outside, enjoy off-street parking and a large porch perfect for relaxing. Call today for more information!
-
2025-11-25$59,900 Active 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
Welcome to 109 Short Drive in the desirable 55+ Wises Trailer Court, an exceptionally well-kept community with a low $250 monthly lot rent that includes water, sewer, and trash. This beautifully updated single-wide home offers a spacious mudroom, an inviting living room, a generous eat-in kitchen, a fully renovated bathroom w/ a tile shower, a convenient laundry room, and a cozy bedroom. Recent improvements include new flooring throughout, fresh paint, and a fully updated bathroom. Outside, enjoy off-street parking and a large porch perfect for relaxing. Call today for more information!
-
2025-06-05soldstatus $35,000 Closed
-
2025-05-09status Pending
-
2025-04-28$40,000 Active
-
2014-06-19$6,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $132 · $11/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $500 · $42/mo
- Expected delta
- +$368/yr (+$31/mo · 278.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$132
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $3,009
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$722
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,844/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Cambria SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205340
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,276
- Composite
- 40.68/100
- National rank
- #3674
- State rank
- #225 of 539 in PA
Livability — Cambria
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,852
Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,754 people
- By 2030
- 115,827 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 101,309 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 88,379 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 65,237 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 46,909 · -61.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Black 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cambria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.99%
- Current HPI
- 131.3961
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+744.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $54,900 AHARMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $54,900 CSMLS
- 2026-02-05 Relisted — CSMLS
- 2026-02-05 Relisted — AHARMLS
- 2026-01-30 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2026-01-30 Pending — CSMLS
- 2025-11-25 Listed $59,900 CSMLS
- 2025-11-25 Listed $59,900 AHARMLS
- 2025-06-05 Sold (MLS) $35,000 AHARMLS
- 2025-05-09 Pending — AHARMLS
- 2025-04-28 Listed $40,000 AHARMLS
- 2014-06-19 Listed $6,500 AHARMLS
Property tax history
-4.4%/yrLatest (2026): $132 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…