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1003 2nd St 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 40.62
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$329,950

1003 2nd St · Lawrence, KS 66073
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,076 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 2026 7,410 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4-BED NEW CONSTRUCTION WITH OPEN FLOOR PLAN AND MODERN FINISHES! This brand-new 4-bedroom split-entry home offers an open layout with great natural light and plenty of functional space. The kitchen features granite counters, a center island, pantry, and luxury vinyl flooring that continues through the main living areas. The primary suite includes a private bath and walk-in closet, with two additional bedrooms and a full bath located on the main level. Main-floor laundry adds convenience to daily routines. The finished basement provides additional living area with a comfortable family room, a fourth bedroom, and a full bath. Located near everyday amenities and major routes, this home offers modern features and thoughtful design at an excellent value. Taxes and room sizes estimated. Seller is a licensed real estate agent in KS & MO.

Key facts

  • 7,410 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2026

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $329,950 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $415,200.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-25 ($-304/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $330k).
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.7% in Lawrence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 88/100 on livability (#1 in KS, #237 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D-.
  • Lawrence (urban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #46 of 169 in KS (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 246 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $329,950

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.26%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$415,200
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1215 W 4th St 0.32mi 4/1.5 2,016 (-3%) 7mo $435,000 $216 68
415 Illinois St 0.30mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,880 (-9%) 2mo $284,900 $152 58
907 W 6th St 0.53mi 4/2.0 1,853 (-11%) 10mo $380,000 $205 45
627 Maine St 0.60mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,021 (-3%) 20mo $290,000 $143 42
714 Illinois St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,975 (-5%) 24mo $395,000 $200 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-68,841
Equity at exit
$61,908
10-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-61,804
Equity at exit
$35,899

Cash invested: $116,256 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66073

Home prices YoY
-8.6%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,600 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,177
Tax est. 1.5%
$519 /mo · $6,228/yr
Insurance
$173
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$756
Net cashflow
$-25

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,632
Max offer price $411,531
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$103,800
Closing costs
$12,456
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
901 Missouri St Lawrence, KS 4.0 4.0 1580 $3,600 $2.28 8d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-02-19
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    4-BED NEW CONSTRUCTION WITH OPEN FLOOR PLAN AND MODERN FINISHES! This brand-new 4-bedroom split-entry home offers an open layout with great natural light and plenty of functional space. The kitchen features granite counters, a center island, pantry, and luxury vinyl flooring that continues through the main living areas. The primary suite includes a private bath and walk-in closet, with two additional bedrooms and a full bath located on the main level. Main-floor laundry adds convenience to daily routines. The finished basement provides additional living area with a comfortable family room, a fourth bedroom, and a full bath. Located near everyday amenities and major routes, this home offers modern features and thoughtful design at an excellent value. Taxes and room sizes estimated. Seller is a licensed real estate agent in KS & MO.

  2. 2026-02-19
    historical Active Under Contract 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    4-BED NEW CONSTRUCTION WITH OPEN FLOOR PLAN AND MODERN FINISHES! This brand-new 4-bedroom split-entry home offers an open layout with great natural light and plenty of functional space. The kitchen features granite counters, a center island, pantry, and luxury vinyl flooring that continues through the main living areas. The primary suite includes a private bath and walk-in closet, with two additional bedrooms and a full bath located on the main level. Main-floor laundry adds convenience to daily routines. The finished basement provides additional living area with a comfortable family room, a fourth bedroom, and a full bath. Located near everyday amenities and major routes, this home offers modern features and thoughtful design at an excellent value. Taxes and room sizes estimated. Seller is a licensed real estate agent in KS & MO.

  3. 2026-02-19
    listed $329,950 Active
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    4-BED NEW CONSTRUCTION WITH OPEN FLOOR PLAN AND MODERN FINISHES! This brand-new 4-bedroom split-entry home offers an open layout with great natural light and plenty of functional space. The kitchen features granite counters, a center island, pantry, and luxury vinyl flooring that continues through the main living areas. The primary suite includes a private bath and walk-in closet, with two additional bedrooms and a full bath located on the main level. Main-floor laundry adds convenience to daily routines. The finished basement provides additional living area with a comfortable family room, a fourth bedroom, and a full bath. Located near everyday amenities and major routes, this home offers modern features and thoughtful design at an excellent value. Taxes and room sizes estimated. Seller is a licensed real estate agent in KS & MO.

  4. 2026-02-19
    listed $329,950 Active 848-char remark
    Show marketing remark (848 chars)

    4-BED NEW CONSTRUCTION WITH OPEN FLOOR PLAN AND MODERN FINISHES! This brand-new 4-bedroom split-entry home offers an open layout with great natural light and plenty of functional space. The kitchen features granite counters, a center island, pantry, and luxury vinyl flooring that continues through the main living areas. The primary suite includes a private bath and walk-in closet, with two additional bedrooms and a full bath located on the main level. Main-floor laundry adds convenience to daily routines. The finished basement provides additional living area with a comfortable family room, a fourth bedroom, and a full bath. Located near everyday amenities and major routes, this home offers modern features and thoughtful design at an excellent value. Taxes and room sizes estimated. Seller is a licensed real estate agent in KS & MO.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,200
− Mortgage interest
−$23,258
− Property taxes
−$6,228
− Insurance
−$2,076
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,456
− Management
−$3,456
− Depreciation
−$12,079
Taxable loss
−$7,352
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,765
After-tax cash flow
$1,460/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lawrence
NCES district ID
2008400
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$46,259
Composite
32.02/100
National rank
#5826
State rank
#46 of 169 in KS

Livability — Lawrence

Score
88/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#237

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lawrence, KS
City population
100,966
Population (ZIP)
2,381

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
136,863 people
By 2030
147,255 · +7.6%
By 2040
167,760 · +22.6%
By 2050
190,593 · +39.3%
By 2075
253,850 · +85.5%
By 2100
314,741 · +130.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.0) · D 68.2% · R 30.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+7.2pp toward D · 2008: 30.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.0 2020: D+39.5 2016: D+32.7 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+30.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -20.51%
Current HPI
219.277
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-19 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Contingent Lawrence MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $329,950 Lawrence MLS as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $329,950 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…