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C+ Composite 60.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

17377 Valley Blvd #2 · Fontana, CA 92335
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured public records · 149 Days on market
Built 1969 Est $192k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers an inviting open-concept layout perfect for modern living. Recently remodeled, the kitchen features stunning quartz countertops, while both bathrooms have been tastefully upgraded. Fresh interior and exterior paint, durable vinyl flooring, and a dedicated laundry room add to its appeal. Enjoy a versatile bonus area, parking for up to 3 vehicles, and a charming patio with pavers, plus outdoor storage for your convenience. Located in a peaceful, well-maintained community with a pool, clubhouse, and guest parking. Whether you’re purchasing your first home or looking to downsize, this move-in-ready property is the perfect

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Bonus area
  • Charming patio

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSUPGRADED BATHROOMSDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMBONUS AREACHARMING PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Park name: Villa Fontana Mobile Home Park; Lot density noted as 36–40 units/acre and over 40 units/acre
  • Financial info: Land lease (park) — $1,121.30 monthly; Rent includes all utilities
  • HOA & community: Community pool; Clubhouse; Spa; Picnic area; Utilities provided; Manager approval required for residency; Pets: contact manager

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Has parking; Located in Villa Fontana Mobile Home Park
  • Utilities: Standard electric; Public/district water; Public sewer; Utilities included (see remarks)
  • Home design: Single-story; Front entry; Entry level 1; Mobile home (10' x 56') — mobile home remains; Double body type
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Construction materials: Unknown; Year built per public records
  • Exterior features: In-ground pool (fenced; community pool); Paved roads; Street lighting; Park

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen open to family room; Kitchen island; Remodeled kitchen; Quartz counters; Gas range; Gas oven; Tankless water heater
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on main floor; Primary suite; Main floor bedroom; Walk-in closet; Bonus room
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full baths; Main floor full bath; Walk-in shower; Shower; Exhaust fan(s)
  • Heating & cooling: Central furnace; Wall heater; Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Quartz counters; Recessed lighting; Open floor plan; Storage space; Double-pane windows; In-ground spa
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.2% in Fontana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#415 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A-, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Colton Joint Unified (suburban): math 16% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #373 of 517 in CA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.65%
Cash-on-cash
11.98%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$191,520
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17455 Marygold Ave #38 0.34mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,120 (0%) 9mo $150,000 $134 71
17377 Valley Blvd #53 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+7%) 22mo $207,000 $173 70
17377 Valley Blvd #46 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,050 (-6%) 23mo $180,000 $171 65
17455 Marygold Ave #39 0.28mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,056 (-6%) 17mo $105,000 $99 58
17225 Valley Blvd Unit 45W 0.20mi 3/2.0 960 (-14%) 15mo $122,000 $127 54
17860 Taylor Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+11%) 2mo $508,000 $407 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,617
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$40,830
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92335

Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,456 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax est. 1.5%
$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$516
Net cashflow
$559

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,749
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16970 Marygold Ave Fontana, CA 2.0 2.0 1045 $2,275 $2.18 20d 2 0.69mi
18181 Valley Blvd Bloomington, CA 2.0 1.5 814 $1,960 $2.41 43d 2 0.99mi
16770 San Bernardino Ave Unit 19B Fontana, CA 2.0 1.5 968 $2,350 $2.43 43d 1 1.06mi
16770 San Bernardino Ave Fontana, CA 2.0 1.5 968 $2,275 $2.35 24d 2 1.06mi
16816 Fontlee Ln Fontana, CA 2.0 1.0 858 $2,200 $2.56 18d 1 1.24mi
9281 Pepper Ave Unit 04 Fontana, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,800 $2.12 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,900 Active 149 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    status $199,900 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 148 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 147 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 146 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 144 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 143 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 140 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 139 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 138 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 135 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 134 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 133 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 132 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 131 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    status Active Under Contract
  17. 2026-01-15
    status Active
  18. 2026-01-08
    status Active
  19. 2026-01-07
    historical
  20. 2025-08-13
    listed $199,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,473
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$2,998
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,358
− Management
−$2,358
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$3,747
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$899
After-tax cash flow
$5,807/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Colton Joint Unified
NCES district ID
0609390
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$51,178
Composite
23.74/100
National rank
#7820
State rank
#373 of 517 in CA

Livability — Fontana

Score
64/100
State rank
#415
US rank
#14177

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fontana, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
203,028
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
97,511
Household income
$77,949
Rent vs Own
51.8% rent · 48.2% own
Severe rent burden
3437.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 84% Two or more races 13% White 8% Black 4% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 74%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
27% English-only · Spanish 69% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -804.67%
Current HPI
507.5862
Rent YoY
▲ 2.34%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-08-13 Listed $199,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $114 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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