1341 Fogarty Dr · Junction City, KS 66441

$116,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 948 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market

Built 1962 8,136 sqft lot ↓ 23% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.2/10.0
• 1% rule +6.8/10.0
• Rent growth +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

MOVE-IN READY! You won't want to miss this one. This well loved home has had many updates. It's a 4 bedroom (1-non conforming), 2 bathroom, with a finished basement. Completed new roof in April 2022, Updated kitchen with newer kitchen appliances, and new AC/Heating system installed February 2022. It's ready for its new family. Call Katie Garcia, Coldwell Banker Patriot Realty for a private showing at 785-571-2135.

Key facts

• Living space
• Wood floors
• Fenced in back yard

Tags

• WOOD FLOORS
• LIVING SPACE
• FENCED IN BACK YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electricity available; Cable available
• Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
• Construction: Asphalt roof; Finished area above grade reported
• Exterior features: Chain link fenced yard; Pond on the property; Concrete road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher, Oven, Range, Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
• Flooring: Wood flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric and natural gas heating
• Interior features: Finished basement; Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $116k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $116k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#266 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Geary County Schools (town): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #60 of 169 in KS (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 93 units permitted in Geary County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $802 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Geary County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $116,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.18% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.26%
• DSCR: 1.32
• GRM: 7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.94×
• Total profit: $-1,900
• Equity at exit: $17,296

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.03×
• Total profit: $33,603
• Equity at exit: $10,030

Cash invested: $32,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kansas: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 66441

• Rents YoY: 6.0%
• Active inventory: 260
• Price-to-rent: 7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,365 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$608
• Tax from tax record: −$226 /mo · $2,706/yr
• Insurance: −$48
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$287
• Net cashflow: $196

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,117

Max offer price $116,000

Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $29,000
• Closing costs: $3,480
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-06-15
   status $116,000 Pending 11 DOM
2. 2026-06-15
   days on market $116,000 Active 11 DOM
3. 2026-06-14
   days on market $116,000 Active 9 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $116,000 Active 8 DOM
5. 2026-06-10
   days on market $116,000 Active 6 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $116,000 Active 5 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $116,000 Active 4 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   listed $116,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,706 · $226/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,706 · $226/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,384
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,498
• − Property taxes: −$2,706
• − Insurance: −$580
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,311
• − Management: −$1,311
• − Depreciation: −$3,375
• Taxable income: $604
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$145
• After-tax cash flow: $2,212/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Geary County Schools
• NCES district ID: 2007890
• Math proficiency: 32% ▲ 1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $44,319
• Composite: 30.2/100
• National rank: #6306
• State rank: #60 of 169 in KS

Livability — Junction City

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #266
• US rank: #11965

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Junction City, KS
• County: Geary County · 25,828 people
• City population: 25,828
• Metro: Manhattan, KS
• Population (ZIP): 25,828
• Household income: $59,522
• Rent vs Own: 48.9% rent · 51.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 950.0

Population outlook (Geary County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 37,364 people
• By 2030: 38,234 · +2.3%
• By 2040: 39,727 · +6.3%
• By 2050: 40,314 · +7.9%
• By 2075: 44,283 · +18.5%
• By 2100: 46,935 · +25.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
• Race & ethnicity: White 53% Black 19% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 15% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 9% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Geary

• 2024 margin: R (+17.6) · D 40.1% · R 57.7% · Other 2.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.4pp · 2024: -17.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+17.6 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+14.4 2008: R+12.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -152.25%
• Current HPI: 137.9936
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.05%
• Metro: Manhattan, KS
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-22.7% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-04 Listed $116,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2023-10-25 Rental Removed $1,500 TURBOTENANT
• 2023-09-24 Listed for Rent $1,500 TURBOTENANT
• 2022-11-03 Sold (MLS) — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2022-09-03 Pending — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2022-08-09 Price Changed $145,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2022-07-22 Relisted — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2022-07-17 Pending — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2022-07-08 Relisted — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2022-06-14 Delisted — FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2022-05-28 Listed $149,999 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,706 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.