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1242 W Church St
D- Composite 37.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

1242 W Church St · West Elmira, NY 14905
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,268 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 102 Days on market
Built 1895 0.43 ac lot $44/sqft · 57% below area ↓ 45% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located near Hendy Elementary and the West Elmira Fire Department, this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers incredible potential. Once a two-unit apartment house, the property retains its original layout with separate upstairs and downstairs living areas—perfect for those seeking to reconvert it into a duplex or maintain as a single-family residence. Inside, you'll find generously sized rooms throughout, many of which are just waiting to be restored to their former glory. With a bit of vision and TLC, this home can shine once again. Whether you're looking to create a multi-family income property or your dream home in a prime location, this West Elmira gem offers endless possibilities!"

Key facts

  • Prime location
  • 0.43 acre lot
  • Parking

Tags

TWO-UNIT APARTMENT HOUSEMULTI-FAMILY INCOME PROPERTYPRIME LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $87k (12.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.6% in West Elmira — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#341 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,913 (12.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
5.64%
Cash-on-cash
-2.32%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$228,829
List price
$99,000
Delta
-56.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1518 W Water St 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,278 (+0%) 2mo $225,000 $99 70
73 Durland Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 2,438 (+8%) 4mo $261,900 $107 68
1307 W Church St 0.20mi 3/1.5 2,040 (-10%) 4mo $245,000 $120 68
93 Durland Ave 0.22mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,441 (+8%) 1mo $305,000 $125 65
1249 W Clinton St 0.25mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,064 (-9%) 6mo $274,900 $133 61
1058 W 2nd St 0.44mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,394 (+6%) 9mo $340,000 $142 56
1055 W Clinton St 0.51mi 3/2.5 2,453 (+8%) 8mo $299,900 $122 54
94 Evergreen Ave 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,092 (-8%) 4mo $195,000 $93 49
919 Fassett Rd 0.62mi 3/3.0 2,041 (-10%) 10mo $202,000 $99 42
907 W Clinton St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,958 (-14%) 2mo $275,000 $140 41
711 Wall St 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,502 (+10%) 6mo $271,000 $108 39
34 Sunnyside Dr 0.56mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,968 (-13%) 8mo $245,900 $125 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.0%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-22,793
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
-18.5%
Equity multiple
-0.01×
Total profit
$-27,994
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14905

Home prices YoY
-9.4%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$362 /mo · $4,346/yr
Insurance
$41
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$-109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,238
Max offer price $86,913
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
715 W Water St Unit A Elmira, NY 2.0 1.0 2246 $1,100 $0.49 43d 1 1.05mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,000 Active 102 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 101 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 100 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 99 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 98 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 96 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 92 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 91 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 90 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 87 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 86 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 85 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 84 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 83 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 82 DOM
  17. 2026-04-17
    price $99,000 708-char remark
    Show marketing remark (708 chars)

    Located near Hendy Elementary and the West Elmira Fire Department, this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers incredible potential. Once a two-unit apartment house, the property retains its original layout with separate upstairs and downstairs living areas—perfect for those seeking to reconvert it into a duplex or maintain as a single-family residence. Inside, you'll find generously sized rooms throughout, many of which are just waiting to be restored to their former glory. With a bit of vision and TLC, this home can shine once again. Whether you're looking to create a multi-family income property or your dream home in a prime location, this West Elmira gem offers endless possibilities!"

  18. 2026-03-09
    listed $139,000 Active 708-char remark
    Show marketing remark (708 chars)

    Located near Hendy Elementary and the West Elmira Fire Department, this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers incredible potential. Once a two-unit apartment house, the property retains its original layout with separate upstairs and downstairs living areas—perfect for those seeking to reconvert it into a duplex or maintain as a single-family residence. Inside, you'll find generously sized rooms throughout, many of which are just waiting to be restored to their former glory. With a bit of vision and TLC, this home can shine once again. Whether you're looking to create a multi-family income property or your dream home in a prime location, this West Elmira gem offers endless possibilities!"

  19. 2026-02-23
    historical
  20. 2025-11-05
    status Active
  21. 2025-08-21
    listed $179,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,346 · $362/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,346 · $362/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,200
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$4,346
− Insurance
−$1,162
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,056
− Management
−$1,056
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable loss
−$2,845
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$683
After-tax cash flow
$-626/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elmira City School District
NCES district ID
3610560
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,180
Composite
24.39/100
National rank
#7688
State rank
#580 of 590 in NY

Livability — West Elmira

Score
72/100
State rank
#341
US rank
#5769

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Elmira, NY
City population
8,976
Population (ZIP)
8,976

Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,931 people
By 2030
80,356 · -3.1%
By 2040
74,745 · -9.9%
By 2050
69,012 · -16.8%
By 2075
55,689 · -32.8%
By 2100
41,428 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 7% Black 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chemung

2024 margin
R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.09%
Current HPI
252.0326
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-45.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $99,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $139,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-02-23 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-11-05 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-21 Listed $179,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,346 · +94.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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