500 N Pine St · Middletown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Simple living at its best! Three bedroom, two bath double wide, located in Windy Pines Moblie Home Park, in the borough of Middletown, and within walking distance to everything. Well kept and features a new, 30 year roof, storage shed, covered porch and off street parking. If you are looking for care free living, Here it is!!!
Key facts
- Built 1996
- Listed 47 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a federal flood zone
- HOA & community: HOA fee of $495 monthly; HOA covers lawn maintenance and snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electric service; Cable TV available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Vinyl siding; Composite roof; Land lease ownership (land lease approximately $5,940 annually; 100 years remaining)
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Composite roof; Foundation: Other; Above-grade structure
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Deck(s); Satellite dish
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric range/oven
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Additional bedrooms listed (total rooms include Master Bedroom, Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3, Bedroom 4, Bedroom 5)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating and hot water; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; No basement; Rooms include dining room, den, laundry
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($278/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $85k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.1% in Middletown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#214 in PA, #1,886 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
- Middletown Area SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #368 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Middletown Area Hs (math 72% / reading 10%, grade F, #251 of 437 statewide, top 58%, 747 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 146 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $605 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $88k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.13%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $194,339
- List price
- $87,500
- Delta
- -54.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Caravan Ct | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (-4%) | 8mo | $17,000 | $18 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-14,391
- Equity at exit
- $13,047
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-17,334
- Equity at exit
- $7,565
Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17057
- Home prices YoY
- -23.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,432 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$459
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,415/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$495
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $23
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,875
- Closing costs
- $2,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 E Main St Apt 4 Middletown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 415 Aspen St Unit 1 Middletown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,495 | $1.73 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 144 Wilson St Middletown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,495 | $1.33 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 167 Ann St Unit 4 Middletown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 213 S Union St Apt 1 Middletown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,400 | $1.79 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 219 S Union St Unit 2nd Floor Middletown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 219 S Union St Fl REAR Middletown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1900 Pineford Dr Middletown, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1020 | $1,690 | $1.66 | 13d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 105 Woodland Ave Middletown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 996 | $1,714 | $1.72 | 13d | 9 | 0.72mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $495 · $5,940/yr
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $87,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $87,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $87,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $87,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $87,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $87,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $87,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $87,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $87,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $87,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $87,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $87,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $87,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $87,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $87,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-03$87,500 Active 470-char remark
-
2026-05-01historical $87,500 470-char remark
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2017-02-28historical
-
2016-07-13$39,000
-
2010-04-13soldstatus $25,500
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Simple living at its best! Three bedroom, two bath double wide, located in Windy Pines Moblie Home Park, in the borough of Middletown, and within walking distance to everything. Well kept and features a new, 30 year roof, storage shed, covered porch and off street parking. If you are looking for care free living, Here it is!!!
-
2010-03-29historical
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Simple living at its best! Three bedroom, two bath double wide, located in Windy Pines Moblie Home Park, in the borough of Middletown, and within walking distance to everything. Well kept and features a new, 30 year roof, storage shed, covered porch and off street parking. If you are looking for care free living, Here it is!!!
-
2010-02-08$29,900
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Simple living at its best! Three bedroom, two bath double wide, located in Windy Pines Moblie Home Park, in the borough of Middletown, and within walking distance to everything. Well kept and features a new, 30 year roof, storage shed, covered porch and off street parking. If you are looking for care free living, Here it is!!!
-
2006-11-15soldstatus $29,900
-
2006-10-11historical
-
2006-09-14$29,900
-
2006-07-26$29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,415 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,415 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,901
- − Property taxes
- −$1,415
- − Insurance
- −$438
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,375
- − Management
- −$1,375
- − HOA
- −$5,940
- − Depreciation
- −$2,545
- Taxable loss
- −$803
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$193
- After-tax cash flow
- $471/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Middletown Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215240
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,128
- Composite
- 33.08/100
- National rank
- #5567
- State rank
- #368 of 539 in PA
Livability — Middletown
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #214
- US rank
- #1886
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Middletown, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 23,560
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,560
- Household income
- $73,407
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 748.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.17%
- Current HPI
- 265.6077
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+192.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Listed $87,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-01 Coming Soon $87,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-02-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-07-13 Listed $39,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-04-13 Sold (MLS) $25,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-03-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-02-08 Listed $29,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-11-15 Sold (MLS) $29,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-10-11 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-09-14 Listed $29,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-07-26 Listed $29,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,415 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…