360 Stone Bridge Rd Ext · East Durham, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A 1 to 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home in a Beautiful Setting in Durham with a Barn & a Shed on 1.6 Acres! The home is an eclectic multi-level home featuring a living room, a kitchen with a dining area, 1 or 2 bedrooms depending on your use, 2 baths, and additional rooms for an office, studio, or storage. There are front and back porches, a shed, a barn, and a country driveway. The home has great proximity to the area's destinations and attractions as it's 7 minutes to Zoom Flume Water Park, 20 minutes to Windham Ski Mountain, 12 to 15 minutes to Greenville's Golf Courses, 25 minutes to Green Lake, & 25 minutes to Dutchman's Landing Park & the Hudson River. View our 3D virtual tour, our floor plans, our 3D virtual sky tours, & our multi-media website of the home and property.
Key facts
- Shed
- Country driveway
- Barn
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.9% in East Durham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Cairo-Durham Central School District (rural): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #470 of 590 in NY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
- Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 405 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $190k implies a 1017% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 405 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.63%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $518,298
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -63.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $39,559
- Equity at exit
- $86,156
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $117,785
- Equity at exit
- $133,377
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12423
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,055 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$299 /mo · $3,591/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$432
- Net cashflow
- $250
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 404 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 403 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,900 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,900 Active 397 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 396 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 395 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 394 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,900 Active 391 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 390 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 389 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $189,900 799-char remark
Show marketing remark (799 chars)
A 1 to 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home in a Beautiful Setting in Durham with a Barn & a Shed on 1.6 Acres! The home is an eclectic multi-level home featuring a living room, a kitchen with a dining area, 1 or 2 bedrooms depending on your use, 2 baths, and additional rooms for an office, studio, or storage. There are front and back porches, a shed, a barn, and a country driveway. The home has great proximity to the area's destinations and attractions as it's 7 minutes to Zoom Flume Water Park, 20 minutes to Windham Ski Mountain, 12 to 15 minutes to Greenville's Golf Courses, 25 minutes to Green Lake, & 25 minutes to Dutchman's Landing Park & the Hudson River. View our 3D virtual tour, our floor plans, our 3D virtual sky tours, & our multi-media website of the home and property.
-
2025-09-25price $199,900 799-char remark
Show marketing remark (799 chars)
A 1 to 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home in a Beautiful Setting in Durham with a Barn & a Shed on 1.6 Acres! The home is an eclectic multi-level home featuring a living room, a kitchen with a dining area, 1 or 2 bedrooms depending on your use, 2 baths, and additional rooms for an office, studio, or storage. There are front and back porches, a shed, a barn, and a country driveway. The home has great proximity to the area's destinations and attractions as it's 7 minutes to Zoom Flume Water Park, 20 minutes to Windham Ski Mountain, 12 to 15 minutes to Greenville's Golf Courses, 25 minutes to Green Lake, & 25 minutes to Dutchman's Landing Park & the Hudson River. View our 3D virtual tour, our floor plans, our 3D virtual sky tours, & our multi-media website of the home and property.
-
2025-05-22price $224,900 799-char remark
Show marketing remark (799 chars)
A 1 to 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home in a Beautiful Setting in Durham with a Barn & a Shed on 1.6 Acres! The home is an eclectic multi-level home featuring a living room, a kitchen with a dining area, 1 or 2 bedrooms depending on your use, 2 baths, and additional rooms for an office, studio, or storage. There are front and back porches, a shed, a barn, and a country driveway. The home has great proximity to the area's destinations and attractions as it's 7 minutes to Zoom Flume Water Park, 20 minutes to Windham Ski Mountain, 12 to 15 minutes to Greenville's Golf Courses, 25 minutes to Green Lake, & 25 minutes to Dutchman's Landing Park & the Hudson River. View our 3D virtual tour, our floor plans, our 3D virtual sky tours, & our multi-media website of the home and property.
-
2025-02-10$249,900 Active 799-char remark
Show marketing remark (799 chars)
A 1 to 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home in a Beautiful Setting in Durham with a Barn & a Shed on 1.6 Acres! The home is an eclectic multi-level home featuring a living room, a kitchen with a dining area, 1 or 2 bedrooms depending on your use, 2 baths, and additional rooms for an office, studio, or storage. There are front and back porches, a shed, a barn, and a country driveway. The home has great proximity to the area's destinations and attractions as it's 7 minutes to Zoom Flume Water Park, 20 minutes to Windham Ski Mountain, 12 to 15 minutes to Greenville's Golf Courses, 25 minutes to Green Lake, & 25 minutes to Dutchman's Landing Park & the Hudson River. View our 3D virtual tour, our floor plans, our 3D virtual sky tours, & our multi-media website of the home and property.
-
2000-10-11soldstatus $17,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,591 · $299/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,591 · $299/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,665
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$3,591
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,973
- − Management
- −$1,973
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable income
- $16
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,990/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cairo-Durham Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3606160
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 8.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,192
- Composite
- 37.84/100
- National rank
- #4330
- State rank
- #470 of 590 in NY
Livability — East Durham
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,033
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,033
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,963 people
- By 2030
- 43,126 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 38,756 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 34,913 · -22.4%
- By 2075
- 28,156 · -37.4%
- By 2100
- 22,296 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Two or more races 32% Hispanic / Latino 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 12% Italian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- R (+17.0) · D 41.5% · R 58.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -17.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+17.0 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+11.1 2008: R+9.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.07%
- Current HPI
- 412.075
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+1017.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $189,900 HVCRMLS
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $199,900 HVCRMLS
- 2025-05-22 Price Changed $224,900 HVCRMLS
- 2025-02-10 Listed $249,900 HVCRMLS
- 2000-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,591 · +47.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…