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3380 Thunderhead Dr
C- Composite 53.78
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

3380 Thunderhead Dr · Lake Havasu City, AZ 86406
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,151 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1990 0.26 ac lot Est $346k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity knocks! This fixer can potentially generate a great ROI for a savvy contractor. Great location in a quiet, south side neighborhood near the shopping center at Oro Grande and Hwy 95. Excellent bones, with an open floor plan with vaulted ceiling in Great Room- 2 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms - primary suite and 2nd bedroom with bathroom adjacent in the hallway. Priced to reflect current condition - Sold ''As Is''.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Great location
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

GREAT LOCATIONQUIET SOUTH SIDE NEIGHBORHOODSHOPPING CENTER NEARBYOPEN FLOOR PLANVAULTED CEILING IN GREAT ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 200+ amp electric service
  • Home design: Single family residence; Faces northwest
  • Construction: Stucco construction
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Has a view; No fencing; Shingle roof; Lot dimensions approximately 76 x 147 x 82 x 147

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area located in the garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (12.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.0% in Lake Havasu City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#124 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lake Havasu Unified District (4368) (urban): math 39% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #66 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 528 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 63% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,543 units permitted in Mohave County in 2024 (33 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Mohave County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $210k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,037 (12.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.16%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$346,451
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3275 Thunderhead Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,120 (-3%) 4mo $355,500 $317 80
3425 Poppy Trail Dr 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,082 (-6%) 4mo $330,000 $305 78
3445 Hassayampa Dr 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,074 (-7%) 6mo $369,000 $344 74
3350 Medicine Bow Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,218 (+6%) 7mo $360,000 $296 72
3381 Yavapai Dr 0.11mi 2/2.0 1,031 (-10%) 7mo $310,000 $301 72
3325 Medicine Bow Dr 0.17mi 2/2.0 1,291 (+12%) 7mo $360,000 $279 66
3145 Arapaho Dr #101 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,203 (+4%) 6mo $332,500 $276 60
1051 Thunderbolt Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,294 (+12%) 7mo $307,000 $237 56
3389 Kearsage Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,263 (+10%) 4mo $345,000 $273 49
3540 Wallingford Dr W 0.61mi 2/2.0 984 (-14%) 2mo $359,900 $366 46
3661 Parkview Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,323 (+15%) 3mo $340,000 $257 41
3690 Indian Hills Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,304 (+13%) 3mo $600,000 $460 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.2%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-23,975
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-7,398
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 86406

Home prices YoY
-28.5%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
528
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,830 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,228/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$155

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,634
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3310 Winston Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1108 $3,250 $2.93 43d 1 0.38mi
3200 Arapaho Dr Unit 102 Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1073 $1,400 $1.30 20d 1 0.42mi
3300 Tomahawk Dr Unit 101 Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 3.0 1361 $1,800 $1.32 43d 1 0.47mi
3271 Kearsage Dr #103 Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 43d 1 0.49mi
3180 Cotati Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1347 $2,400 $1.78 43d 1 0.55mi
3380 Truckee Dr Unit 102 Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1141 $1,450 $1.27 20d 1 0.56mi
3092 Tomahawk Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1081 $1,600 $1.48 20d 1 0.56mi
3175 Cotati Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.5 1473 $2,300 $1.56 43d 1 0.59mi
1331 Wapati Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1001 $1,500 $1.50 43d 1 0.64mi
3430 Kearsage Dr Unit B101 Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1426 $1,695 $1.19 43d 1 0.69mi
3210 Sweetwater Ave Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 915 $1,825 $1.99 43d 2 0.70mi
3210 Sweetwater Ave #130 Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 915 $2,000 $2.19 13d 1 0.71mi
905 Mohican Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 1.0 1005 $1,900 $1.89 43d 1 0.79mi
3560 Lost Dutchman Dr Unit LOST3560 Lake Havasu City, AZ 1.0 1.0 1318 $1,350 $1.02 43d 1 0.81mi
3815 Reservation Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1477 $1,795 $1.22 43d 1 0.85mi
3048 Shoshone Dr Unit A204 Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 960 $1,395 $1.45 43d 1 0.97mi
3048 Shoshone Dr Unit A104 Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 960 $1,395 $1.45 20d 1 0.97mi
2860 Jamaica Blvd S Unit B101 Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,800 $1.70 43d 1 1.09mi
1391 McCulloch Blvd S Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1423 $2,500 $1.76 13d 1 1.10mi
2740 Jericho Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1388 $2,900 $2.09 43d 1 1.14mi
1507 Blackfoot Ln S Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1248 $2,300 $1.84 13d 1 1.18mi
1556 McCulloch Blvd S Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1194 $1,800 $1.51 43d 1 1.24mi
3720 Beachview Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1427 $1,700 $1.19 13d 1 1.24mi
3128 Jamaica Blvd S Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1036 $1,700 $1.64 20d 1 1.26mi
3901 Ravello Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1266 $1,595 $1.26 43d 1 1.34mi
690 Paseo Granada Lake Havasu City, AZ 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 20d 1 1.34mi
3610 Breakwater Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1268 $1,850 $1.46 20d 1 1.35mi
3610 Breakwater Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 3.0 2.0 1268 $1,850 $1.46 43d 1 1.35mi
2673 Jamaica Blvd S #14 Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1030 $1,800 $1.75 43d 1 1.41mi
3740 Breakwater Dr Lake Havasu City, AZ 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,700 $1.36 43d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 424-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $210,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,228 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,386 · $116/mo
Expected delta
+$158/yr (+$13/mo · 12.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,964
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$1,228
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,757
− Management
−$1,757
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$1,700
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$408
After-tax cash flow
$2,267/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake Havasu Unified District (4368)
NCES district ID
0404280
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,993
Composite
33.92/100
National rank
#5339
State rank
#66 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Lake Havasu City

Score
63/100
State rank
#124
US rank
#15839

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime C Employment C Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Havasu City, AZ
County
Mohave County · 181,906 people
City population
62,596
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
Population (ZIP)
25,067
Household income
$77,506
Rent vs Own
22.4% rent · 77.6% own
Severe rent burden
376.0

Population outlook (Mohave County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
209,184 people
By 2030
209,674 · +0.2%
By 2040
205,897 · -1.6%
By 2050
196,810 · -5.9%
By 2075
169,454 · -19.0%
By 2100
136,630 · -34.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Iranian 5% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mohave

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.8) · D 21.8% · R 77.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -55.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.8 2020: R+51.3 2016: R+51.5 2012: R+42.6 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.94%
Current HPI
380.9101
Rent YoY
▲ 3.14%
Metro
Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+180.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $210,000 LHAR
  • 1992-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,228 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…