170 Villa Dr · Circleville, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1999 CLAYTON 16 X 80 - COUNTRY KITCHEN, EXCELLENT CONDITION, LOTS OFCABINETS, CATHEDRAL CEILING IN KITCHEN AND MASTER BEDROOM, NICE UTILITYROOM, STORAGE BARN APPROX. 12 X 20 W/ ELECTRIC PLUS ADDITIONAL STORAGEBARN. GARDEN TUB AND DOUBLE SHOWER IN M. B.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Oversized shed
- Open-concept kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in ELSEAS MHP subdivision, Yamarick township
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $370; HOA amenities include basketball court, clubhouse, and pool; HOA fee includes trash service
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Other residential without deeded land; One level; Built in 1999; No common walls
- Construction: Other foundation
- Exterior features: Shed(s)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric forced-air heating
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $578 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 2.9% in Circleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#437 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Circleville City (town): math 37% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #533 of 656 in OH (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 312 units permitted in Pickaway County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pickaway County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $60k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.29%
- DSCR
- 2.84
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $27,351
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 44.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.30×
- Total profit
- $72,257
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43113
- Active inventory
- 121
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,725 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$75 /mo · $900/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$370
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $578
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 344 Watt St Circleville, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,725 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 1.37mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $370 · $4,440/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-17$60,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$900
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,656
- − Management
- −$1,656
- − HOA
- −$4,440
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $6,642
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,594
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,343/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Circleville City
- NCES district ID
- 3904376
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,318
- Composite
- 35.09/100
- National rank
- #5021
- State rank
- #533 of 656 in OH
Livability — Circleville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #7237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Circleville, OH
- County
- Pickaway · 57,589 people
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,314
- Household income
- $63,715
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7.4
Population outlook (Pickaway County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,488 people
- By 2030
- 60,400 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 61,498 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 61,478 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 59,696 · +0.3%
- By 2100
- 51,458 · -13.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Pickaway
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.5) · D 25.3% · R 73.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.8pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -48.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.5 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+42.6 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -136.77%
- Current HPI
- 241.5556
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+50.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $60,000 CBRMLS
- 2001-05-09 Sold (MLS) $39,000 CBRMLS
- 2001-04-24 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2001-01-25 Listed $39,900 CBRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…