3425 Kinnear Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home needs to be upgraded but is filled with potential! Just needs your personal touches and ideas! You can fix it up and sell or rent out--making this the perfect investment! Just perfect for a large or growing family!
Key facts
- Security cameras
- Large basement
- Major bus routes
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is on a lot under 1/4 acre (approx. 0.14 acre)
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal sewer connection; Municipal solid waste service
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Wood foundation; Wood siding
- Exterior features: Full yard fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 334 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $99k implies a 201% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.15%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,024
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- 4.18%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3511 N Keystone Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 837 (+2%) | 10mo | $113,500 | $136 | 70 |
| 3706 Baltimore Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 812 (-2%) | 13mo | $40,000 | $49 | 66 |
| 3714 Hillside Ave | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 844 (+2%) | 4mo | $143,900 | $170 | 66 |
| 2217 E 34th St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (+11%) | 15mo | $163,450 | $179 | 61 |
| 2120 E 34th St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 900 (+9%) | 19mo | $115,000 | $128 | 60 |
| 3331 Orchard Ave | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (-13%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $160 | 56 |
| 3419 Hillside Ave | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 912 (+11%) | 19mo | $134,900 | $148 | 55 |
| 3051 N Tacoma Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 856 (+4%) | 15mo | $101,000 | $118 | 50 |
| 3038 Baltimore Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (+12%) | 4mo | $98,500 | $107 | 49 |
| 3930 Caroline Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 812 (-2%) | 18mo | $102,500 | $126 | 49 |
| 3932 Millersville Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (+12%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $108 | 42 |
| 3112 N Temple Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 725 (-12%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $179 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $4,880
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $23,691
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46218
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,324 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $373
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3363 Nicholas Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1902 E 35th St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3709 Kinnear Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,000 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3207 N Arsenal Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3741 N Tacoma Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 913 | $2,200 | $2.41 | 17d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3132 Dr Andrew J Brown Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 791 | $2,120 | $2.68 | 1d | 46 | 0.64mi |
| 3535 N Oxford St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,500 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2931 N Tacoma Ave Unit 31 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 7d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3139 Guilford Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1068 | $1,345 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2820 Caroline Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1112 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3472 N Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,099 | $1.23 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 916 Fairfield Ave Unit 918 Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 7d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3203 Sutherland Ave Unit 1310761P Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1097 | $3,668 | $3.34 | 1d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 3909 Winthrop Ave Unit B Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 931 | $1,550 | $1.66 | 11d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3359 N College Ave Unit 3359 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1082 | $1,895 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3716 N College Ave Unit 3 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3522 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,300 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2010 E 25th St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $775 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 636 E 37th St Unit 5 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $695 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2920 N Lasalle St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,095 | $1.25 | 17d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3421 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,195 | $1.66 | 16d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 633 E 38th St #4 Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,050 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2906 N Lasalle St Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $950 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4303 Norwaldo Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2549 Columbia Ave Unit 1332865P Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 893 | $2,274 | $2.55 | 1d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2949 Adams St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4309 Ralston Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,600 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4326 Crittenden Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,045 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2372 Beckwith Dr Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 779 | $1,206 | $1.55 | 1d | 32 | 1.22mi |
| 3383 Station St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,250 | $1.68 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3615 Sherman Forest Dr Indianapolis, IN | 4.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1057 | $1,544 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2529 Guilford Ave Unit A Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 4115 Meadows Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $1,592 | $1.57 | 43d | 9 | 1.30mi |
| 3725 N Sherman Dr #7 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $845 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3558 Washington Blvd Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,199 | $1.23 | 7d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2722 N Olney St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3815 Washington Blvd Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 7d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4521 Norwaldo Ave Unit A Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,525 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4521 Norwaldo Ave Unit B Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1054 | $1,600 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4400 E Fall Creek Parkway North Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 857 | $1,349 | $1.57 | 1d | 31 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-04$110,000 Active 411-char remark
-
2020-06-30soldstatus $32,900 Sold 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
This home needs to be upgraded but is filled with potential! Just needs your personal touches and ideas! You can fix it up and sell or rent out--making this the perfect investment! Just perfect for a large or growing family!
-
2020-06-08status Pending 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
This home needs to be upgraded but is filled with potential! Just needs your personal touches and ideas! You can fix it up and sell or rent out--making this the perfect investment! Just perfect for a large or growing family!
-
2020-05-13$32,900 Active 224-char remark
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
This home needs to be upgraded but is filled with potential! Just needs your personal touches and ideas! You can fix it up and sell or rent out--making this the perfect investment! Just perfect for a large or growing family!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,350 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,350 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,890
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,271
- − Management
- −$1,271
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $3,077
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$738
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,739/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,360
- Household income
- $38,063
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2340.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.57%
- Current HPI
- 395.7071
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.81%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+200.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $99,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Listed $110,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-30 Sold (MLS) $32,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-08 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-13 Listed $32,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+17.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,350 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…