2721 SW I Ave · Lawton, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 2721 SW I Ave, a charming and meticulously maintained home in the heart of Lawton. This inviting residence features 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 well-appointed bathrooms, perfect for comfortable living and entertaining. The home boasts a welcoming open floor plan with a bright and airy living room, complemented with natural light. The renovated kitchen includes modern appliances, ample cabinetry, and a convenient breakfast nook. Outside, you'll be greeted with a double driveway and carport. The backyard is ideal for outdoor relaxation and gatherings. There is also a small metal storage building with close easy access.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Double driveway
- Modern appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces total; 2 covered spaces; 2-car carport; Driveway; No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Updated/remodeled; Public-maintained road frontage on a city street
- Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built as residential single-family construction
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Chain link fence; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Oven; Range hood; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric); Ceiling fan(s); Fireplace provides additional heat
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Kitchen island; Double-pane windows; Window coverings; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $592 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $72k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 6.1% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, commute F.
- Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Cleveland Es (math 32% / reading 12%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 300 students, 0% FRL); Eisenhower Ms (math 20% / reading 30%, grade F, #90 of 345 statewide, top 27%, 1,035 students, 0% FRL); Eisenhower Hs (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #215 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 1,350 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 398 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $79k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.09%
- DSCR
- 2.43
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $81,282
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2721 SW I Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-2%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $57 | 92 |
| 1216 NW 26th St | 0.33mi | 4/1.5 | 1,440 (+1%) | 19mo | $66,000 | $46 | 65 |
| 1208 SW 24th St | 0.49mi | 4/1.5 | 1,400 (-2%) | 14mo | $97,500 | $70 | 60 |
| 2421 SW C Ave | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 1,400 (-2%) | 15mo | $65,000 | $46 | 58 |
| 2501 SW Latham Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-9%) | 3mo | $74,000 | $57 | 58 |
| 1214 SW 24th | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+12%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $47 | 43 |
| 2606 SW D Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-12%) | 23mo | $123,000 | $99 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.14% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $28,063
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 38.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.92×
- Total profit
- $86,613
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73505
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 398
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,440 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $592
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending
-
2026-03-27historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-04$79,000 Active
-
2026-01-19price $85,000
-
2025-12-19status Active
-
2025-11-03historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-09-05status Active
-
2025-08-21historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-08-05$89,000 Active
-
2025-06-06historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-06-03$79,000 Active
-
2024-09-04price $95,000
-
2024-07-31$103,000 Active
-
1999-06-01soldstatus $46,000
-
1999-03-14soldstatus $16,000
-
1998-04-29soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,278
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,382
- − Management
- −$1,382
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $6,210
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,491
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,608/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawton
- NCES district ID
- 4017250
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,618
- Composite
- 19.68/100
- National rank
- #8732
- State rank
- #137 of 270 in OK
Livability — Lawton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #206
- US rank
- #15131
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawton, OK
- County
- Comanche County · 96,361 people
- City population
- 89,233
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,790
- Household income
- $58,272
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1986.0
Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 124,518 people
- By 2030
- 124,231 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 122,193 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 120,368 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 120,492 · -3.2%
- By 2100
- 123,113 · -1.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Comanche
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.3) · D 37.4% · R 60.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -17.5pp · 2024: -23.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.3 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -134.88%
- Current HPI
- 169.4524
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.14%
- Metro
- Lawton, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+58.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — LBRMLS
- 2026-03-27 Contingent — LBRMLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $79,000 LBRMLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $85,000 LBRMLS
- 2025-12-19 Relisted — LBRMLS
- 2025-11-03 Contingent — LBRMLS
- 2025-09-05 Relisted — LBRMLS
- 2025-08-21 Contingent — LBRMLS
- 2025-08-05 Listed $89,000 LBRMLS
- 2025-06-06 Contingent — LBRMLS
- 2025-06-03 Listed $79,000 LBRMLS
- 2024-09-04 Price Changed $95,000 LBRMLS
- 2024-07-31 Listed $103,000 LBRMLS
- 1999-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 1999-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $16,000 Public Records
- 1998-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-15.6%/yrLatest (2025): $73 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…