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13957 San Jose Ave
C Composite 59.66
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

13957 San Jose Ave · Redford, MI 48239
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 812 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1940 6,970 sqft lot $172/sqft · 17% below area Est $168k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Adorable, affordable bungalow. 1 bedroom down and finished upper level could possibly be 2 bedrooms. Large yard, 1 car extra long garage, central air. Newer roof and HWH. Updated bath. Appliances stay! Move in ready. South Redford schools.

Key facts

  • Outdoor space
  • Oversized lot
  • Detached garage

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTDETACHED GARAGEOUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry; Aluminum siding
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Awning(s); Front porch; Back yard with fencing; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Five total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • South Redford School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #455 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $140k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.47%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$168,441
List price
$139,900
Delta
-16.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14078 Mercedes 0.12mi 2/1.0 750 (-8%) 13mo $147,000 $196 71
14396 Inkster Rd 0.38mi 2/1.0 846 (+4%) 7mo $139,000 $164 69
14173 San Jose Ave 0.22mi 2/1.0 701 (-14%) 4mo $167,500 $239 64
14028 Mercedes 0.07mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (+12%) 22mo $165,500 $181 53
14851 Cavell St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 892 (+10%) 14mo $190,000 $213 32
13544 Centralia 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (+11%) 18mo $177,000 $197 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-8,766
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
4.0%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$11,531
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48239

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,554 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,692/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,286
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13231 Hemingway Redford, MI 3.0 1.5 1074 $1,700 $1.58 16d 1 0.34mi
12097 Cavell St Livonia, MI 3.0 1.0 985 $1,200 $1.22 1d 1 0.92mi
12107 Centralia Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,800 $1.97 43d 1 1.07mi
15195 Aubrey Redford, MI 3.0 1.0 769 $1,395 $1.81 16d 1 1.34mi
28940 Lancaster St Livonia, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,365 $1.71 24d 5 1.43mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,900 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,900 Active 36 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on marketlisting id $139,900 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    listing id $139,900 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-05-14
    price $139,900 660-char remark
  11. 2026-05-13
    price $139,900 660-char remark
  12. 2026-04-28
    listed $149,900 Active 660-char remark
  13. 2026-04-28
    listed $149,900 Active 660-char remark
  14. 2013-08-09
    soldstatus $35,000
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Adorable, affordable bungalow. 1 bedroom down and finished upper level could possibly be 2 bedrooms. Large yard, 1 car extra long garage, central air. Newer roof and HWH. Updated bath. Appliances stay! Move in ready. South Redford schools.

  15. 2013-08-09
    soldstatus $35,000
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Adorable, affordable bungalow. 1 bedroom down and finished upper level could possibly be 2 bedrooms. Large yard, 1 car extra long garage, central air. Newer roof and HWH. Updated bath. Appliances stay! Move in ready. South Redford schools.

  16. 2013-07-21
    historical
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Adorable, affordable bungalow. 1 bedroom down and finished upper level could possibly be 2 bedrooms. Large yard, 1 car extra long garage, central air. Newer roof and HWH. Updated bath. Appliances stay! Move in ready. South Redford schools.

  17. 2013-07-21
    historical
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Adorable, affordable bungalow. 1 bedroom down and finished upper level could possibly be 2 bedrooms. Large yard, 1 car extra long garage, central air. Newer roof and HWH. Updated bath. Appliances stay! Move in ready. South Redford schools.

  18. 2013-07-16
    listed $39,000
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Adorable, affordable bungalow. 1 bedroom down and finished upper level could possibly be 2 bedrooms. Large yard, 1 car extra long garage, central air. Newer roof and HWH. Updated bath. Appliances stay! Move in ready. South Redford schools.

  19. 2013-07-16
    listed $39,000
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Adorable, affordable bungalow. 1 bedroom down and finished upper level could possibly be 2 bedrooms. Large yard, 1 car extra long garage, central air. Newer roof and HWH. Updated bath. Appliances stay! Move in ready. South Redford schools.

  20. 2010-06-04
    soldstatus $28,000
  21. 2010-03-31
    listed $32,500
  22. 2010-03-01
    soldstatus $15,511
  23. 2010-01-29
    listed $14,000
  24. 2003-11-21
    soldstatus $107,000
  25. 1999-10-01
    soldstatus $66,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,692 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,692 · $224/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,647
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,692
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,492
− Management
−$1,492
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$365
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$88
After-tax cash flow
$2,448/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Redford School District
NCES district ID
2632280
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,775
Composite
18.1/100
National rank
#8972
State rank
#455 of 540 in MI

Livability — Redford

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
36,976
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
36,976
Household income
$71,151
Rent vs Own
21.1% rent · 78.9% own
Severe rent burden
1052.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (58%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -202.97%
Current HPI
236.1136
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+110.4% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-11 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $139,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-08-09 Sold (MLS) $35,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-08-09 Sold (MLS) $35,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-07-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-07-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2013-07-16 Listed $39,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-07-16 Listed $39,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-06-04 Sold (MLS) $28,000 REALCOMP
  • 2010-03-31 Listed $32,500 REALCOMP
  • 2010-03-01 Sold (MLS) $15,511 REALCOMP
  • 2010-01-29 Listed $14,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $107,000 Public Records
  • 1999-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $66,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,692 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…