714 N Cedar St · Winchester, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Winchester! This home is located just 4 minutes from the famous Twin Creeks marina on Tim's Ford lake. We even have a second driveway for your boat! If you are looking for value take a look at the FULL unfinished basement, attached carport, fenced in backyard, and an extra shed for storage space. Inside, the dining room and kitchen have an open concept that is great for entertaining, and the kitchen comes with extra cabinet space. More photos coming soon. We are ready to sell so bring your offers and let's get you in your new home today!
Key facts
- Attached carport
- Open-concept kitchen
- Tile flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking; Carport with space for one vehicle; One covered parking space (total 1)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Approximate year built
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven, Dishwasher, Microwave, Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Wood flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bath; One half bath
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Oven, Dishwasher, Microwave, Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $479 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.0% in Winchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#149 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D, amenities D-.
- Franklin County (town): math 18% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #111 of 139 in TN (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Clark Memorial School (math 14% / reading 27%, grade F, #637 of 952 statewide, top 68%, 489 students, 0% FRL); Franklin Co High School (math 5% / reading 22%, grade F, #255 of 332 statewide, top 77%, 1,180 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 324 active listings in the ZIP; 422 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.73%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,444
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716 N Cedar St | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 1,092 (+5%) | 3mo | $154,900 | $142 | 88 |
| 506 6th Ave NW | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-3%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $164 | 83 |
| 706 N Vine St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,086 (+5%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $166 | 80 |
| 815 N High St | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-10%) | 2mo | $199,500 | $213 | 74 |
| 713 N Vine St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (-11%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $195 | 74 |
| 512 Elm St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 948 (-8%) | 13mo | $95,000 | $100 | 69 |
| 114 11th Ave NW | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+0%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $226 | 69 |
| 104 3rd Ave NW | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 999 (-4%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $185 | 66 |
| 125 8th Ave NW | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-10%) | 13mo | $199,000 | $213 | 65 |
| 117 11th Ave NW | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,003 (-3%) | 13mo | $180,000 | $179 | 63 |
| 810 Lynwood St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+8%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $161 | 63 |
| 411 Style St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (-14%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $158 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $2,078
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $40,794
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37398
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 324
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,924 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $604/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $479
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $578 | -5% $529 | +0% $479 | +5% $430 | +10% $380 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $327 | -5% $403 | +0% $479 | +5% $555 | +10% $631 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $567 | -0.5pp $524 | base $479 | +0.5pp $434 | +1.0pp $388 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $175,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-05-22historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-05-04price $175,000
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2026-01-21$180,000 Active
-
2024-01-05soldstatus $166,000 Closed 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
Welcome to Winchester! This home is located just 4 minutes from the famous Twin Creeks marina on Tim's Ford lake. We even have a second driveway for your boat! If you are looking for value take a look at the FULL unfinished basement, attached carport, fenced in backyard, and an extra shed for storage space. Inside, the dining room and kitchen have an open concept that is great for entertaining, and the kitchen comes with extra cabinet space. More photos coming soon. We are ready to sell so bring your offers and let's get you in your new home today!
-
2024-01-05soldstatus $166,000
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
Welcome to Winchester! This home is located just 4 minutes from the famous Twin Creeks marina on Tim's Ford lake. We even have a second driveway for your boat! If you are looking for value take a look at the FULL unfinished basement, attached carport, fenced in backyard, and an extra shed for storage space. Inside, the dining room and kitchen have an open concept that is great for entertaining, and the kitchen comes with extra cabinet space. More photos coming soon. We are ready to sell so bring your offers and let's get you in your new home today!
-
2023-12-02historical Active Under Contract 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
Welcome to Winchester! This home is located just 4 minutes from the famous Twin Creeks marina on Tim's Ford lake. We even have a second driveway for your boat! If you are looking for value take a look at the FULL unfinished basement, attached carport, fenced in backyard, and an extra shed for storage space. Inside, the dining room and kitchen have an open concept that is great for entertaining, and the kitchen comes with extra cabinet space. More photos coming soon. We are ready to sell so bring your offers and let's get you in your new home today!
-
2023-11-24$169,900 Active 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
Welcome to Winchester! This home is located just 4 minutes from the famous Twin Creeks marina on Tim's Ford lake. We even have a second driveway for your boat! If you are looking for value take a look at the FULL unfinished basement, attached carport, fenced in backyard, and an extra shed for storage space. Inside, the dining room and kitchen have an open concept that is great for entertaining, and the kitchen comes with extra cabinet space. More photos coming soon. We are ready to sell so bring your offers and let's get you in your new home today!
-
2023-11-17historical $169,900 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
Welcome to Winchester! This home is located just 4 minutes from the famous Twin Creeks marina on Tim's Ford lake. We even have a second driveway for your boat! If you are looking for value take a look at the FULL unfinished basement, attached carport, fenced in backyard, and an extra shed for storage space. Inside, the dining room and kitchen have an open concept that is great for entertaining, and the kitchen comes with extra cabinet space. More photos coming soon. We are ready to sell so bring your offers and let's get you in your new home today!
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2019-09-27soldstatus $81,400
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2019-09-26soldstatus $81,400 Closed 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
Move - In Ready!! This home has 2 driveways! Renovated cottage style home close to schools and shopping. Unfinished basement with access from the back yard. Hardwood and tile floors. Stove, Dishwasher and Refrigerator included. Perfect starter home or rental home!
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2019-08-29historical Contingent - Financing 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
Move - In Ready!! This home has 2 driveways! Renovated cottage style home close to schools and shopping. Unfinished basement with access from the back yard. Hardwood and tile floors. Stove, Dishwasher and Refrigerator included. Perfect starter home or rental home!
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2019-07-09price $79,900 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
Move - In Ready!! This home has 2 driveways! Renovated cottage style home close to schools and shopping. Unfinished basement with access from the back yard. Hardwood and tile floors. Stove, Dishwasher and Refrigerator included. Perfect starter home or rental home!
-
2019-07-09historical
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
Move - In Ready!! This home has 2 driveways! Renovated cottage style home close to schools and shopping. Unfinished basement with access from the back yard. Hardwood and tile floors. Stove, Dishwasher and Refrigerator included. Perfect starter home or rental home!
-
2019-07-09$69,900 Active 267-char remark
Show marketing remark (267 chars)
Move - In Ready!! This home has 2 driveways! Renovated cottage style home close to schools and shopping. Unfinished basement with access from the back yard. Hardwood and tile floors. Stove, Dishwasher and Refrigerator included. Perfect starter home or rental home!
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2019-07-08status Active
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2019-06-21historical Contingent - Financing
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2019-06-13price $79,900
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2019-03-01$84,900 Active
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2017-09-11historical
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2017-07-05$79,900 Active
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2002-08-28soldstatus $16,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $604 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,242 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$638/yr (+$53/mo · 105.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,089
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$604
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,847
- − Management
- −$1,847
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $3,022
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$725
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,023/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin County
- NCES district ID
- 4701290
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,108
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9094
- State rank
- #111 of 139 in TN
Livability — Winchester
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #13341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winchester, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,712
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,858 people
- By 2030
- 43,540 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 44,623 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 45,523 · +6.2%
- By 2075
- 48,954 · +14.2%
- By 2100
- 50,170 · +17.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+47.7 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -89.03%
- Current HPI
- 333.839
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+973.6% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $175,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-21 Listed $180,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $166,000 Public Records
- 2024-01-05 Sold (MLS) $166,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-12-02 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-24 Listed $169,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-11-17 Coming Soon $169,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $81,400 Public Records
- 2019-09-26 Sold (MLS) $81,400 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-29 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-09 Price Changed $79,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-09 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-09 Listed $69,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-08 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-21 Contingent — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-06-13 Price Changed $79,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-01 Listed $84,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-11 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-05 Listed $79,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $16,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $604 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…