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236 N Moonlight Dr
B- Composite 69.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

236 N Moonlight Dr · Bluewater, AZ 85344
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured · 298 Days on market
Built 1978 Good condition 3,750 sqft lot $117/sqft · at area comps Est $139k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!

Key facts

  • No property taxes
  • Leased land
  • Double side parking

Tags

LEASED LANDNO HOANO PROPERTY TAXESDOUBLE SIDE PARKINGGATED SIDELARGE GRAVELED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $663 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 9.9% in Bluewater — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#81 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools F.
  • Parker Unified School District (4510) (town): math 18% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #200 of 249 in AZ (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in La Paz County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • La Paz County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 298 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 298 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.19%
Cash-on-cash
21.04%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$139,188
List price
$135,000
Delta
-3.01%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
236 N Moonlight Dr 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,152 (0%) 1mo $134,000 $116 100
324 N Misty Lane Ln 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (0%) 11mo $105,000 $91 79
471 Bluewater Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (+6%) 0mo $124,900 $103 73
408 N Misty Ln 0.20mi 2/1.0 1,120 (-3%) 15mo $120,000 $107 69
338 N Moonlight Dr 0.19mi 2/2.0 1,296 (+12%) 6mo $132,000 $102 65
425 Bluewater Dr 0.26mi 2/2.0 1,018 (-12%) 7mo $267,000 $262 63
476 E Riverfront Dr 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,120 (-3%) 9mo $150,000 $134 63
427 Bluewater Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,012 (-12%) 2mo $163,000 $161 61
338 E Riverfront Dr 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (+4%) 21mo $250,000 $208 59
452 E Riverfront Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+8%) 8mo $289,000 $232 54
423 Paradise Ln 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,050 (-9%) 13mo $105,000 $100 52
342 E Riverfront Dr 0.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (+15%) 22mo $380,000 $288 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$20,376
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$72,233
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85344

Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,020 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$424
Net cashflow
$663

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-05-10
    status Pending 605-char remark
    Show marketing remark (605 chars)

    On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!

  2. 2026-03-27
    status Active 605-char remark
    Show marketing remark (605 chars)

    On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!

  3. 2026-03-27
    price $135,000 605-char remark
    Show marketing remark (605 chars)

    On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!

  4. 2026-03-14
    status Pending 605-char remark
    Show marketing remark (605 chars)

    On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!

  5. 2026-03-11
    price $125,000 605-char remark
    Show marketing remark (605 chars)

    On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!

  6. 2026-01-02
    status Active 605-char remark
    Show marketing remark (605 chars)

    On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!

  7. 2025-07-02
    listed $139,900 Active 605-char remark
    Show marketing remark (605 chars)

    On Leased Land - No HOA, No Property Taxes! Make this your full-time home or perfect vacation retreat. This spacious double-wide offers double side parking, with one gated side ideal for your boat or recreational toys. Enjoy the large, graveled backyard with a utility shed - perfect for storage. NEW A/C installed last year! Interior features include new flooring and fresh paint throughout - truly turn-key and move-in ready. Take advantage of the community amenities including 24 Hr guard gate, a pool, clubhouse, beach, grassy shores, and a private boat ramp. Don't miss this affordable river getaway!

  8. 2025-04-08
    soldstatus $135,000 Closed 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    On Leased Land. No HOA/No Taxes. Make This Your Home or Vacation Get Away. Roomy Double Wide w/ Double Side Parking. One Side is Gated to Store Your Boat or Toys. Large Graveled Back Yard for Your Enjoyment. * * New A/C Last Year * * Enjoy the Community Pool, Clubhouse, Beach, Grassy Shores and Boat Ramp. Welcome to the Bluewater Lagoon!

  9. 2025-03-09
    status Pending 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    On Leased Land. No HOA/No Taxes. Make This Your Home or Vacation Get Away. Roomy Double Wide w/ Double Side Parking. One Side is Gated to Store Your Boat or Toys. Large Graveled Back Yard for Your Enjoyment. * * New A/C Last Year * * Enjoy the Community Pool, Clubhouse, Beach, Grassy Shores and Boat Ramp. Welcome to the Bluewater Lagoon!

  10. 2025-01-24
    price $149,900 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    On Leased Land. No HOA/No Taxes. Make This Your Home or Vacation Get Away. Roomy Double Wide w/ Double Side Parking. One Side is Gated to Store Your Boat or Toys. Large Graveled Back Yard for Your Enjoyment. * * New A/C Last Year * * Enjoy the Community Pool, Clubhouse, Beach, Grassy Shores and Boat Ramp. Welcome to the Bluewater Lagoon!

  11. 2024-11-14
    listed $157,900 Active 343-char remark
    Show marketing remark (343 chars)

    On Leased Land. No HOA/No Taxes. Make This Your Home or Vacation Get Away. Roomy Double Wide w/ Double Side Parking. One Side is Gated to Store Your Boat or Toys. Large Graveled Back Yard for Your Enjoyment. * * New A/C Last Year * * Enjoy the Community Pool, Clubhouse, Beach, Grassy Shores and Boat Ramp. Welcome to the Bluewater Lagoon!

  12. 2024-03-29
    listed $165,000 Active
  13. 2018-08-31
    soldstatus $54,000
  14. 2018-03-08
    listed $60,000
  15. 2017-06-01
    soldstatus $30,000
  16. 2017-06-01
    soldstatus $30,000
  17. 2016-06-17
    listed $51,000
  18. 2016-06-17
    listed $51,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,241
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,939
− Management
−$1,939
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$6,173
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,482
After-tax cash flow
$6,473/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This double-wide manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates, including new flooring and a new A/C. It offers double-side parking and a large, gravelled backyard, making it a turn-key and move-in ready property.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint the exterior — A fresh coat of paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrade the interior paint — Fresh paint inside can make the home feel more inviting and modern, appealing to both buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint the exterior — A fresh coat of paint can enhance curb appeal and the home's overall appearance.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract more potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Upgrade the interior paint — Fresh paint inside can make the home feel more inviting and modern, appealing to both buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Parker Unified School District (4510)
NCES district ID
0405980
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$34,354
Composite
14.76/100
National rank
#9392
State rank
#200 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Bluewater

Score
65/100
State rank
#81
US rank
#12872

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bluewater, AZ
Population (ZIP)
9,069

Population outlook (La Paz County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,409 people
By 2030
17,592 · -4.4%
By 2040
16,600 · -9.8%
By 2050
16,328 · -11.3%
By 2075
17,075 · -7.2%
By 2100
17,042 · -7.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 34% Native American 23% Two or more races 19% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 32%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · La Paz

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.2) · D 27.6% · R 71.8%
2008→2024 swing
-15.7pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -44.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.2 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+41.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+28.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.38%
Current HPI
198.2271
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+164.7% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Pending LHAR
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted LHAR
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $135,000 LHAR
  • 2026-03-14 Pending LHAR
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $125,000 LHAR
  • 2026-01-02 Relisted LHAR
  • 2025-07-02 Listed $139,900 LHAR
  • 2025-04-08 Sold (MLS) $135,000 LHAR
  • 2025-03-09 Pending LHAR
  • 2025-01-24 Price Changed $149,900 LHAR
  • 2024-11-14 Listed $157,900 LHAR
  • 2024-03-29 Listed $165,000 LHAR
  • 2018-08-31 Sold (MLS) $54,000 LHAR
  • 2018-03-08 Listed $60,000 LHAR
  • 2017-06-01 Sold (MLS) $30,000 WARDEX
  • 2017-06-01 Sold (MLS) $30,000 LHAR
  • 2016-06-17 Listed $51,000 WARDEX
  • 2016-06-17 Listed $51,000 LHAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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