801 Fisher Farm Rd · Martinsville, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$85,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute little house for someone looking to downsize or just starting out. Conveniently located minutes to Martinsville Speedway and the Bypass. 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on main floor with 2 bonus rooms that could be used as bedrooms upstairs. Sq, ft, kit size est. Information taken from tax assessment and/or seller.
Key facts
- New heat pump system
- New roof
- 0.59 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $682 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $86k).
- Recommended offer: $83k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 5.9% in Martinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#231 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Henry County Public School District (rural): math 45% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #78 of 131 in VA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 33 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($594 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Henry County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $86k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.01%
- DSCR
- 2.51
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $127,458
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 801 Fisher Farm Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 974 (+12%) | 1mo | $78,000 | $80 | 80 |
| 844 Fisher Farm Rd | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (+4%) | 10mo | $179,000 | $196 | 77 |
| 232 Confederate Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+10%) | 1mo | $154,900 | $161 | 70 |
| 275 Southland Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+10%) | 0mo | $119,000 | $124 | 70 |
| 205 Southland Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+10%) | 3mo | $72,000 | $75 | 68 |
| 341 George Martin Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 892 (+2%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $146 | 64 |
| 839 Southland Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+10%) | 10mo | $166,296 | $173 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $53,734
- Equity at exit
- $38,624
- IRR
- 39.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.42×
- Total profit
- $130,406
- Equity at exit
- $59,525
Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24113
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$450
- Tax from tax record
- −$17 /mo · $204/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $682
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,475
- Closing costs
- $2,577
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 885 Southland Dr Martinsville, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-03-30status Pending
-
2026-02-10$85,900 Active
-
2019-10-01soldstatus $30,000 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Cute little house for someone looking to downsize or just starting out. Conveniently located minutes to Martinsville Speedway and the Bypass. 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on main floor with 2 bonus rooms that could be used as bedrooms upstairs. Sq, ft, kit size est. Information taken from tax assessment and/or seller.
-
2019-10-01soldstatus $30,000
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Cute little house for someone looking to downsize or just starting out. Conveniently located minutes to Martinsville Speedway and the Bypass. 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on main floor with 2 bonus rooms that could be used as bedrooms upstairs. Sq, ft, kit size est. Information taken from tax assessment and/or seller.
-
2019-05-30$50,000 312-char remark
Show marketing remark (312 chars)
Cute little house for someone looking to downsize or just starting out. Conveniently located minutes to Martinsville Speedway and the Bypass. 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on main floor with 2 bonus rooms that could be used as bedrooms upstairs. Sq, ft, kit size est. Information taken from tax assessment and/or seller.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $204 · $17/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $704 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$500/yr (+$42/mo · 244.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,812
- − Property taxes
- −$204
- − Insurance
- −$430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,440
- − Management
- −$1,440
- − Depreciation
- −$2,499
- Taxable income
- $7,176
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,722
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,458/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henry County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101920
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -37.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,579
- Composite
- 47.02/100
- National rank
- #2345
- State rank
- #78 of 131 in VA
Livability — Martinsville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #231
- US rank
- #7826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+71.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Pending — MHPCAR
- 2026-02-10 Listed $85,900 MHPCAR
- 2019-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2019-10-01 Sold (MLS) $30,000 MHPCAR
- 2019-05-30 Listed $50,000 MHPCAR
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $204 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…