1642 Market St · Harrisburg, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Over 50% price reduction! 4 BR, 1.5 bath townhouse in need of TLC. Kitch w/ breakfast bar, big pantry, but needs cab/cntrs: stolen after rehab. 1st flr laundry. Newer carpet & vinyl. Replacement wndws. Spacious bedrooms/bath; large great room on 1st flr. Close to schools, shopping, dining, bus routes, parks & playgrounds. Electric bb heat, updated elec service. RE Taxes $1702/yr. Don't miss this solid investment opportunity
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Cabinet space
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Permanent foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on first upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Electric hot water
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.1%/yr); 68 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,871/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1014% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $185k implies a 263% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.14%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,520
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1641 Market St | 0.03mi | 5/1.0 | 2,316 (-8%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $65 | 81 |
| 1500 State St | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,499 (-1%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $60 | 73 |
| 1625 Market St | 0.03mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,256 (-10%) | 8mo | $189,900 | $84 | 70 |
| 142 Balm St | 0.41mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 2,430 (-4%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $31 | 62 |
| 1600 State St | 0.30mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,704 (+7%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $98 | 59 |
| 241 N 15th St | 0.28mi | 5/1.0 | 2,244 (-11%) | 13mo | $169,900 | $76 | 56 |
| 701 N 16th St | 0.39mi | 5/1.5 | 2,817 (+12%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $59 | 54 |
| 1624 State St | 0.30mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,313 (-8%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $86 | 53 |
| 902 N 18th St | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,700 (+7%) | 14mo | $190,000 | $70 | 46 |
| 1204 N 16th St | 0.67mi | 6/— (+1) | 2,246 (-11%) | 1mo | $177,000 | $79 | 45 |
| 2012 Derry St | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 2,193 (-13%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $78 | 35 |
| 2016 Derry St | 0.69mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,200 (-13%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $70 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-6,731
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $56,403
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17103
- Rents YoY
- 9.1%
- Active inventory
- 68
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,871 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,989/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$393
- Net cashflow
- $209
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $314 | -5% $262 | +0% $209 | +5% $157 | +10% $105 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $62 | -5% $136 | +0% $209 | +5% $283 | +10% $357 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $303 | -0.5pp $256 | base $209 | +0.5pp $161 | +1.0pp $113 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 S 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2136 | $1,695 | $0.79 | 16d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 66 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1845 | $2,195 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 111 N 17th St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,850 | $1.03 | 16d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1708 State St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2320 | $1,745 | $0.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 227 Hummel St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2696 | $1,600 | $0.59 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1610 Hunter St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1776 | $1,450 | $0.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1414 Berryhill St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,700 | $0.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2315 Magnolia Dr Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3300 | $3,000 | $0.91 | 16d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $3,000 | $2.09 | 16d | 10 | 0.87mi |
| 301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1437 | $2,600 | $1.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2368 Canby St Harrisburg, PA | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2142 | $2,300 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1330 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2280 | $1,895 | $0.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1716 N 6th St Unit NA Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2400 | $2,000 | $0.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1716 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2400 | $2,200 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-21remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-21$185,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,989 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,456 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- +$467/yr (+$39/mo · 23.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,450
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$1,989
- − Insurance
- −$1,592
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,796
- − Management
- −$1,796
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$467
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$112
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,625/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,432
- Composite
- 7.6/100
- National rank
- #9945
- State rank
- #535 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 184,296
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,115
- Household income
- $39,825
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1014.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 47% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 18% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -119.52%
- Current HPI
- 211.455
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.09%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+740.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-21 Listed $185,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-27 Sold (MLS) $51,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-10 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-05-06 Listed $49,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-01-12 Sold (MLS) $13,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-12-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-10-18 Listed $25,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-10-31 Sold (MLS) $14,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-08-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-07-17 Listed $22,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,989 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…