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211 W Holmes St
B Composite 72.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,900

211 W Holmes St · Newark, MO 63458
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,820 sqft · Other
0.90 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home on a slab foundation for long-term financing! This corner-lot ranch offers an open living/dining area and spacious kitchen with island. The master suite features a walk-in closet, garden tub, and shower, . All bedrooms offer walk-ins closets. Enjoy a large backyard with pecan and apple trees, a garden shed, and front/back decks for entertaining. Ample space to add a shop. Property sits adjacent to the city park and just mile from Sever Lake for recreation. Priced to sell—call Mark Hunolt at 660.341.0802 for your tour today. Look with Legacy in mind!

Key facts

  • 0.9 acre lot

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 50/100 on livability (#908 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Knox County R-I (rural): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #154 of 324 in MO (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Knox County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Knox County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
12.16%
Cash-on-cash
20.95%
DSCR
1.93
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$38,799
Equity at exit
$40,423
10-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
4.93×
Total profit
$98,873
Equity at exit
$62,297

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63458

Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,257 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $534/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$439

Break-even live

Break-even rent $701
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-01-30
    soldstatus Closed 603-char remark
    Show marketing remark (603 chars)

    Charming 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home on a slab foundation for long-term financing! This corner-lot ranch offers an open living/dining area and spacious kitchen with island. The master suite features a walk-in closet, garden tub, and shower, . All bedrooms offer walk-ins closets. Enjoy a large backyard with pecan and apple trees, a garden shed, and front/back decks for entertaining. Ample space to add a shop. Property sits adjacent to the city park and just mile from Sever Lake for recreation. Priced to sell—call Mark Hunolt at 660.341.0802 for your tour today. Look with Legacy in mind!

  2. 2025-10-27
    status Pending 603-char remark
    Show marketing remark (603 chars)

    Charming 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home on a slab foundation for long-term financing! This corner-lot ranch offers an open living/dining area and spacious kitchen with island. The master suite features a walk-in closet, garden tub, and shower, . All bedrooms offer walk-ins closets. Enjoy a large backyard with pecan and apple trees, a garden shed, and front/back decks for entertaining. Ample space to add a shop. Property sits adjacent to the city park and just mile from Sever Lake for recreation. Priced to sell—call Mark Hunolt at 660.341.0802 for your tour today. Look with Legacy in mind!

  3. 2025-10-01
    listed $89,900 Active 603-char remark
    Show marketing remark (603 chars)

    Charming 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home on a slab foundation for long-term financing! This corner-lot ranch offers an open living/dining area and spacious kitchen with island. The master suite features a walk-in closet, garden tub, and shower, . All bedrooms offer walk-ins closets. Enjoy a large backyard with pecan and apple trees, a garden shed, and front/back decks for entertaining. Ample space to add a shop. Property sits adjacent to the city park and just mile from Sever Lake for recreation. Priced to sell—call Mark Hunolt at 660.341.0802 for your tour today. Look with Legacy in mind!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$534 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$872 · $73/mo
Expected delta
+$338/yr (+$28/mo · 63.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,082
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$534
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,207
− Management
−$1,207
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$4,034
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$968
After-tax cash flow
$4,306/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Knox County R-I
NCES district ID
2911280
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$35,777
Composite
33.5/100
National rank
#5441
State rank
#154 of 324 in MO

Livability — Newark

Score
50/100
State rank
#908
US rank
#25662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Newark, MO
Population (ZIP)
131

Population outlook (Knox County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,387 people
By 2030
3,136 · -7.4%
By 2040
2,686 · -20.7%
By 2050
2,292 · -32.3%
By 2075
1,581 · -53.3%
By 2100
1,027 · -69.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Knox

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.5) · D 17.2% · R 81.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-42.2pp toward R · 2008: -22.4pp · 2024: -64.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.5 2020: R+61.8 2016: R+55.4 2012: R+25.9 2008: R+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-30 Sold (MLS) NECAR
  • 2025-10-27 Pending NECAR
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $89,900 NECAR

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $534 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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