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431 Deerfield Dr
D+ Composite 46.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$400,000

431 Deerfield Dr · Seven Fields, PA 16066
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,548 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1975 0.30 ac lot Est $354k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Custom fireplace
  • Dedicated coffee bar

Tags

NEW LVP FLOORINGCUSTOM FIREPLACEFULLY REMODELED KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSTILE BACKSPLASHDEDICATED COFFEE BAR

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with automatic opener; Total 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story home; Resale property
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: 78x70 (approx.) lot dimensions; Approximately 0.3 acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove; Some gas appliances
  • Bedrooms: Upper-level bedrooms (three bedrooms noted; primary dimensions include 15x12, 14x12, 13x11; an additional bedroom 10x8)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Screened windows; Window treatments; Electric fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Lower-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $392k (1.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $392k (1.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.3% in Seven Fields — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#266 in PA, #2,336 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety D, commute F.
  • Seneca Valley SD (rural): math 48% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #73 of 539 in PA (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 288 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($124k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $236k; list at $400k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $392,400 (1.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.80%
Cash-on-cash
5.38%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$354,492
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
428 Deerfield Dr 0.08mi 4/1.5 1,554 (+0%) 13mo $185,000 $119 82
130 Fox Run Rd 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (+1%) 2mo $389,900 $250 78
603 Partridge Dr 0.14mi 4/2.5 1,536 (-1%) 20mo $310,000 $202 73
146 Fox Run Rd 0.22mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,513 (-2%) 20mo $347,000 $229 62
304 Meadow Dr 0.35mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,458 (-6%) 20mo $335,000 $230 50
662 Huntington Dr 0.57mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,735 (+12%) 7mo $340,000 $196 41
706 Es Farms Dr 0.45mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,705 (+10%) 19mo $430,000 $252 39
532 Chaparral Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,776 (+15%) 15mo $300,000 $169 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.2%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-44,392
Equity at exit
$59,641
10-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-42,109
Equity at exit
$34,585

Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16066

Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
288
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,924 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,098
Tax from tax record
$334 /mo · $4,005/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$824
Net cashflow
$502

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,289
Max offer price $400,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$100,000
Closing costs
$12,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
228 Limehouse Rd Cranberry Township, PA 3.0 3.0 2000 $6,500 $3.25 43d 1 0.50mi
219 Limehouse Rd Cranberry Township, PA 3.0 2.5 2200 $7,500 $3.41 43d 1 0.53mi
8131 Rowan Rd Cranberry Township, PA 3.0 2.5 1474 $2,800 $1.90 43d 1 0.61mi
1000 Strand Rd Cranberry Township, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1117 $3,048 $2.73 2d 13 0.97mi
305 Frederick Way Cranberry Twp, PA 3.0 3.5 1748 $3,200 $1.83 43d 1 1.01mi
8000 Brandt Dr Cranberry Twp, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1193 $2,776 $2.33 1d 26 1.02mi
233 Main St Cranberry Township, PA 3.0 2.5 1778 $2,995 $1.68 4d 1 1.04mi
5001 Pendleton Way Cranberry Twp, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1459 $4,673 $3.20 1d 27 1.16mi
401 Collingwood Ct Cranberry Twp, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,865 $1.96 1d 1 1.23mi
411 Sussex Dr Cranberry Township, PA 4.0 2.0 1352 $2,500 $1.85 14d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $400,000 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $400,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $400,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-05-27
    listed $400,000 Active
  5. 2016-08-17
    soldstatus $236,500
  6. 2016-08-12
    price $236,500 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.

  7. 2016-08-12
    soldstatus $236,500 Sold 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.

  8. 2016-08-04
    status Under Contract 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.

  9. 2016-07-04
    historical Contingent 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.

  10. 2016-07-04
    price $242,500 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.

  11. 2016-06-08
    price $242,500 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.

  12. 2016-05-17
    listed $249,900 Active 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Fantastic 2-story, 4 bedroom home in the heart of Cranberry Township/Rowan Elementary. GREAT lot with level area for play and stone retaining wall with stairs to the tree-lined grade for tranquility, spotting wildlife and privacy. This home has a 2-car attached garage with extra storage and access to the side yard. New carpeting being installed in three bedrooms and the family room. Newer hot water heater and A/C. Freshly painted, neutral décor and lots of natural lighting. Access the full bath from either the master bedroom or upstairs hallway (could readily be converted into 2 full baths - has been done in similar models). The unfinished lower-level offers plenty of space for a "man-cave, " movie room, playroom or storage and includes laundry and additional crawl space for extra storage. Spacious wooden deck off of the family room. No HOA. Home warranty included.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,005 · $334/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,162 · $430/mo
Expected delta
+$1,158/yr (+$96/mo · 28.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 56% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$47,088
− Mortgage interest
−$22,406
− Property taxes
−$4,005
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,767
− Management
−$3,767
− Depreciation
−$11,636
Taxable loss
−$493
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$118
After-tax cash flow
$6,141/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Seneca Valley SD
NCES district ID
4222440
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$80,381
Composite
51.84/100
National rank
#1666
State rank
#73 of 539 in PA

Livability — Seven Fields

Score
79/100
State rank
#266
US rank
#2336

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living D- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Butler County · 73,107 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
33,873
Household income
$124,189
Rent vs Own
24.8% rent · 75.2% own
Severe rent burden
536.0

Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
190,777 people
By 2030
191,476 · +0.4%
By 2040
189,474 · -0.7%
By 2050
182,050 · -4.6%
By 2075
159,526 · -16.4%
By 2100
129,028 · -32.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Asian 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Butler

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -154.35%
Current HPI
276.4597
Rent YoY
▼ -1.93%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+60.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $400,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2016-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $236,500 Public Records
  • 2016-08-12 Price Changed $236,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2016-08-12 Sold (MLS) $236,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2016-08-04 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2016-07-04 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2016-07-04 Price Changed $242,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2016-06-08 Price Changed $242,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2016-05-17 Listed $249,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,005 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…