804 Treherne Ln · Englewood, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover an exceptional opportunity to embrace comfortable living in this beautifully refreshed brick ranch, conveniently located on a quiet cul-de-sac. This inviting single-family home offers 1,449 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, providing an ideal setting for daily life and entertaining. A covered front porch graciously welcomes you into a generously sized living room, setting a tone of warmth and hospitality. The kitchen has been beautifully updated with modern colors and an attractive backsplash, creating a stylish and functional culinary space. Adjacent to the dining room, a cozy family room features a fireplace, perfect for relaxation and gatherings. All three bedro
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Concrete patio
- Updated bathrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-164/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (1.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $188k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#517 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Northmont City (suburban): math 52% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #318 of 656 in OH (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $215k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.27%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $226,044
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 804 Treherne Ln | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,449 (0%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $148 | 99 |
| 1003 Heathwood Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (-0%) | 1mo | $220,750 | $152 | 88 |
| 1011 Hazel Ave | 0.24mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,448 (-0%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $145 | 84 |
| 104 Overla Blvd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-1%) | 1mo | $237,000 | $165 | 78 |
| 1028 Hazel Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (-4%) | 1mo | $227,000 | $164 | 73 |
| 313 Highland Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+8%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $128 | 70 |
| 7039 Monte Carlo Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,470 (+1%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $156 | 66 |
| 806 Mcgraw Ct | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,520 (+5%) | 2mo | $277,500 | $183 | 64 |
| 189 Katy Ln | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,568 (+8%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $134 | 63 |
| 552 Unger Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,486 (+3%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $131 | 61 |
| 211 Katy Ln | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,617 (+12%) | 2mo | $268,000 | $166 | 52 |
| 2030 Northcreek Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,536 (+6%) | 3mo | $309,900 | $202 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-41,195
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-58,182
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45322
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,885 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$286 /mo · $3,427/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$396
- Net cashflow
- $-14
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 W Wenger Rd Englewood, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1249 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 2d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 321 Lauren Circle Dr Englewood, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 421 Porter Dr Englewood, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 603 Rolice Ct Englewood, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 778 Union Blvd Englewood, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 833 | $1,375 | $1.65 | 2d | 5 | 0.55mi |
| 25 Orchard Ave Englewood, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 989 | $1,495 | $1.51 | 2d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5011 Scothills Dr Englewood, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,595 | $1.50 | 2d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 124 Chestnut St Unit 203 Englewood, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $895 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6844 Union Rd Englewood, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,100 | $1.24 | 2d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-04-26$215,000 Active
-
2009-08-06soldstatus $105,000
-
2009-06-14historical
-
2009-03-13$105,800
-
2009-01-25historical
-
2008-07-25$119,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,427 · $286/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,427 · $286/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,617
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,427
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,809
- − Management
- −$1,809
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$3,801
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$912
- After-tax cash flow
- $748/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northmont City
- NCES district ID
- 3904872
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,230
- Composite
- 49.53/100
- National rank
- #1995
- State rank
- #318 of 656 in OH
Livability — Englewood
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #517
- US rank
- #8768
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Englewood, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 20,884
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,884
- Household income
- $75,349
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 357.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -176.42%
- Current HPI
- 218.5409
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.45%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+79.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-26 Listed $215,000 Dayton MLS
- 2009-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2009-06-14 Listing Removed — WRIST
- 2009-03-13 Listed $105,800 WRIST
- 2009-01-25 Listing Removed — WRIST
- 2008-07-25 Listed $119,900 WRIST
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,427 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…