1034 Williams St · Jackson, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Jackson--just minutes from downtown shopping and dining. Freshly painted throughout with vinyl windows and a newer furnace for peace of mind. Move-in ready and FHA financing available, making this a great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors alike! City certified
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Vinyl windows
- Newer furnace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 5.4% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#197 in MI, #4,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
- Jackson Public Schools (urban): math 15% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #458 of 540 in MI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 164 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $99k implies a 1497% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.57%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $81,572
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- 21.37%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 209 W High St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (-5%) | 1mo | $133,000 | $129 | 78 |
| 939 Williams St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,210 (+11%) | 1mo | $110,200 | $91 | 74 |
| 1511 S Martin Luther King Jr Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,134 (+4%) | 0mo | $87,000 | $77 | 72 |
| 132 E Euclid Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (+1%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $136 | 68 |
| 141 E Euclid Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (-0%) | 7mo | $131,000 | $120 | 66 |
| 147 W Mansion St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,070 (-2%) | 6mo | $116,900 | $109 | 65 |
| 1224 Williams St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+14%) | 6mo | $54,060 | $43 | 62 |
| 705 Gettysburg Ave. Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+1%) | 7mo | $159,900 | $145 | 60 |
| 739 Randolph St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (-2%) | 3mo | $189,000 | $178 | 58 |
| 1019 Woodbridge St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,223 (+12%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $127 | 56 |
| 909 2nd St | 0.47mi | 3/3.0 | 1,216 (+12%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $49 | 45 |
| 2016 S Jackson St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 998 (-8%) | 6mo | $172,000 | $172 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $8,509
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $58,538
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49203
- Home prices YoY
- -31.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 164
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,263 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,763/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $290
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159 W Pearl St Unit 202 Jackson, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 720 W Michigan Ave Jackson, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $900 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 408 N Perrine St Jackson, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,350 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 653 Oakhill Ave Jackson, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-02price $99,000 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Jackson--just minutes from downtown shopping and dining. Freshly painted throughout with vinyl windows and a newer furnace for peace of mind. Move-in ready and FHA financing available, making this a great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors alike! City certified
-
2026-05-02price $99,000 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Jackson--just minutes from downtown shopping and dining. Freshly painted throughout with vinyl windows and a newer furnace for peace of mind. Move-in ready and FHA financing available, making this a great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors alike! City certified
-
2026-05-02price $99,000
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Jackson--just minutes from downtown shopping and dining. Freshly painted throughout with vinyl windows and a newer furnace for peace of mind. Move-in ready and FHA financing available, making this a great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors alike! City certified
-
2026-04-09$103,000 Active 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Jackson--just minutes from downtown shopping and dining. Freshly painted throughout with vinyl windows and a newer furnace for peace of mind. Move-in ready and FHA financing available, making this a great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors alike! City certified
-
2026-04-09$103,000 Active 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Jackson--just minutes from downtown shopping and dining. Freshly painted throughout with vinyl windows and a newer furnace for peace of mind. Move-in ready and FHA financing available, making this a great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors alike! City certified
-
2026-04-09$103,000 Active
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in the City of Jackson--just minutes from downtown shopping and dining. Freshly painted throughout with vinyl windows and a newer furnace for peace of mind. Move-in ready and FHA financing available, making this a great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors alike! City certified
-
2026-04-07historical
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2026-03-20price $104,000
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2026-03-20price $104,000
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2026-03-20price $104,000
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2026-01-17price $105,600
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2026-01-16status Active
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2026-01-16price $105,600
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2026-01-16status Active
-
2026-01-16price $105,600
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2026-01-13historical
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2026-01-13historical
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2025-11-22price $112,000
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2025-11-21price $112,000
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2025-11-21price $112,000
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2025-11-07price $118,000
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2025-11-06price $118,000
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2025-11-06price $118,000
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2025-10-10$124,000 Active
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2025-10-10$124,000 Active
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2024-02-12soldstatus $6,200 Sold
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2024-02-12soldstatus $6,200 Sold
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2024-02-12soldstatus $6,200 Closed
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2023-10-14historical Keep Showing-Contgcy Appl
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2023-10-14historical Contingent - Continue To Show
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2023-10-14historical Active - Contingent
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2023-05-26price $10,000
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2023-05-25price $10,000
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2023-05-25price $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,763 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,763 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,153
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,763
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,212
- − Management
- −$1,212
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $2,045
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$491
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,992/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2619620
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,344
- Composite
- 17.99/100
- National rank
- #8986
- State rank
- #458 of 540 in MI
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #197
- US rank
- #4970
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MI
- County
- Jackson County · 85,581 people
- City population
- 85,581
- Metro
- Jackson, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,474
- Household income
- $56,201
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1383.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 156,365 people
- By 2030
- 153,123 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 144,981 · -7.3%
- By 2050
- 135,671 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 113,833 · -27.2%
- By 2100
- 86,592 · -44.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.6% · R 59.9% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.09%
- Current HPI
- 211.5474
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.54%
- Metro
- Jackson, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+725.0% since first listed37 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $99,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $99,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $103,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listed $103,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $103,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $104,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $104,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $104,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-17 Price Changed $105,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-16 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $105,600 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-16 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $105,600 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-13 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-22 Price Changed $112,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $112,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $112,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $118,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $118,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $118,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-10-10 Listed $124,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-10 Listed $124,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-02-12 Sold (MLS) $6,200 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-02-12 Sold (MLS) $6,200 SW Michigan MLS
- 2024-02-12 Sold (MLS) $6,200 REALCOMP
- 2023-10-14 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-14 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2023-10-14 Contingent — SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-05-26 Price Changed $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-05-25 Price Changed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-05-25 Price Changed $10,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-03-06 Listed $12,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-03-06 Listed $12,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2023-03-06 Listed $12,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+20.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,763 · +447.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…