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1024 Robin Hill Ln
C Composite 56.72
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.8/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,374

1024 Robin Hill Ln · Wylie, TX 75407
1 bd · 2.0 ba · 661 sqft · SingleFamily · 11 Days on market
Built 2025 Poor condition 4,008 sqft lot $196/sqft · 16% below area Est $154k · 16% under $41/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

LENNAR - The Alcove at Tillage Farms - The Dream Collection brings new single-family homes to the Tillage Farms masterplan in Princeton, TX. The community features fantastic onsite amenities, including a relaxing swimming pool, basketball court and more, and residents receive a Battery Backup included with Base Power REP election upon selection. This charming Dallas suburb boasts proximity to major roadways and thoroughfares, helping to simplify everyday travel and commutes. Homeowners will enjoy convenient access to the best of local shopping and dining in either downtown McKinney or at the Allen Outlets. Prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative p

Key facts

  • Swimming pool
  • Basketball court
  • Battery backup

Tags

SWIMMING POOLBASKETBALL COURTBATTERY BACKUPLOCAL SHOPPINGLOCAL DININGPROXIMITY TO MAJOR ROADWAYS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Green / energy-efficient features include energy-efficient appliances, doors, enhanced air filtration, insulation, low-flow commode, mechanical fresh air, rain/freeze sensors, thermostat, water heater, and windows; Located in The Alcove at Tillage Farms subdivision; Property sold by builder (special listing condition)
  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Annual association fee; Association covers full use of facilities, grounds maintenance, and management fees; HOA managed by PMP Management

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage faces front
  • Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Fire alarm; Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Municipal Utility District service; MUD water; MUD sewer; Concrete curbs and sidewalks
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two levels; New construction (incomplete, 2025)
  • Construction: Fiber cement and siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Wood fencing; Landscaped yard; Sprinkler system

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom; Primary bedroom with walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); ENERGY STAR qualified equipment; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Cable TV available; Decorative lighting; High-speed internet available; Open floorplan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $129k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $129k).
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.0% in Wylie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#419 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Princeton ISD (suburban): math 51% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #188 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mayfield El (609 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 56% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 1404 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($100k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $894 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $129,374

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.62%
Cash-on-cash
4.75%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,288
List price
$129,374
Delta
-16.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1023 Bishop Creek Dr 0.02mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 2mo $139,500 $211 97
1002 Robin Hill Ln 0.05mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 2mo $174,264 $264 96
1008 Robin Hill Ln 0.04mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 4mo $151,674 $229 94
1019 Bishop Creek Dr 0.02mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 6mo $155,674 $236 94
1017 Bishop Creek Dr 0.02mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 6mo $157,674 $239 94
1011 Bishop Creek Dr 0.04mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 6mo $149,124 $226 93
1009 Bishop Creek Dr 0.04mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 7mo $156,674 $237 92
1013 Bishop Creek Dr 0.03mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 8mo $157,884 $239 92
1007 Bishop Creek Dr 0.04mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 7mo $163,499 $247 92
1010 Robin Hill Ln 0.04mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 8mo $149,149 $226 91
1005 Bishop Creek Dr 0.05mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 8mo $168,674 $255 91
1004 Robin Hill Ln 0.05mi 1/2.0 661 (0%) 9mo $170,999 $259 90

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-15,790
Equity at exit
$19,290
10-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-17,268
Equity at exit
$11,186

Cash invested: $36,225 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75407

Home prices YoY
-30.3%
Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
1404
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,365 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$678
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,941/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$41
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$143

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,184
Max offer price $129,374
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,344
Closing costs
$3,881
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1002 Robin Hill LN Princeton, TX 1.0 2.0 661 $1,300 $1.97 43d 1 0.06mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$41 · $492/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 715-char remark
  2. 2026-04-28
    price $129,374 715-char remark
  3. 2026-04-23
    listed $130,699 Active 715-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,381
− Mortgage interest
−$7,247
− Property taxes
−$1,941
− Insurance
−$647
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,310
− Management
−$1,310
− HOA
−$492
− Depreciation
−$3,764
Taxable loss
−$330
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$79
After-tax cash flow
$1,799/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 0 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This home requires extensive renovations and repairs, including kitchen and bathroom updates, flooring replacement, and exterior improvements. Significant value can be added through these upgrades, making it a good investment opportunity.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen countertops and cabinets — The countertops and cabinets are visibly worn and need replacement.
  • Major Bathroom fixtures and tiles — The fixtures and tiles are outdated and in poor condition.
  • Major Flooring — The flooring is worn and needs replacement.
  • Major Interior walls — The walls show signs of wear and need repainting or repair.
  • Major Roof — The roof appears damaged and needs replacement.
  • Major Exterior siding — The siding is peeling and needs repainting or replacement.
  • Major Windows — The windows are old and may need replacement or caulking.
  • Major Foundation — The foundation shows signs of settling and needs repair.
  • Major HVAC system — The HVAC system appears old and may need replacement or maintenance.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Kitchen renovation — A modern kitchen will attract more buyers and increase the home's value.
  • Resale Bathroom renovation — Upgraded bathrooms will appeal to potential buyers and increase the home's value.
  • Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both Exterior painting and landscaping — A fresh exterior and well-maintained landscaping will enhance curb appeal and attract more renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen countertops and cabinets · The countertops and cabinets are visibly worn and need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom fixtures and tiles · The fixtures and tiles are outdated and in poor condition. Major $15,000–50,000
Flooring · The flooring is worn and needs replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Interior walls · The walls show signs of wear and need repainting or repair. Major $15,000–50,000
Roof · The roof appears damaged and needs replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Exterior siding · The siding is peeling and needs repainting or replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Windows · The windows are old and may need replacement or caulking. Major $15,000–50,000
Foundation · The foundation shows signs of settling and needs repair. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · The HVAC system appears old and may need replacement or maintenance. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 9 items $135,000–450,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Kitchen renovation — A modern kitchen will attract more buyers and increase the home's value.
  • Resale Bathroom renovation — Upgraded bathrooms will appeal to potential buyers and increase the home's value.
  • Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring will improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
  • Both Exterior painting and landscaping — A fresh exterior and well-maintained landscaping will enhance curb appeal and attract more renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Princeton ISD
NCES district ID
4835850
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,827
Composite
42.44/100
National rank
#3226
State rank
#188 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wylie

Score
69/100
State rank
#419
US rank
#8623

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Collin County · 1,159,394 people
City population
69,325
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
34,171
Household income
$100,037
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
368.0

Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,210,074 people
By 2030
1,358,201 · +12.2%
By 2040
1,654,061 · +36.7%
By 2050
1,937,359 · +60.1%
By 2075
2,567,039 · +112.1%
By 2100
2,952,048 · +144.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, China, Mexico
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Collin

2024 margin
R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.99%
Current HPI
238.9373
Rent YoY
▼ -1.02%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $129,374 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $130,699 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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