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8607 Northlawn St
B Composite 70.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$119,900

8607 Northlawn St · Detroit, MI 48204
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,542 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1931 3,485 sqft lot Est $119k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brick 2 Family 1st Floor unit has 2 bedrooms, living & large dining rm. , kitchen & bath. 2nd Floor unit offers has 2 bedroom, living rm. , kitchen & two storage rooms (walk-in's). Home offers large, divided basement. Owner was collecting $1000.00 downstairs $900.00 upstairs monthly Rent. The House very clean and ready for move in

Key facts

  • Large dining
  • 2 family
  • Two storage rooms

Tags

2 FAMILYLARGE DININGTWO STORAGE ROOMSLARGE DIVIDED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned for multifamily use; Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 103 (0.08 acres)
  • Financial info: Annual tax amount: $4,579

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential income, multifamily property; One and one-half stories; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick exterior; Block foundation; Built area above grade: 1,542 (finished)
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Pets not allowed

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
  • Interior features: Full, unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,459/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1418% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $43k; list at $120k implies a 179% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $119,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
9.54%
Cash-on-cash
11.59%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$118,734
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8301 Northlawn St 0.17mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,636 (+6%) 2mo $115,000 $70 71
8607 Indiana St 0.18mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,457 (-6%) 9mo $100,000 $69 70
8354 Wyoming Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,620 (+5%) 7mo $125,000 $77 64
9015 Cloverlawn St 0.21mi 4/2.0 1,390 (-10%) 11mo $50,000 $36 63
8010 Normile St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (+4%) 6mo $219,999 $137 56
5801 Oakman Blvd 0.64mi 4/1.5 1,451 (-6%) 5mo $160,000 $110 56
8205 Normile St 0.44mi 5/1.5 (+1) 1,648 (+7%) 10mo $76,000 $46 55
8044 E Morrow Cir 0.59mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,505 (-2%) 12mo $225,000 $150 54
9181 Pinehurst St 0.74mi 4/2.0 1,500 (-3%) 12mo $50,000 $33 49
8127 American St 0.51mi 4/1.0 1,317 (-15%) 8mo $29,000 $22 44
8043 E Morrow Circle St E 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,398 (-9%) 8mo $155,000 $111 42
8304 Pinehurst St 0.67mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (-13%) 9mo $123,500 $92 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.8%
Equity multiple
3.56×
Total profit
$85,970
Equity at exit
$108,015
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
8.06×
Total profit
$236,974
Equity at exit
$232,939

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,459 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$306
Net cashflow
$324

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,049
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8320 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1737 $1,550 $0.89 20d 1 0.14mi
8230 Ohio St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,200 $0.89 16d 1 0.23mi
8143 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1370 $1,800 $1.31 1d 1 0.31mi
9209 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1589 $1,500 $0.94 43d 1 0.77mi
7424 Wykes St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 43d 1 0.89mi
10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 43d 1 1.13mi
9355 Ward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,327 $1.11 43d 1 1.17mi
5315 Spokane St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2110 $1,200 $0.57 16d 1 1.24mi
12144 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 14d 1 1.43mi
12303 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1454 $1,400 $0.96 43d 1 1.46mi
4915 Maplewood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1324 $1,100 $0.83 16d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $119,900 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    remarks 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (350 chars)

    Brick 2 Family 1st Floor unit has 2 bedrooms, living & large dining rm. , kitchen & bath. 2nd Floor unit offers has 2 bedroom, living rm. , kitchen & two storage rooms (walk-in's). Home offers large, divided basement. Owner was collecting $1000.00 downstairs $900.00 upstairs monthly Rent. The House very clean and ready for move in

  7. 2026-06-02
    listed $119,900 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (350 chars)

    Brick 2 Family 1st Floor unit has 2 bedrooms, living & large dining rm. , kitchen & bath. 2nd Floor unit offers has 2 bedroom, living rm. , kitchen & two storage rooms (walk-in's). Home offers large, divided basement. Owner was collecting $1000.00 downstairs $900.00 upstairs monthly Rent. The House very clean and ready for move in

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,511
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,798
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,401
− Management
−$1,401
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$2,107
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$506
After-tax cash flow
$3,385/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+19.9% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $119,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2024-07-03 Sold (MLS) $43,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-07-03 Sold (MLS) $43,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-06-26 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-06-26 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2024-06-21 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2024-06-21 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-06-13 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-06-13 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-04-21 Listed $94,950 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-12-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-08-30 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2002-08-30 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+16.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,586 · +728.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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