8620 Central St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$24,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This is a Fannie Mae HomePath Property. This ranch style home offers a straightforward opportunity for buyers ready to personalize and improve. Situated on a large fenced yard with easy access to I-96, the property combines practical location advantages with outdoor space and solid bones. The home features two bedrooms and one bathroom in a functional layout. The large fenced yard provides outdoor space for various uses, while the private backyard offers room for recreation or gardening. The residential setting maintains a quieter feel while positioning occupants near major routes for convenient connectivity throughout the area. Contact us today to schedule a showing and see the potential t
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Large fenced yard
- Outdoor space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sanitary sewer; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential 1-story home; Built in 1950; Basement entry level
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Basement foundation; Built in 1950
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (Entry level) — 10 x 10; Dining area (Entry level) — 10 x 7
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 1 (Entry level) — 11 x 10; Bedroom 2 (Entry level) — 10 x 10
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (Entry level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heat
- Interior features: Total of 5 rooms; Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $493 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($863 rent vs $25k).
- Cap rate 30.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($172 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 84.92%
- DSCR
- 4.78
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $55,440
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8880 Bryden St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 3mo | $30,000 | $42 | 91 |
| 9045 Burnette St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (-2%) | 11mo | $80,000 | $114 | 74 |
| 8114 Roselawn St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 720 (0%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $90 | 73 |
| 8224 Greenlawn St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (0%) | 22mo | $38,000 | $53 | 68 |
| 9076 Cloverlawn St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 728 (+1%) | 22mo | $56,000 | $77 | 60 |
| 9129 Prairie St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+10%) | 13mo | $16,000 | $20 | 58 |
| 8819 Stoepel St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (-8%) | 19mo | $51,000 | $77 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 94.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.46×
- Total profit
- $45,007
- Equity at exit
- $22,432
- IRR
- 89.4%
- Equity multiple
- 16.47×
- Total profit
- $107,873
- Equity at exit
- $48,375
Cash invested: $6,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48204
- Home prices YoY
- 18.5%
- Active inventory
- 248
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $863 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $571/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$181
- Net cashflow
- $493
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $507 | -5% $500 | +0% $493 | +5% $486 | +10% $479 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $425 | -5% $459 | +0% $493 | +5% $527 | +10% $562 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $506 | -0.5pp $500 | base $493 | +0.5pp $487 | +1.0pp $480 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,225
- Closing costs
- $747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7405 Garden St Unit 6 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 18d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 8751 Elmira St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $799 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 11411 Wyoming Ave Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 11411 Wyoming Ave Unit 102 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $925 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 9415 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $897 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 9419 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $894 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 10201 Plymouth Rd Apt 6 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 520 | $605 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 10201 Plymouth Rd Apt 10 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 502 | $595 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 10201 Plymouth Rd Apt 5 Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 502 | $575 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $24,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $24,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $24,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $24,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $24,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $24,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$24,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $571 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $571 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,357
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,395
- − Property taxes
- −$571
- − Insurance
- −$124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$829
- − Management
- −$829
- − Depreciation
- −$724
- Taxable income
- $5,886
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,413
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,508/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,696
- Household income
- $34,468
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1418.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 36.51%
- Current HPI
- 234.0465
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+77.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $24,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2000-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $571 · -35.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…