236 N Moonlight Dr · Bluewater, AZ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!
Key facts
- No property taxes
- Leased land
- Double side parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $663 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 9.9% in Bluewater — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#81 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools F.
- Parker Unified School District (4510) (town): math 18% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #200 of 249 in AZ (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in La Paz County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- La Paz County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 298 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 298 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.04%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $139,188
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -3.01%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236 N Moonlight Dr | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (0%) | 1mo | $134,000 | $116 | 100 |
| 324 N Misty Lane Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (0%) | 11mo | $105,000 | $91 | 79 |
| 471 Bluewater Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,216 (+6%) | 0mo | $124,900 | $103 | 73 |
| 408 N Misty Ln | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 1,120 (-3%) | 15mo | $120,000 | $107 | 69 |
| 338 N Moonlight Dr | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,296 (+12%) | 6mo | $132,000 | $102 | 65 |
| 425 Bluewater Dr | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,018 (-12%) | 7mo | $267,000 | $262 | 63 |
| 476 E Riverfront Dr | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-3%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $134 | 63 |
| 427 Bluewater Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,012 (-12%) | 2mo | $163,000 | $161 | 61 |
| 338 E Riverfront Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+4%) | 21mo | $250,000 | $208 | 59 |
| 452 E Riverfront Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 8mo | $289,000 | $232 | 54 |
| 423 Paradise Ln | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,050 (-9%) | 13mo | $105,000 | $100 | 52 |
| 342 E Riverfront Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+15%) | 22mo | $380,000 | $288 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $20,376
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $72,233
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85344
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,020 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $663
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!
-
2026-03-27status Active 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!
-
2026-03-27price $135,000 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!
-
2026-03-14status Pending 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!
-
2026-03-11price $125,000 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!
-
2026-01-02status Active 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!
-
2025-07-02$139,900 Active 605-char remark
Show marketing remark (605 chars)
On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!
-
2025-04-08soldstatus $135,000 Closed 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
On Leased Land. No HOA/No Taxes. Make This Your Home or Vacation Get Away. Roomy Double Wide w/ Double Side Parking. One Side is Gated to Store Your Boat or Toys. Large Graveled Back Yard for Your Enjoyment. * * New A/C Last Year * * Enjoy the Community Pool, Clubhouse, Beach, Grassy Shores and Boat Ramp. Welcome to the Bluewater Lagoon!
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2025-03-09status Pending 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
On Leased Land. No HOA/No Taxes. Make This Your Home or Vacation Get Away. Roomy Double Wide w/ Double Side Parking. One Side is Gated to Store Your Boat or Toys. Large Graveled Back Yard for Your Enjoyment. * * New A/C Last Year * * Enjoy the Community Pool, Clubhouse, Beach, Grassy Shores and Boat Ramp. Welcome to the Bluewater Lagoon!
-
2025-01-24price $149,900 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
On Leased Land. No HOA/No Taxes. Make This Your Home or Vacation Get Away. Roomy Double Wide w/ Double Side Parking. One Side is Gated to Store Your Boat or Toys. Large Graveled Back Yard for Your Enjoyment. * * New A/C Last Year * * Enjoy the Community Pool, Clubhouse, Beach, Grassy Shores and Boat Ramp. Welcome to the Bluewater Lagoon!
-
2024-11-14$157,900 Active 343-char remark
Show marketing remark (343 chars)
On Leased Land. No HOA/No Taxes. Make This Your Home or Vacation Get Away. Roomy Double Wide w/ Double Side Parking. One Side is Gated to Store Your Boat or Toys. Large Graveled Back Yard for Your Enjoyment. * * New A/C Last Year * * Enjoy the Community Pool, Clubhouse, Beach, Grassy Shores and Boat Ramp. Welcome to the Bluewater Lagoon!
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2024-03-29$165,000 Active
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2018-08-31soldstatus $54,000
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2018-03-08$60,000
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2017-06-01soldstatus $30,000
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2017-06-01soldstatus $30,000
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2016-06-17$51,000
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2016-06-17$51,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,241
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,939
- − Management
- −$1,939
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $6,173
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,482
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,473/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This double-wide manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, including new flooring and a new A/C. It offers double-side parking and a large, gravelled backyard, making it a turn-key and move-in ready property.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior — A fresh coat of paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
- Both Upgrade the interior paint — Fresh paint inside can make the home feel more inviting and modern, appealing to both buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior — A fresh coat of paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Upgrade the interior paint — Fresh paint inside can make the home feel more inviting and modern, appealing to both buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Parker Unified School District (4510)
- NCES district ID
- 0405980
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,354
- Composite
- 14.76/100
- National rank
- #9392
- State rank
- #200 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Bluewater
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #81
- US rank
- #12872
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bluewater, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,069
Population outlook (La Paz County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,409 people
- By 2030
- 17,592 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 16,600 · -9.8%
- By 2050
- 16,328 · -11.3%
- By 2075
- 17,075 · -7.2%
- By 2100
- 17,042 · -7.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 34% Native American 23% Two or more races 19% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · La Paz
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.2) · D 27.6% · R 71.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -44.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.2 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+28.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.38%
- Current HPI
- 198.2271
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+164.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — LHAR
- 2026-03-27 Relisted — LHAR
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $135,000 LHAR
- 2026-03-14 Pending — LHAR
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $125,000 LHAR
- 2026-01-02 Relisted — LHAR
- 2025-07-02 Listed $139,900 LHAR
- 2025-04-08 Sold (MLS) $135,000 LHAR
- 2025-03-09 Pending — LHAR
- 2025-01-24 Price Changed $149,900 LHAR
- 2024-11-14 Listed $157,900 LHAR
- 2024-03-29 Listed $165,000 LHAR
- 2018-08-31 Sold (MLS) $54,000 LHAR
- 2018-03-08 Listed $60,000 LHAR
- 2017-06-01 Sold (MLS) $30,000 WARDEX
- 2017-06-01 Sold (MLS) $30,000 LHAR
- 2016-06-17 Listed $51,000 WARDEX
- 2016-06-17 Listed $51,000 LHAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…