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526 Dearden Pl 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 65.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$104,500

526 Dearden Pl · Toledo, OH 43612
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 193 Days on market
Built 1953 0.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Single Family Property. Currently lease with long term tenant. $900.00 month income. Proof of funds required for all showings. Provide listing agent with either Bank Statement or Pre approval letter required. Approval letter must be dated within past 30 days.

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • 10 parking spots
  • Built 1953

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $104,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$272,896) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $104k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $104k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Washington Local (urban): math 37% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #528 of 656 in OH (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $722 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $104k implies a 199% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $91,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.93%
Cash-on-cash
13.01%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$272,896
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
301 E Northgate Pkwy 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,192 (-9%) 9mo $115,000 $96 38
859 Gibson Dr 0.54mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,154 (-12%) 14mo $240,000 $208 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$7,109
Equity at exit
$15,581
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$48,993
Equity at exit
$9,035

Cash invested: $29,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43612

Home prices YoY
-17.5%
Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,239 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$548
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $841/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$260
Net cashflow
$317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $837
Max offer price $104,500
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,125
Closing costs
$3,135
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6400 S Dixie Hwy Erie, MI 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,425 $1.19 13d 1 0.92mi
6255 S Telegraph Erie, MI 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,288 $1.09 13d 3 1.27mi
5207 Bennett Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 2.0 1109 $1,200 $1.08 13d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $104,500 Active 193 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $104,500 Active 192 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $104,500 Active 191 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $104,500 Active 190 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $104,500 Active 188 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $104,500 Active 187 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $104,500 Active 185 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $104,500 Active 184 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $104,500 Active 183 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $104,500 Active 182 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $104,500 Active 178 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $104,500 Active 177 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $104,500 Active 176 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $104,500 Active 175 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $104,500 Active 174 DOM
  16. 2025-12-04
    listed $104,500 Active 259-char remark
    Show marketing remark (259 chars)

    Single Family Property. Currently lease with long term tenant. $900.00 month income. Proof of funds required for all showings. Provide listing agent with either Bank Statement or Pre approval letter required. Approval letter must be dated within past 30 days.

  17. 2016-12-31
    historical
  18. 2016-06-09
    listed $174,900
  19. 1985-05-17
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$841 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,235 · $103/mo
Expected delta
+$395/yr (+$33/mo · 47.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,866
− Mortgage interest
−$5,854
− Property taxes
−$841
− Insurance
−$522
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,189
− Management
−$1,189
− Depreciation
−$3,040
Taxable income
$2,231
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$535
After-tax cash flow
$3,270/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washington Local
NCES district ID
3904823
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$42,105
Composite
35.36/100
National rank
#4957
State rank
#528 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
28,480
Household income
$50,728
Rent vs Own
45.4% rent · 54.6% own
Severe rent burden
1203.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 23% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.05%
Current HPI
235.5389
Rent YoY
▲ 6.01%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+198.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-04 Listed $104,500 NORIS
  • 2016-12-31 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2016-06-09 Listed $174,900 NORIS
  • 1985-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $841 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…