17377 Valley Blvd #2 · Fontana, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 27 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 32 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This beautifully updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers an inviting open-concept layout perfect for modern living. Recently remodeled, the kitchen features stunning quartz countertops, while both bathrooms have been tastefully upgraded. Fresh interior and exterior paint, durable vinyl flooring, and a dedicated laundry room add to its appeal. Enjoy a versatile bonus area, parking for up to 3 vehicles, and a charming patio with pavers, plus outdoor storage for your convenience. Located in a peaceful, well-maintained community with a pool, clubhouse, and guest parking. Whether you’re purchasing your first home or looking to downsize, this move-in-ready property is the perfect
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Bonus area
- Charming patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Park name: Villa Fontana Mobile Home Park; Lot density noted as 36–40 units/acre and over 40 units/acre
- Financial info: Land lease (park) — $1,121.30 monthly; Rent includes all utilities
- HOA & community: Community pool; Clubhouse; Spa; Picnic area; Utilities provided; Manager approval required for residency; Pets: contact manager
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Has parking; Located in Villa Fontana Mobile Home Park
- Utilities: Standard electric; Public/district water; Public sewer; Utilities included (see remarks)
- Home design: Single-story; Front entry; Entry level 1; Mobile home (10' x 56') — mobile home remains; Double body type
- Construction: Shingle roof; Construction materials: Unknown; Year built per public records
- Exterior features: In-ground pool (fenced; community pool); Paved roads; Street lighting; Park
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen open to family room; Kitchen island; Remodeled kitchen; Quartz counters; Gas range; Gas oven; Tankless water heater
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms on main floor; Primary suite; Main floor bedroom; Walk-in closet; Bonus room
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full baths; Main floor full bath; Walk-in shower; Shower; Exhaust fan(s)
- Heating & cooling: Central furnace; Wall heater; Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Quartz counters; Recessed lighting; Open floor plan; Storage space; Double-pane windows; In-ground spa
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.2% in Fontana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#415 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A-, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Colton Joint Unified (suburban): math 16% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #373 of 517 in CA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.98%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,520
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17455 Marygold Ave #38 | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (0%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $134 | 71 |
| 17377 Valley Blvd #53 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 22mo | $207,000 | $173 | 70 |
| 17377 Valley Blvd #46 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,050 (-6%) | 23mo | $180,000 | $171 | 65 |
| 17455 Marygold Ave #39 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-6%) | 17mo | $105,000 | $99 | 58 |
| 17225 Valley Blvd Unit 45W | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-14%) | 15mo | $122,000 | $127 | 54 |
| 17860 Taylor Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+11%) | 2mo | $508,000 | $407 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,617
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $40,830
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92335
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,456 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$516
- Net cashflow
- $559
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16970 Marygold Ave Fontana, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $2,275 | $2.18 | 20d | 2 | 0.69mi |
| 18181 Valley Blvd Bloomington, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 814 | $1,960 | $2.41 | 43d | 2 | 0.99mi |
| 16770 San Bernardino Ave Unit 19B Fontana, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 968 | $2,350 | $2.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 16770 San Bernardino Ave Fontana, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 968 | $2,275 | $2.35 | 24d | 2 | 1.06mi |
| 16816 Fontlee Ln Fontana, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $2,200 | $2.56 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 9281 Pepper Ave Unit 04 Fontana, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,800 | $2.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-18status $199,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 146 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 143 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 140 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 139 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 138 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 135 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 134 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 133 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active Under Contract 131 DOM
-
2026-05-11status Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-15status Active
-
2026-01-08status Active
-
2026-01-07historical
-
2025-08-13$199,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 27 unhealthy d/yr today · 32 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,473
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,998
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,358
- − Management
- −$2,358
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $3,747
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$899
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,807/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Colton Joint Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0609390
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,178
- Composite
- 23.74/100
- National rank
- #7820
- State rank
- #373 of 517 in CA
Livability — Fontana
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #415
- US rank
- #14177
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fontana, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 203,028
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 97,511
- Household income
- $77,949
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3437.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 84% Two or more races 13% White 8% Black 4% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 74%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 27% English-only · Spanish 69% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -804.67%
- Current HPI
- 507.5862
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.34%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-01-15 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-01-08 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-01-07 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-08-13 Listed $199,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $114 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…