2209 Old Alton Rd · Birmingham, AL 35210

$99,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 946 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 71 Days on market

Built 1950 0.30 ac lot $106/sqft · 40% below area Est $167k · 40% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.5/5.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this quaint 2-bedroom, 1 bathroom home in Irondale! Located in a quiet area, this cutie has a covered front porch, carport, large living room, new granite counters and flooring, fresh paint and lots more!!

Key facts

• 0.3 acre lot
• Parking
• Built 1950

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $881 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
• Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 81 active listings in the ZIP; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $93,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.95% ✓
• Cap rate: 16.87%
• Cash-on-cash: 37.78%
• DSCR: 2.68
• GRM: 4.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $166,636
• List price: $99,900
• Delta: -40.05%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 6 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 35.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.51×
• Total profit: $42,239
• Equity at exit: $14,895

10-year hold

• IRR: 42.5%
• Equity multiple: 5.25×
• Total profit: $118,846
• Equity at exit: $8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 35210

• Home prices YoY: -32.2%
• Rents YoY: 4.2%
• Active inventory: 81
• Price-to-rent: 4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,944 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$90 /mo · $1,079/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$408
• Net cashflow: $881

Break-even live

Break-even rent $830

Max offer price $99,900

Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,975
• Closing costs: $2,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $99,900 Active 71 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $99,900 Active 70 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $99,900 Active 69 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $99,900 Active 68 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $99,900 Active 66 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   pricedays on market $99,900 Active 63 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $105,900 Active 62 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $105,900 Active 61 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $105,900 Active 60 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,900 Active 56 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,900 Active 55 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,900 Active 54 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,900 Active 53 DOM
14. 2026-04-08
    listed $107,900 Active 215-char remark

    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Check out this quaint 2-bedroom, 1 bathroom home in Irondale! Located in a quiet area, this cutie has a covered front porch, carport, large living room, new granite counters and flooring, fresh paint and lots more!!

15. 2019-11-05
    soldstatus $339,650
16. 2018-11-16
    soldstatus $87,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,079 · $90/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,079 · $90/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,331
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,596
• − Property taxes: −$1,079
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,867
• − Management: −$1,867
• − Depreciation: −$2,906
• Taxable income: $9,518
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,284
• After-tax cash flow: $8,283/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Birmingham City
• NCES district ID: 0100390
• Math proficiency: 4% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 20% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $31,988
• Composite: 9.49/100
• National rank: #9850
• State rank: #116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #78
• US rank: #10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Birmingham, AL
• County: Jefferson County · 527,445 people
• City population: 210,422
• Metro: Birmingham-Hoover, AL
• Population (ZIP): 13,775
• Household income: $73,061
• Rent vs Own: 29.8% rent · 70.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 379.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 669,185 people
• By 2030: 669,694 · +0.1%
• By 2040: 661,388 · -1.2%
• By 2050: 643,086 · -3.9%
• By 2075: 577,267 · -13.7%
• By 2100: 474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (62%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 62% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 4% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

• 2024 margin: D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -109.03%
• Current HPI: 230.033
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.18%
• Metro: Birmingham-Hoover, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

+23.3% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-08 Listed $107,900 Greater Alabama MLS
• 2019-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $339,650 Public Records
• 2018-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,079 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.