8551 Oriole Ave · St. Louis, MO 63147

$110,000

6 bd · 1.0 ba · 992 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market

Built 1907 6,398 sqft lot $111/sqft · 79% above area Est $129k · 15% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +14.2/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.6/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Investor special with strong income potential! This spacious approximately 1,700 sq ft property features 4 bedrooms and 1 full bath, offering large rooms and a functional layout ideal for rental or resale. Currently tenant-occupied, this property presents an immediate income-producing opportunity. Market rents in the area for similar properties range from $1,200–$1,500 per month, making this a solid addition to any investment portfolio. The home has already seen key updates to major systems, including HVAC, water heater, and electrical—reducing upfront capital expenses for the next owner. The property does require cosmetic improvements, providing the perfect opportunity to add v

Key facts

• Value add property
• 6,398 sq ft lot
• Built 1907

Tags

• KEY UPDATES TO MAJOR SYSTEMS
• COSMETIC IMPROVEMENTS
• VALUE ADD PROPERTY

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Living area approximately 2,088 total (1,788 above grade; 300 below grade) — sources estimated; Lot size approximately 0.147 acres
• Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated; Seller may consider concessions

Exterior

• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service: Ameren; Cable available
• Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
• Construction: Vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Back yard; City lot

Interior

• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total, 2 on the main level and 2 on the upper level
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (serving main and upper levels)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air; Ceiling fans; Wall/window unit(s)
• Interior features: One and one-half level layout; Partially finished basement with concrete floor and sleeping area

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $512 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
• Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Bryan Hill Elem. (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #1,072 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 182 students, 98% FRL); Vashon High (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #520 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 568 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $74k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.36% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.88%
• Cash-on-cash: 19.97%
• DSCR: 1.89
• GRM: 6.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $129,275
• List price: $110,000
• Delta: -14.91%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 6 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 12.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.48×
• Total profit: $14,777
• Equity at exit: $16,401

10-year hold

• IRR: 21.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.78×
• Total profit: $54,748
• Equity at exit: $9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 63147

• Home prices YoY: -31.4%
• Active inventory: 57
• Price-to-rent: 6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,491 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$577
• Tax from tax record: −$43 /mo · $511/yr
• Insurance: −$46
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$313
• Net cashflow: $512

Break-even live

Break-even rent $842

Max offer price $110,000

Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $27,500
• Closing costs: $3,300
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-05-09
   status Pending 1055-char remark
2. 2026-04-24
   listed $110,000 Active 1055-char remark
3. 2007-03-23
   soldstatus $74,000
4. 2006-09-18
   soldstatus
5. 2002-11-14
   soldstatus $67,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $511 · $43/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,067 · $89/mo
• Expected delta: +$556/yr (+$46/mo · 108.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,889
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,162
• − Property taxes: −$511
• − Insurance: −$550
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,431
• − Management: −$1,431
• − Depreciation: −$3,200
• Taxable income: $4,604
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,105
• After-tax cash flow: $5,044/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: St. Louis City
• NCES district ID: 2929280
• Math proficiency: 10% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 18% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $35,685
• Composite: 11.54/100
• National rank: #9699
• State rank: #312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: St. Louis, MO
• County: Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
• City population: 283,259
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• Population (ZIP): 8,173
• Household income: $41,182
• Rent vs Own: 42.0% rent · 58.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 418.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 315,737 people
• By 2030: 313,865 · -0.6%
• By 2040: 305,439 · -3.3%
• By 2050: 296,529 · -6.1%
• By 2075: 271,028 · -14.2%
• By 2100: 255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 92% White 5% Two or more races 2%
• Foreign-born: 0%
• Languages at home: 99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -38.51%
• Current HPI: 84.224
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

+64.2% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-09 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-24 Listed $110,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2007-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
• 2006-09-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2002-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $511 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.