1058 W Rustic Pine Rd · Camp Verde, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- Cash flow +8.0/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -2.9
$186,890
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Current Special fixes lease for 3 years if purchased in April. This is an all ages gated community located right in the heart of it all! 90 minutes from Phoenix and a short ride to Cottonwood, Sedona, and Flagstaff. Adorable 2 bedroom, 1&3/4 bath manufactured home with upgraded stainless steel kitchen appliances, a 10'x10' storage shed and vinyl flooring throughout the home. Residents enjoy on-site amenities at the 10,000 sq ft. entertainment-filled clubhouse with heated pool, hot tub, pickleball courts, dog park, fitness center and neighborhood activities. Community is adjacent to an undeveloped state park. Lot lease is $583.00 monthly. Must pass background check.
Key facts
- Dog park
- Vinyl flooring
- Hot tub
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $187k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-191 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (14.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (25.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $139k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.7% in Camp Verde — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#77 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A, housing A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Camp Verde Unified District (4470) (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #176 of 249 in AZ (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Camp Verde Elementary School (math 24% / reading 31%, grade F, #592 of 1,109 statewide, top 54%, 679 students, 61% FRL); Camp Verde Middle School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #109 of 218 statewide, top 51%, 365 students, 60% FRL); Camp Verde High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #364 of 381 statewide, top 100%, 488 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 11% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.37%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,000
- List price
- $186,890
- Delta
- -1.64%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1078 W Rustic Pine Rd | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 920 (-11%) | 2mo | $198,327 | $216 | 78 |
| 1145 Thorton Rd | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 920 (-11%) | 10mo | $164,000 | $178 | 68 |
| 1053 Wheeler Rd | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,173 (+13%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $162 | 68 |
| 983 W Thorton Rd | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 920 (-11%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $234 | 67 |
| 1072 W Rustic Pine Rd | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 920 (-11%) | 16mo | $188,009 | $204 | 66 |
| 1007 W Thorton Rd | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 920 (-11%) | 12mo | $166,000 | $180 | 65 |
| 1114 Thorton Rd | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,173 (+13%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $158 | 63 |
| 723 W Finnie Flat Rd #132 | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+8%) | 7mo | $119,000 | $106 | 57 |
| 375 S Groseta Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+11%) | 10mo | $279,000 | $242 | 53 |
| 91 S Mann Cir | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,173 (+13%) | 20mo | $195,000 | $166 | 51 |
| 723 Finnie Flat Rd #130 | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+11%) | 15mo | $75,000 | $66 | 49 |
| 723 W Finnie Flat Rd #65 | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 896 (-13%) | 19mo | $49,500 | $55 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-42,409
- Equity at exit
- $27,866
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.00×
- Total profit
- $-52,484
- Equity at exit
- $16,159
Cash invested: $52,329 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 9 active
- Months of supply
- 18.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $164,900 ($179/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 96 d
- This list price
- 78% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +2.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 86322
- Home prices YoY
- -8.6%
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,393 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$980
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$234 /mo · $2,803/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $-191
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-62 | -5% $-126 | +0% $-191 | +5% $-255 | +10% $-320 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-301 | -5% $-246 | +0% $-191 | +5% $-136 | +10% $-81 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-97 | -0.5pp $-143 | base $-191 | +0.5pp $-239 | +1.0pp $-288 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,722
- Closing costs
- $5,607
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1064 W Rustic Pine Rd Camp Verde, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 937 | $1,783 | $1.90 | 93d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 914 W Viceroy Ln Camp Verde, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $1,999 | $1.51 | 93d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 365 N Homestead Pkwy Camp Verde, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $2,175 | $2.03 | 62d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 392 N Homestead Pkwy Camp Verde, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 62d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 357 Cliffs Pkwy Apt J Camp Verde, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 898 | $1,455 | $1.62 | 93d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 142 W Maryvale Dr Camp Verde, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 890 | $1,405 | $1.58 | 93d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 499 S 2nd St Camp Verde, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,505 | $1.58 | 62d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $186,890 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $186,890 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $186,890 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $186,890 Active 134 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $186,890 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $186,890 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $186,890 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $186,890 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $186,890 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $186,890 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $186,890 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $186,890 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $186,890 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $186,890 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $186,890 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $186,890 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $186,890 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $186,890 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $186,890 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $186,890 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $186,890 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $186,890 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $186,890 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $186,890 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $186,890 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $186,890 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $186,890 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $186,890 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $186,890 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $186,890 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $186,890 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $186,890 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $186,890 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $186,890 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $186,890 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $186,890 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $186,890 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $186,890 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $186,890 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $186,890 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $186,890 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $186,890 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $186,890 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $186,890 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $186,890 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $186,890 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $186,890 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $186,890 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $186,890 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $186,890 Active 75 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,722
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,469
- − Property taxes
- −$2,803
- − Insurance
- −$934
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,338
- − Management
- −$1,338
- − Depreciation
- −$5,437
- Taxable loss
- −$5,597
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,343
- After-tax cash flow
- $-945/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a great value with on-site amenities and a prime location.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Interior paint — Fresh paint can make a home more appealing ↑
- Both Appliance upgrades — Modern appliances can increase both resale and rental value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Camp Verde Unified District (4470)
- NCES district ID
- 0401600
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,042
- Composite
- 18.92/100
- National rank
- #8856
- State rank
- #176 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Camp Verde
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #12185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Camp Verde, AZ
- County
- Yavapai County · 241,389 people
- City population
- 13,020
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,020
- Household income
- $69,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 17% of renters
Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 241,389 people
- By 2030
- 249,523 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 259,966 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 264,736 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 269,334 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 256,505 · +6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Serbian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.38%
- Current HPI
- 419.2107
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $186,890 ARMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $168,890 ARMLS
- 2026-03-02 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $186,880 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…