431 Deerfield Dr · Seven Fields, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.56%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- ARV discount +1.7/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$400,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Custom fireplace
- Dedicated coffee bar
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with automatic opener; Total 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: 78x70 (approx.) lot dimensions; Approximately 0.3 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove; Some gas appliances
- Bedrooms: Upper-level bedrooms (three bedrooms noted; primary dimensions include 15x12, 14x12, 13x11; an additional bedroom 10x8)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Screened windows; Window treatments; Electric fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Lower-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $392k (1.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $392k (1.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.3% in Seven Fields — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#266 in PA, #2,336 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety D, commute F.
- Seneca Valley SD (rural): math 48% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #73 of 539 in PA (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 288 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($124k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $236k; list at $400k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.38%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $354,492
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 428 Deerfield Dr | 0.08mi | 4/1.5 | 1,554 (+0%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $119 | 82 |
| 130 Fox Run Rd | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (+1%) | 2mo | $389,900 | $250 | 78 |
| 603 Partridge Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.5 | 1,536 (-1%) | 20mo | $310,000 | $202 | 73 |
| 146 Fox Run Rd | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,513 (-2%) | 20mo | $347,000 | $229 | 62 |
| 304 Meadow Dr | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,458 (-6%) | 20mo | $335,000 | $230 | 50 |
| 662 Huntington Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,735 (+12%) | 7mo | $340,000 | $196 | 41 |
| 706 Es Farms Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,705 (+10%) | 19mo | $430,000 | $252 | 39 |
| 532 Chaparral Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,776 (+15%) | 15mo | $300,000 | $169 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-44,392
- Equity at exit
- $59,641
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-42,109
- Equity at exit
- $34,585
Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16066
- Rents YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 288
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,924 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,098
- Tax from tax record
- −$334 /mo · $4,005/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$824
- Net cashflow
- $502
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $100,000
- Closing costs
- $12,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 Limehouse Rd Cranberry Township, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $6,500 | $3.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 219 Limehouse Rd Cranberry Township, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $7,500 | $3.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 8131 Rowan Rd Cranberry Township, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1474 | $2,800 | $1.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1000 Strand Rd Cranberry Township, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1117 | $3,048 | $2.73 | 2d | 13 | 0.97mi |
| 305 Frederick Way Cranberry Twp, PA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1748 | $3,200 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8000 Brandt Dr Cranberry Twp, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1193 | $2,776 | $2.33 | 1d | 26 | 1.02mi |
| 233 Main St Cranberry Township, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1778 | $2,995 | $1.68 | 4d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5001 Pendleton Way Cranberry Twp, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1459 | $4,673 | $3.20 | 1d | 27 | 1.16mi |
| 401 Collingwood Ct Cranberry Twp, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,865 | $1.96 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 411 Sussex Dr Cranberry Township, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $2,500 | $1.85 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-02status $400,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $400,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $400,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$400,000 Active
-
2016-08-17soldstatus $236,500
-
2016-08-12price $236,500 894-char remark
Show marketing remark (894 chars)
Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.
-
2016-08-12soldstatus $236,500 Sold 894-char remark
Show marketing remark (894 chars)
Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.
-
2016-08-04status Under Contract 894-char remark
Show marketing remark (894 chars)
Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.
-
2016-07-04historical Contingent 894-char remark
Show marketing remark (894 chars)
Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.
-
2016-07-04price $242,500 894-char remark
Show marketing remark (894 chars)
Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.
-
2016-06-08price $242,500 894-char remark
Show marketing remark (894 chars)
Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.
-
2016-05-17$249,900 Active 894-char remark
Show marketing remark (894 chars)
Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,005 · $334/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,162 · $430/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,158/yr (+$96/mo · 28.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 56% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,088
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,406
- − Property taxes
- −$4,005
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,767
- − Management
- −$3,767
- − Depreciation
- −$11,636
- Taxable loss
- −$493
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$118
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,141/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seneca Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222440
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,381
- Composite
- 51.84/100
- National rank
- #1666
- State rank
- #73 of 539 in PA
Livability — Seven Fields
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #266
- US rank
- #2336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Butler County · 73,107 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,873
- Household income
- $124,189
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 536.0
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 190,777 people
- By 2030
- 191,476 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 189,474 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 182,050 · -4.6%
- By 2075
- 159,526 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 129,028 · -32.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.35%
- Current HPI
- 276.4597
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.93%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+60.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $400,000 West Penn MLS
- 2016-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $236,500 Public Records
- 2016-08-12 Price Changed $236,500 West Penn MLS
- 2016-08-12 Sold (MLS) $236,500 West Penn MLS
- 2016-08-04 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2016-07-04 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2016-07-04 Price Changed $242,500 West Penn MLS
- 2016-06-08 Price Changed $242,500 West Penn MLS
- 2016-05-17 Listed $249,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $4,005 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…