2910 Newton Ave N · Minneapolis, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$234,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large remodeled 4 bedroom with 3rd floor bedroom or kid's playroom. New 1/2 bath in the basement.
Key facts
- 5,504 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1913
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (3.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $221k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
- Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,273/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1826% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 34y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $235k implies a 921% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.06%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $245,100
- List price
- $234,900
- Delta
- -4.16%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-10,041
- Equity at exit
- $35,024
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $60,508
- Equity at exit
- $20,310
Cash invested: $65,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 34 Tenant-Leaning
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Minneapolis
- 34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
ZIP-level market 55411
- Home prices YoY
- -8.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,273 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,265/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$477
- Net cashflow
- $277
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,725
- Closing costs
- $7,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3114 Morgan Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $2,000 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2703 Humboldt Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1218 | $1,450 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2923 Girard Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $2,795 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2819 Girard Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1718 | $2,300 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3105 N Girard Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3315 James Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3238 Humboldt Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1389 | $2,100 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2324 Logan Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,300 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2647 Fremont Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1508 | $2,595 | $1.72 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2356 N Thomas Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2211 Queen Ave N Unit 1 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 983 | $1,695 | $1.72 | 17d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,875 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,875 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2646 Dupont Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1514 | $2,245 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1523 22nd Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 943 | $1,695 | $1.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3526 Newton Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $2,795 | $1.90 | 1d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2411 Golden Valley Rd Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,395 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3211 N 6th St Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1312 18th Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1520 | $1,899 | $1.25 | 7d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3247 N 6th St Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1405 | $2,350 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3247 N 6th St Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1405 | $2,350 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3247 N 6th St Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1405 | $2,350 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3522 Bryant Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $2,995 | $2.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1649 Russell Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $1,700 | $1.68 | 20d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 318 N 27th Ave #2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 318 N 27th Ave #2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1507 N Newton Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,499 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1816 Zephyr Pl Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $2,050 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1504 Queen Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1746 | $2,800 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1429 Knox Ave N Unit 1429 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,995 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1237 Knox Ave N Unit 1237 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1196 | $1,900 | $1.59 | 4d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2419 Plymouth Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 836 | $1,795 | $2.15 | 4d | 2 | 1.33mi |
| 3419 Grimes Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $2,050 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1016 N Newton Ave Unit 4 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $1,895 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1030 Knox Ave N Apt 3 Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,450 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 1030 Knox Ave N Apt 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,099 | $2.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $234,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $234,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $234,900 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
Large remodeled 4 bedroom with 3rd floor bedroom or kid's playroom. New 1/2 bath in the basement.
-
2026-05-08status Active 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
Large remodeled 4 bedroom with 3rd floor bedroom or kid's playroom. New 1/2 bath in the basement.
-
2026-05-05historical 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
Large remodeled 4 bedroom with 3rd floor bedroom or kid's playroom. New 1/2 bath in the basement.
-
2026-03-20$249,900 Active 97-char remark
Show marketing remark (97 chars)
Large remodeled 4 bedroom with 3rd floor bedroom or kid's playroom. New 1/2 bath in the basement.
-
2026-01-23historical
-
2025-10-24$249,900 Active
-
2025-07-18historical
-
2025-04-17$259,900 Active
-
2008-07-28soldstatus $23,000
-
2008-07-09historical
-
2008-02-06$28,900
-
2008-02-06historical
-
2007-11-27$99,000
-
2006-02-17soldstatus $191,000
-
2005-11-16soldstatus $139,900
-
2005-04-26soldstatus $139,900
-
2005-03-21historical
-
2004-10-18$139,899
-
2003-07-21historical
-
2003-05-30$143,900
-
2002-03-22soldstatus $63,500
-
2002-01-02soldstatus $63,500
-
2001-11-27historical
-
2001-11-27$66,900
-
1995-07-18soldstatus $43,500
-
1995-06-29soldstatus $43,500
-
1995-06-28historical
-
1995-06-01$43,500
-
1995-05-08historical
-
1994-11-08$45,000
-
1994-11-04historical
-
1994-04-04$45,000
-
1992-10-31historical
-
1992-07-08$59,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,265 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,448 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- +$183/yr (+$15/mo · 8.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,279
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,158
- − Property taxes
- −$2,265
- − Insurance
- −$1,174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,182
- − Management
- −$2,182
- − Depreciation
- −$6,833
- Taxable loss
- −$517
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$124
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,453/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minneapolis Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2721240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,521
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5067
- State rank
- #217 of 301 in MN
Livability — Minneapolis
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #2525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minneapolis, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 417,555
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,741
- Household income
- $60,225
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1826.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 23% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.91%
- Current HPI
- 356.6758
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+298.1% since first listed34 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $234,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Listed $249,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-23 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-24 Listed $249,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-18 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-17 Listed $259,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-28 Sold (MLS) $23,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-09 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-06 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-06 Listed $28,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-27 Listed $99,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $191,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
- 2005-04-26 Sold (MLS) $139,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-03-21 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-10-18 Listed $139,899 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-07-21 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-05-30 Listed $143,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $63,500 Public Records
- 2002-01-02 Sold (MLS) $63,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-11-27 Listed $66,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-11-27 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
- 1995-06-29 Sold (MLS) $43,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-06-28 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-06-01 Listed $43,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-05-08 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-11-08 Listed $45,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-11-04 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-04-04 Listed $45,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-10-31 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-07-08 Listed $59,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,265 · -32.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…