4709 Canal St · Lake Charles, LA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.23%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$204,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property features a 5-bedroom, 3-bath floor plan spanning over 3,100 square feet, set on 0.36 acres within the city limits of Lake Charles. Schedule your viewing today!
Key facts
- 0.36 acre lot
- Built 1970
- Listed 142 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $204k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $204k).
- Recommended offer: $180k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.1%/yr); 456 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,445/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 1328% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $57k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.42%
- DSCR
- 2.35
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $313,724
- List price
- $204,000
- Delta
- -34.97%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1301 Westmoreland St | 0.31mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 3,401 (+8%) | 1mo | $370,000 | $109 | 64 |
| 1412 W Mcneese St W | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,880 (-8%) | 9mo | $460,000 | $160 | 46 |
| 936 Chartres Dr | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,714 (-14%) | 1mo | $479,000 | $176 | 42 |
| 4318 Poydras Dr | 0.60mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,694 (-14%) | 19mo | $430,000 | $160 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $77,332
- Equity at exit
- $30,417
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.71×
- Total profit
- $268,823
- Equity at exit
- $17,638
Cash invested: $57,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70605
- Rents YoY
- 15.1%
- Active inventory
- 456
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,445 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,070
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,432/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$724
- Net cashflow
- $1,448
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,000
- Closing costs
- $6,120
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5124 E Worthington Dr Lake Charles, LA | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3536 | $5,200 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1549 L'Acadie Dr Lake Charles, LA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3100 | $3,550 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4128 Center St Lake Charles, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2227 | $1,500 | $0.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $204,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $204,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $204,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $204,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $204,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $204,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $204,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $204,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $204,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $204,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $204,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $204,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $204,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $204,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $204,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $204,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-01-27$204,000 Active 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
This property features a 5-bedroom, 3-bath floor plan spanning over 3,100 square feet, set on 0.36 acres within the city limits of Lake Charles. Schedule your viewing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,432 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,432 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 23% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,346
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,427
- − Property taxes
- −$1,432
- − Insurance
- −$1,020
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,308
- − Management
- −$3,308
- − Depreciation
- −$5,935
- Taxable income
- $14,917
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,580
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,794/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lake Charles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #9820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Charles, LA
- County
- Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
- City population
- 133,538
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,482
- Household income
- $86,015
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1328.0
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.68%
- Current HPI
- 105.1903
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.10%
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-27 Listed $204,000 SWLAR
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,432 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…