Triplex
371 Cumberland Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Priced below market for quick sale. Executor says sell 'as-is'. All cash offers seriously considered. Conventional also possible. Buyer to obtain C of O (Most recent C of O available is from 1970). Nice large owner's apt ready for cosmetic update. Has some nice natural woodwork/decor fp/lg formal dr. Lower rear has dr/lower front-sunroom and decor fp. Lower apts including heat, elect, water. Upper on sep utilities. Updated elec panels/newer furnaces/sep laundry hookups. Upper & bsmt. easy to see anytime.
Key facts
- 4,200 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1930
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Three separate gas meters; Three separate electric meters; Three total units in the building
- Financial info: Owner pays trash collection and water; Operating expenses may include insurance, structure maintenance, general maintenance, professional management, rent, and water/sewer
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Paved parking
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity connected (circuit breakers); High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story building; Existing construction
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt architectural shingle roof; Block and stone foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: 3-unit property (individual bedroom counts per unit not provided)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Luxury vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (total)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Natural woodwork; Thermal windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $527/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $285k).
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,121/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 602% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.6% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $220k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.78%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $231,756
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 Red Jacket Pkwy | 0.38mi | 6/2.0 | 2,588 (-1%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $85 | 76 |
| 276 Choate Ave | 0.39mi | 6/2.0 | 2,608 (+0%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $75 | 74 |
| 16 Lorraine Ave | 0.36mi | 6/2.0 | 2,688 (+3%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $89 | 69 |
| 389 Cumberland Ave | 0.04mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,328 (-11%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $120 | 67 |
| 85 Geary St | 0.41mi | 6/2.0 | 2,780 (+7%) | 2mo | $267,500 | $96 | 64 |
| 26 Kamper Ave | 0.40mi | 6/2.0 | 2,394 (-8%) | 3mo | $179,000 | $75 | 62 |
| 32 Magnolia Ave | 0.42mi | 6/2.0 | 2,376 (-9%) | 5mo | $225,000 | $95 | 58 |
| 18 Sage Ave | 0.73mi | 6/2.0 | 2,578 (-1%) | 4mo | $164,500 | $64 | 56 |
| 132 Edson St | 0.72mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,480 (-5%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $85 | 52 |
| 42 Mineral Spring Rd | 0.56mi | 6/2.0 | 2,278 (-12%) | 0mo | $300,000 | $132 | 49 |
| 54 Remoleno St | 0.68mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,796 (+7%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $107 | 45 |
| 50 Duerstein St | 0.56mi | 6/2.0 | 2,956 (+14%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $54 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $74,470
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.57×
- Total profit
- $284,578
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14220
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 136
- Price-to-rent
- 17.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,121 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $730/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$865
- Net cashflow
- $1,581
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1 | $4,122 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,374 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,374 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $1,374 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,121 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $285,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $285,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $285,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $285,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $285,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $285,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $285,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$285,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $730 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,773 · $231/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,043/yr (+$170/mo · 280.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $49,452
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$730
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,956
- − Management
- −$3,956
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable income
- $15,130
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,631
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,346/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,428
- Household income
- $70,963
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 602.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Lithuanian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.29%
- Current HPI
- 402.5053
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.62%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+570.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $285,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-24 Sold (MLS) $37,000 WNYREIS
- 2005-05-16 Listed $42,500 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $730 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…