701 W Colorado St · Groesbeck, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,300
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity in a quiet, established Groesbeck community with easy access to local grocery stores, daily conveniences, and town amenities. Nearby shopping includes Brookshire’s Food & Pharmacy and other neighborhood grocery options, making the location practical for everyday living. This property offers excellent potential for a first-time buyer, rental portfolio, or renovation project, with the benefit of a peaceful small-town setting and convenient in-town access.
Key facts
- Nearby shopping
- 5,750 sq ft lot
- Built 1995
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($55/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (14.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $85k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 1.6% in Groesbeck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#777 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Groesbeck ISD (rural): math 28% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #634 of 826 in TX (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: H O Whitehurst El (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 501 students, 73% FRL); Groesbeck Middle (math 28% / reading 41%, grade F, #858 of 1,662 statewide, top 54%, 277 students, 70% FRL); Groesbeck H S (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #897 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 458 students, 57% FRL).
- Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 17 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $687 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Limestone County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.20%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,060
- List price
- $99,300
- Delta
- -5.48%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 914 W Angeline St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 810 (+6%) | 10mo | $28,000 | $35 | 60 |
| 207 S Dallas St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 829 (+9%) | 22mo | $115,000 | $139 | 50 |
| 205 N Rusk St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+14%) | 12mo | $115,000 | $133 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-15,797
- Equity at exit
- $14,806
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-13,377
- Equity at exit
- $8,586
Cash invested: $27,804 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76642
- Home prices YoY
- -18.0%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $849 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$521
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,252/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $5
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $61 | -5% $33 | +0% $5 | +5% $-24 | +10% $-52 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-63 | -5% $-29 | +0% $5 | +5% $38 | +10% $72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $55 | -0.5pp $30 | base $5 | +0.5pp $-21 | +1.0pp $-47 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,825
- Closing costs
- $2,979
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 706 W Sabine St Groesbeck, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $695 | $0.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 807 W Sabine St Groesbeck, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $795 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 102 E State St Groesbeck, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 801 E Yeagua St Apt 2 Groesbeck, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 653 | $550 | $0.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,300 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $99,300 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $99,300 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,300 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,300 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,300 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,300 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,300 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,300 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,300 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,300 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,300 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,300 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,300 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,300 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,300 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $99,300 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Great opportunity in a quiet, established Groesbeck community with easy access to local grocery stores, daily conveniences, and town amenities. Nearby shopping includes Brookshire’s Food & Pharmacy and other neighborhood grocery options, making the location practical for everyday living. This property offers excellent potential for a first-time buyer, rental portfolio, or renovation project, with the benefit of a peaceful small-town setting and convenient in-town access.
-
2026-04-24price $99,400 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Great opportunity in a quiet, established Groesbeck community with easy access to local grocery stores, daily conveniences, and town amenities. Nearby shopping includes Brookshire’s Food & Pharmacy and other neighborhood grocery options, making the location practical for everyday living. This property offers excellent potential for a first-time buyer, rental portfolio, or renovation project, with the benefit of a peaceful small-town setting and convenient in-town access.
-
2026-04-13$99,500 Active 485-char remark
Show marketing remark (485 chars)
Great opportunity in a quiet, established Groesbeck community with easy access to local grocery stores, daily conveniences, and town amenities. Nearby shopping includes Brookshire’s Food & Pharmacy and other neighborhood grocery options, making the location practical for everyday living. This property offers excellent potential for a first-time buyer, rental portfolio, or renovation project, with the benefit of a peaceful small-town setting and convenient in-town access.
-
2004-08-20soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,252 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,817 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- +$565/yr (+$47/mo · 45.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,193
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,252
- − Insurance
- −$496
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$815
- − Management
- −$815
- − Depreciation
- −$2,889
- Taxable loss
- −$1,637
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$393
- After-tax cash flow
- $448/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Groesbeck ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4821810
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,929
- Composite
- 25.3/100
- National rank
- #7487
- State rank
- #634 of 826 in TX
Livability — Groesbeck
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #777
- US rank
- #14137
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Groesbeck, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,226
Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,396 people
- By 2030
- 23,214 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 22,829 · -2.4%
- By 2050
- 22,516 · -3.8%
- By 2075
- 22,088 · -5.6%
- By 2100
- 20,354 · -13.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 13% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Limestone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.9) · D 21.2% · R 78.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -56.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.9 2020: R+50.3 2016: R+52.3 2012: R+40.7 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.70%
- Current HPI
- 190.097
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-0.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $99,300 NTREIS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $99,400 NTREIS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $99,500 NTREIS
- 2004-08-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+14.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,252 · +16.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…