406 Maple Heights St · Kenton, TN 38233

$99,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,812 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market

Built 1900 1.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +23.7/30.0
• DSCR +7.6/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.5/10.0
• Appreciation +5.3/10.0
• Schools +3.7/10.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Step into timeless charm with this character-filled home in Kenton, TN! Featuring a roof that's only 4 years old, this well-loved property blends classic appeal with practical updates. Enjoy relaxing evenings on the screened-in back patio or unwind on the unique enclosed wraparound front and side porch — all under roof for year-round enjoyment. Upstairs offers versatile rooms perfect for storage, crafting, hobbies, or flex space to fit your needs. Situated on a spacious corner lot, the property also includes a detached garage and separate shop — ideal for projects, extra storage, or workspace. This one is full of personality and ready for its next chapter! Call Marty Lannom 731-

Key facts

• Separate shop
• Versatile rooms
• Spacious corner lot

Tags

• SCREENED IN BACK PATIO
• VERSATILE ROOMS
• SPACIOUS CORNER LOT
• DETACHED GARAGE
• SEPARATE SHOP

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Annual property tax amount reported

Exterior

• Parking: Two-car garage; One covered carport (additional parking space) — three parking spaces total
• Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels / Two stories
• Exterior features: Corner lot; Approximately 1 acre (lot dimensions ~115 m x 145 m irregular)

Interior

• Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
• Interior features: Three total rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
• Recommended offer: $90k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#309 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
• Gibson County Sp District (rural): math 47% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 139 in TN (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Gibson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $590 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
• Gibson County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $90,090 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.05% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.59%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.20%
• DSCR: 1.36
• GRM: 7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 8.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.43×
• Total profit: $11,956
• Equity at exit: $31,734

10-year hold

• IRR: 13.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.52×
• Total profit: $42,118
• Equity at exit: $40,620

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Tennessee: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 38233

• Home prices YoY: 0.3%
• Active inventory: 15
• Price-to-rent: 7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,041 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$519
• Tax from tax record: −$72 /mo · $868/yr
• Insurance: −$41
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$219
• Net cashflow: $189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $801

Max offer price $99,000

Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,750
• Closing costs: $2,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $99,000 Active 111 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $99,000 Active 110 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $99,000 Active 109 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $99,000 Active 108 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $99,000 Active 106 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $99,000 Active 105 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $99,000 Active 102 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $99,000 Active 101 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $99,000 Active 100 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 99 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 96 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 95 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 94 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 93 DOM
15. 2026-02-27
    listed $99,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $868 · $72/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $868 · $72/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,487
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,546
• − Property taxes: −$868
• − Insurance: −$495
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$999
• − Management: −$999
• − Depreciation: −$2,880
• Taxable income: $701
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$168
• After-tax cash flow: $2,104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Gibson County Sp District
• NCES district ID: 4701400
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $47,868
• Composite: 36.82/100
• National rank: #4565
• State rank: #11 of 139 in TN

Livability — Kenton

• Score: 58/100
• State rank: #309
• US rank: #21028

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Kenton, TN
• Population (ZIP): 2,795

Population outlook (Gibson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 48,793 people
• By 2030: 48,221 · -1.2%
• By 2040: 46,793 · -4.1%
• By 2050: 44,909 · -8.0%
• By 2075: 40,191 · -17.6%
• By 2100: 33,574 · -31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 85% Two or more races 9% Black 5%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 0%
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gibson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.6% · R 75.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -23.2pp toward R · 2008: -28.8pp · 2024: -52.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+52.0 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+28.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 0.60%
• Current HPI: 211.069
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.78%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	3	$91B
▸Retail	3	$72B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$88B
▸Paper / Packaging	1	$19B
▸Insurance	1	$13B
▸Energy	1	$12B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-02-27 Listed $99,000 CWTAR

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $868 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.