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11591 Lark Dr
D Composite 40.05
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

11591 Lark Dr · Belvidere, MI 48850
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1973 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

LOOKING FOR THAT CHEAPER LAKE AREA PROPERTY? You found it! Check out this great 3 bedroom mobile home on a double lot across from SCHMIED PARK on Townline Lake in Montcalm County. This place is less then an hour from Grand Rapids. The double lot offers an EXTRA cement pad, well and septic for your motor home second summer getaway. The singlewide offers year around living if your looking for that homestead property, or use for your summer getaway. Walk across the street to Schmied Park. The park offers a beach, kids playground and basketball court. Walk a block away to the boat launch. Very quiet dead end street. The home as 3 bedrooms, kitchen with the appliances that are included, sliders open out to a covered patio and a firepit. The vacant lot also has a shed that has a hookup for a motorhome. Electric is disconnected at this time, but is shared with the home. The home as a steel roof, insulated well, and there is a newer well pump in the well pit. Immediate possession. HURRY!

Key facts

  • Well and septic
  • Firepit
  • Cement pad

Tags

LAKE ACCESSDOUBLE LOTCEMENT PADWELL AND SEPTICCOVERED PATIOFIREPIT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Natural gas connected; High-speed internet available; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family home; One story; Built in 1973
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Wooded, recreational lot; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Screens on windows; Crawl space basement; Living room with sliding doors to the patio (approx. 13 x 12)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $12 ($143/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $93k (11.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $93k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Lakeview Community Schools (Montcalm) (rural): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #281 of 540 in MI (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 273 units permitted in Montcalm County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montcalm County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $105k implies a 250% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $93,356 (11.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.48%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-16,244
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-13,113
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48850

Home prices YoY
-22.6%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$934 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax est. 1.5%
$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$12

Break-even live

Break-even rent $919
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 94%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $105,000 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $105,000 Active 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    listed $105,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,203
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,575
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$896
− Management
−$896
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable loss
−$1,626
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$390
After-tax cash flow
$533/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakeview Community Schools (Montcalm)
NCES district ID
2620910
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$40,513
Composite
30.21/100
National rank
#6303
State rank
#281 of 540 in MI

Livability — Belvidere

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,526

Population outlook (Montcalm County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
61,011 people
By 2030
59,467 · -2.5%
By 2040
55,427 · -9.2%
By 2050
50,517 · -17.2%
By 2075
38,731 · -36.5%
By 2100
26,770 · -56.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Polish 4% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montcalm

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.0) · D 29.8% · R 68.7% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-38.7pp toward R · 2008: -0.3pp · 2024: -39.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.0 2020: R+37.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+0.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.28%
Current HPI
275.5563
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+250.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $105,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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